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比特币(BTC)价格对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二向参议院银行委员会提交半年度货币政策报告做出反应。

Bitcoin (BTC) price reacted to Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell delivering the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report to the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday. The address comes ahead of Thursday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, which is expected to be a significant market mover this week.
比特币(BTC)价格对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二向参议院银行委员会提交半年度货币政策报告做出反应。该讲话是在周四公布的美国消费者价格指数(CPI)通胀数据之前发布的,预计该数据将成为本周市场的重大推动因素。
Bitcoin Tests $58,000 After Powell’s Fed Update
鲍威尔发布美联储最新消息后,比特币测试 58,000 美元
Bitcoin may have to wait until Thursday for a significant reaction to the US macro news, which is one of the four fundamentals investors are watching for recovery. On Tuesday, BTC tested the $58,000 range, only briefly, reacting to Powell’s testimony, before retracting back to the $57,000 range.
比特币可能要等到周四才能对美国宏观消息做出重大反应,这是投资者正在关注的复苏的四个基本面之一。周二,BTC 短暂测试了 58,000 美元区间,这是对鲍威尔证词的反应,然后回落至 57,000 美元区间。
The bump in Bitcoin price came as Powell said the Fed is not ready to cut interest rates just yet. Citing the need for “more good data to strengthen confidence, he expressed a cautious approach to combating inflation. Powell also underscored the importance of seeing inflation move toward the 2% target sustainably.
比特币价格上涨之际,鲍威尔表示美联储尚未准备好降息。他表示需要“更多好的数据来增强信心”,并表达了对抗通胀的谨慎态度。鲍威尔还强调了通胀持续向 2% 目标迈进的重要性。
Read More: Crypto vs. Banking: Which Is a Smarter Choice?
阅读更多:加密货币与银行业:哪个是更明智的选择?
According to the Fed chair, policymakers remain attentive to the risks that inflation poses. They do not want to ease up too soon and too much. They also do not want to ease too little too late as this could ‘unduly weaken the economy.’
美联储主席表示,政策制定者仍然关注通胀带来的风险。他们不想放松得太快、太多。他们也不希望宽松政策太少太晚,因为这可能“过度削弱经济”。
“We’re very much balancing those two risks. That’s the essence of what we’re thinking about these days,” Powell said.
“我们非常平衡这两种风险。这就是我们这些天思考的本质,”鲍威尔说。
Reiterating his commitment to making decisions on a meeting-by-meeting basis, the Fed chair directed attention to careful assessment of incoming data and balance of risks. This, he said, would help curve an appropriate policy path in rate adjustments.
美联储主席重申了他在每次会议的基础上做出决策的承诺,并将注意力集中在对传入数据和风险平衡的仔细评估上。他表示,这将有助于在利率调整中找到适当的政策路径。
On the flip side, Powell acknowledged that the labor market remains strong and the economy is expanding at a solid pace.
另一方面,鲍威尔承认劳动力市场依然强劲,经济正在稳步扩张。
June’s CPI data will come on Thursday, July 11. The expectation is 3.1%, down from 3.3% the previous month. The decreasing inflation numbers would be a positive factor in pushing BTC prices back up.
6 月 CPI 数据将于 7 月 11 日星期四公布。预期为 3.1%,低于上月的 3.3%。通胀数据下降将是推动比特币价格回升的积极因素。
Bitcoin Investors Cautious with Low Conviction
比特币投资者持谨慎态度,信心不足
The cautious stance on Tuesday follows the first-quarter data, which also pointed to little confidence in the path of inflation. With this signaling the Fed is in no rush to cut rates, crypto markets jolted briefly, hinting at a lack of confidence in the economy. This scenario often drives investors to reevaluate their investment strategies in favor of assets uncorrelated to central bank decisions.
周二第一季度数据公布后采取了谨慎立场,该数据也表明人们对通胀路径缺乏信心。由于这表明美联储并不急于降息,加密货币市场短暂震荡,暗示对经济缺乏信心。这种情况通常会促使投资者重新评估其投资策略,转而青睐与央行决策无关的资产。
For now, however, technical indicators show Bitcoin is attempting a recovery, but bulls lack conviction. The position of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator below 50, shows this. With the higher lows on the RSI, however, coupled with the $54,450 support holding, a recovery could be underway.
然而,目前技术指标显示比特币正在尝试复苏,但多头缺乏信心。动量指标相对强弱指数 (RSI) 低于 50 的位置就表明了这一点。然而,随着 RSI 低点走高,加上 54,450 美元的支撑位,复苏可能正在进行中。
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
了解更多:比特币 (BTC) 价格预测 2024/2025/2030
Popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital shares his optimism. He said that Bitcoin is showcasing some initial signs of stability after the crash. Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, echoes the significance of the $54,000 range as a support floor.
著名交易员兼分析师 Rekt Capital 也表达了他的乐观态度。他表示,比特币在崩盘后显示出一些稳定的初步迹象。交易资源 Material Indicators 的联合创始人 Keith Alan 也认同 54,000 美元区间作为支撑位的重要性。
“This new Trend Precognition signal on the Bitcoin Daily signal indicates that price isn’t likely to go lower than yesterday’s candle “today”. For me, a push back down to $54,300 would invalidate,” Alan wrote.
“比特币每日信号上的这一新趋势预知信号表明,‘今天’价格不太可能低于昨天的蜡烛。对我来说,回落至 54,300 美元是无效的,”艾伦写道。
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