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比特币有64%的机会达到该目标,这与上周的14%机会相比,这是一个惊人的飞跃。
No sooner did Bitcoin (BTC) hit an all-time high on Wednesday than Polymarket bettors set their sights on an even loftier price target of $115,000 in the nine days remaining this month.
比特币(BTC)在周三的历史最高点上不久,Polmoarket Bettors将目光投向了本月剩下的九天的115,000美元的价格更高的目标。
Bitcoin has a 64% chance of reaching that target, which is a stunning leap from the 14% chance last week.
比特币有64%的机会达到该目标,这与上周的14%机会相比,这是一个惊人的飞跃。
What changed? Well, Bitcoin finally blew past the price mark after hovering around the $108,000 peak.
发生了什么变化?好吧,比特币终于在悬停在$ 108,000的高峰左右后吹了价格大关。
That’s an almost 50% recovery for Bitcoin from its dip to $74,500 in early April, which crypto influencer and angel investor Arthur Hayes called earlier this year.
4月初,比特币从DIP降至74,500美元,这是几乎50%的恢复,加密影响者和天使投资人Arthur Hayes今年早些时候致电。
Whatever happens, investors will rejoice in Bitcoin’s performance this week.
无论发生什么,投资者将在本周对比特币的表现感到高兴。
“Bitcoin reaching $110,000 is a significant milestone,” crypto analyst at eToro Australia Reece Hobson said on Thursday.
“比特币达到110,000美元是一个重要的里程碑,”澳大利亚埃托罗澳大利亚的加密分析师Reece Hobson周四表示。
Hobson said multiple catalysts drove Bitcoin’s jump, including global liquidity growth and massive outsized inflows from exchange-traded funds.
霍布森说,多个催化剂推动了比特币的跳跃,包括全球流动性增长和交易所交易基金的大量流入。
Institutional investors have poured nearly $3 billion into spot Bitcoin ETFs in May.
机构投资者已于5月向现货比特币ETF倾注了近30亿美元。
Moreover, market analysts say investors are betting on Bitcoin as both a risk asset like technology stocks and a haven like gold, a dual narrative nature that gives the asset a “higher floor,” according to Campbell Harvey and Hui Hui Yong.
此外,市场分析师表示,投资者押注比特币,既是技术股票等风险资产,又是黄金之类的避风港,这是双重叙事性质,使资产成为“更高的地面”。
Bitcoin whales have also been snapping up the asset in the last two months, with investors plowing $122 billion into mopping up the cryptocurrency, market data shows.
市场数据显示,在过去的两个月中,比特币鲸也一直在收集资产,投资者耕作了1,220亿美元,以减少加密货币。
This has supercharged a massive capital influx into the market.
这已经将大量资本涌入到市场上。
“What we are probably seeing now is Bitcoin accumulation in preparation for increased market stress – from both risk asset investors, and longer-term, safe-haven investors, ” said crypto market analyst Noelle Acheson.
加密市场分析师Noelle Acheson说:“我们现在可能看到的是比特币积累,以准备增加市场压力 - 从风险资产投资者和长期,安全的投资者中。”
With the market already hitting record highs, the question now is twofold: how high can it go, and does the rally have legs?
随着市场已经达到纪录的高点,现在的问题是双重的:它可以走多高,集会有腿吗?
“There’s a chance that we will see Bitcoin at $150,000 this year,” crypto payment company Ari10 CEO Mateusz Kara told DL News.
加密支付公司ARI10首席执行官Mateusz Kara告诉DL News:“今年,我们有机会看到比特币的价格为15万美元。”
Kara said Bitcoin’s rise will be due to the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates after the dust from US President Donald Trump’s tariff kicks up and the dust settles.
卡拉说,比特币的崛起将是由于美联储降低了美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的关税的尘埃之后的利率,而尘埃落定为尘埃落定。
Even before this week’s rally, market watchers had optimistic price projections for Bitcoin. Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick predicts Bitcoin will reach $120,000 by the end of this quarter.
甚至在本周的集会之前,市场观察家对比特币的价格预测具有乐观的价格预测。标准宪章的杰夫·肯德里克(Geoff Kendrick)预测,到本季度末,比特币将达到120,000美元。
For Hobson, Bitcoin can go as high as $155,000 if the “bullish momentum persists,” but that would depend on strong volume and market conditions.
对于霍布森而言,如果“看涨势头持续”,比特币的价格高达15.5万美元,但这将取决于强大的数量和市场状况。
In the coming weeks, any rally in Bitcoin prices may lack the depth for sustainability as volumes in both spot and derivatives markets have thinned.
在接下来的几周中,随着现场和衍生品市场的数量稀少,比特币价格的任何集会都可能缺乏可持续性的深度。
CEX.IO analyst Illia Otychenko said on Monday that volumes in spot and derivatives markets have declined by 29% and 36%, respectively, in the past month.
Cex.io分析师Illia Otychenko周一表示,过去一个月中,现场和衍生品市场的数量分别下降了29%和36%。
“The broader picture shows a market torn between momentum-driven optimism and some underlying structural weaknesses,” Otychenko said.
Otychenko说:“更广泛的情况表明,在动量驱动的乐观情绪和一些潜在的结构弱点之间撕裂了市场。”
“This combination of bullish signals and warning signs suggests that the coming weeks may be defined less by gradual continuation and more by sharp, decisive moves.”
“看涨信号和警告信号的这种结合表明,未来几周的定义可能会逐渐延续,而通过敏锐而果断的动作来逐渐延续。”
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