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加密货币新闻

比特币,实现的价格和顶部:我们在那里吗?

2025/08/02 18:00

比特币的公牛倒闭了吗?研究实现的价格理论表明,仍然有生长的空间,可能达到15万美元。霍德,伙计们!

比特币,实现的价格和顶部:我们在那里吗?

Bitcoin's been on a wild ride, huh? After flirting with $123,000, things cooled off, sparking the usual 'is this the top?' chatter. But before you sell the Lambo fund, let's peek at the Realized Price Theory – it might just change your mind.

比特币一直在疯狂骑行,是吗?在用$ 123,000调情后,事情变得冷却了,引发了通常的“这是顶部吗?”喋喋不休。但是,在您出售兰博基金会之前,让我们窥视实现的价格理论 - 它可能会改变您的主意。

What's the Realized Price Got to Do With It?

实现的价格与它有什么关系?

Okay, so a crypto analyst named Gert van Lagen (give him a follow on X!) dropped some knowledge about how Bitcoin's price historically behaves during bull runs. Turns out, it usually hits a multiple of its Realized Price before topping out.

好的,因此,一位名叫格特·范·拉根(Gert Van Lagen)的加密分析师(给他X上的跟随!)放弃了一些关于比特币在公牛跑期间的行为的知识。事实证明,它通常会在升空之前达到其已实现的价格的倍数。

A History Lesson in Bitcoin Peaks

比特币峰的历史课

Let's break it down: Back in 2011, Bitcoin peaked at 8x its Realized Price. In 2013, it was 6x. Then 5x in 2017. Even after the COVID crash in 2020, Bitcoin rallied to 4x its Realized Price before hitting $69,000 in 2021.

让我们将其分解:2011年,比特币以8倍的实现价格达到顶峰。在2013年为6倍。然后是2017年的5倍。即使在2020年的共同崩溃之后,比特币在2021年达到69,000美元之前,其实现的价格上涨至4倍。

So, Where Are We Now?

那么,我们现在在哪里?

According to Glassnode, the current Realized Price is around $51,000. We're already at 2x. If history rhymes, a 3x multiple isn't out of the question. That puts Bitcoin around $150,000. Boom!

根据GlassNode的说法,目前实现的价格约为51,000美元。我们已经在2倍。如果历史记录押韵,那么3倍的倍数就不是不可能的。这使比特币约为15万美元。繁荣!

Mining for Gold (or Bitcoin) in 2025

2025年的黄金采矿(或比特币)

Speaking of Bitcoin's resurgence, mining is back in the spotlight post-halving. The market's strengthened, pushing BTC past $115,000. But is it profitable? Experts say focus on SHA-256 algorithm, and consider the S21+ for efficiency. Electricity costs are key, and choose your mining pool wisely – ViaBTC gets a shoutout for optimized performance.

说到比特币的复兴,采矿又回到了备受期待之后。市场的加强,将BTC推到了115,000美元以上。但这是有利可图的吗?专家说,专注于SHA-256算法,并考虑S21+以提高效率。电力成本是关键,并明智地选择您的采矿池 - ViaBTC大喊大叫以进行优化的性能。

The Altcoin Angle

AltCoin角

While Bitcoin's stealing the show, Scrypt-based mining (like LTC/DOGE) still has its fans. But remember, altcoins can be a bit more unpredictable. Stick to SHA-256 for stability, especially if you're in it for the long haul.

在比特币偷了节目的同时,基于Scrypt的矿业(例如LTC/Doge)仍然拥有其粉丝。但是请记住,AltCoins可能会更不可预测。坚持使用SHA-256以保持稳定性,尤其是如果您长期以来。

The Not-So-Serious Conclusion

并非如此的结论

Look, nobody has a crystal ball. But the Realized Price Theory offers a compelling case that this bull market might have some gas left in the tank. So, should you max out your credit cards and buy Bitcoin? Nah, don't be reckless. But maybe, just maybe, hold onto those coins a little longer. You never know, that Lambo might just become a reality.

看,没有人有水晶球。但是实现的价格理论提供了一个令人信服的案例,即该牛市可能剩下一些汽油。因此,您应该最大程度地使用信用卡并购买比特币吗?不,不要鲁ck。但是,也许,也许,将这些硬币握住更长的时间。您永远不会知道,兰博可能只是一个现实。

原文来源:bitcoinist

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