比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC在2025年将其历史最高（ATH）高于109,588美元？

比特币返回103,000美元以上，最大的加密货币正在重新测试以上$ 109,588。

Despite the U.S. macroeconomic outlook remaining uncertain, cryptocurrencies have shown resilience in 2024. After a tumultuous 2022, which saw a bear market wipe out nearly all of the gains made during the 2021 bull run, digital assets have slowly recovered.

尽管美国的宏观经济前景仍然不确定，但加密货币在2024年表现出了韧性。在2022年动荡之后，熊市几乎消除了2021年公牛运行期间几乎所有的收益，数字资产已缓慢恢复。

A year after the collapse of FTX and the ensuing liquidity crisis, the crypto sector is slowly recovering, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading the charge as it approaches its all-time high of $109,588. At the time of writing, BTC is trading above the $103,000 milestone.

FTX崩溃和随之而来的流动性危机崩溃的一年后，加密货币部门正在缓慢恢复，比特币（BTC）领导了这一指控，因为它接近其历史最高点109,588美元。在撰写本文时，BTC的交易高于103,000美元的里程碑。

At a time when nearly all tokens in the top 100 cryptocurrencies ranked by market cap are in the green, the market is abuzz with the debate of whether to stay or sell and go away in May?

在几乎所有由市值排名的加密货币中的几乎所有代币都处于绿色状态时，市场充满了关于是否留下还是出售并在五月出售和离开的辩论？

Millionaire exits are not uncommon in crypto and the meme coin bull run in 2024 was marked by Solana-based (SOL) meme token exits by traders. As Bitcoin (BTC) eyes a return to its all-time high, riding on the bullish sentiment from recent catalysts, macroeconomic certainty, U.S. trade deals with the UK and China and rising institutional demand and acceptance of stablecoin and BTC, a crypto exit plan is more relevant than ever before this cycle.

百万富翁的出口在加密货币中并不少见，而2024年的Meme Coin Bull Run以索拉纳（Sol）（SOL）模因令牌出口为标志。随着比特币（BTC）的眼睛回到历史最高水平的同时，以最近的催化剂，宏观经济确定性的看法情绪，美国与英国和中国的贸易交易以及机构的需求不断上升，对Stablecoin和BTC的接受程度不断增加，这是一个比以往任何时候都更相关的。

Meme coin millionaire’s missed exit

Meme Coin Millionaie的未出口

Glauber Contessoto, popular as the Dogecoin (DOGE) millionaire, who maxed out credit cards and spent his savings to buy $250,000 worth of DOGE in February 2021. Contessoto has also gained notoriety as the man who once held nearly $3 million in DOGE and lost his gains when the crypto market tanked in 2022.

格劳伯·孔萨托（Glauber Contessoto）是狗狗（Doge）百万富翁（Dogecoin（Doge）百万富翁），他在2021年2月获得了最大的信用卡，并花了他的积蓄购买价值25万美元的道路。

Contessoto inspired fast-acting traders to take profits when the token nears a potential peak. On-chain data from Santiment shows that for the top three meme coins, DOGE, Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Pepe (PEPE), over the past year, a large volume of traders have realized gains close to, or soon after a local top.

当代币接近潜在的高峰时，contessoto激发了快速交易者的利润。 Santiment的链链数据表明，对于前三个模因硬币，Doge，Shiba Inu（Shib）和Pepe（Pepe），在过去的一年中，大量交易者已经意识到了接近的收益，或者不久之后。

The large spikes in profit-taking nearly coincide with local tops as seen in the chart below:

如下图所示，盈利中的大尖峰几乎与当地上衣相吻合：

It is therefore becoming increasingly necessary to take profits near local tops, typically alongside Bitcoin’s local tops, as seen in the price chart below.

因此，正如下面的价格表所示，通常与比特币的本地上衣一起将利润越来越有必要，通常与比特币的本地上衣一起获取利润。

Stay in May or sell and go away?

待在五月还是出售和离开？

There is a popular stock market theory that says the market tends to underperform in the six months between May and October, leading to the old adage of “Sell and go away in May.” The same does not stand entirely true for cryptocurrencies as the category of tokens is more prone to volatility and price swings, relative to the stock market.

有一个流行的股票市场理论说，该市场在5月至10月之间的六个月中往往不佳，导致“五月出售和消失”的古老格言。对于加密货币而言，这并不是完全正确的，因为与股票市场相对于股票市场，代币类别更容易出现波动和价格波动。

With Bitcoin back above the $100,000 milestone, a successful implementation of Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade and the rising stablecoin volume, it doesn’t look like the crypto sector will slow down.

随着比特币重回100,000美元的里程碑，以太坊的Pectra升级和稳定量的上升量成功实施，看来加密货币部门不会放慢脚步。

Bitcoin could revisit its all-time high and Ethereum could rally nearly 20% to re-test its psychologically important $3,000 level in May 2025. Meme coins, AI tokens, utility tokens and altcoins could begin their recovery soon, following in Bitcoin’s footsteps as institutional investors show interest in relevant sectors in the crypto market.

比特币可能会重新审视其历史最高水平，以太坊可能会在2025年5月重新测试其心理重要的3,000美元水平。MemeCoins，AI代币，公用事业令牌和AltCoins可能很快就可以开始恢复，因为在Bitcoin的启动信息中，作为机构在Crypto Market的机构展示了利益。

Selling and going away may not be the best bet, when staying put, or taking profits adds more value to traders’ portfolios.

出售和销售可能并不是最好的选择，或者拿走利润会为交易者的投资组合增添更多价值。

Bitcoin and altcoin summer outlook

比特币和Altcoin Summer Outlook

Bitcoin monthly returns chart from Coinglass shows BTC has yielded gains for holders between 3-5 months from June to December of 2023 and 2024. If history repeats itself in the ongoing cycle, Bitcoin holders could identify opportunities to realize gains on their BTC holdings or rotate into altcoins during H2 2025, or following a re-test of the previous all-time high.

Coinglass的比特币月度收益表显示，BTC在2023年6月至2023年12月至2024年的3-5个月之间获得了持有人的收益。如果历史在持续的周期中重演，比特币持有人可以确定机会在H2 2025期间或之后重新测试了BTC持有量或在H2 2025中旋转到Altcoins上的收益。

If Bitcoin revisits its all-time high, over 97,000 wallet addresses holding nearly 108,000 Bitcoin tokens would turn profitable, likely to result in profit-taking and higher selling pressure for BTC.

如果比特币重新审视其历史最高水平，则超过97,000个钱包地址持有近108,000个比特币代币将变成盈利，这可能会导致BTC的利润和更高的销售压力。

On May 13, Tuesday, earlier this week, the altcoin season tracker climbed to 67, the highest level in 2025. The last time the index hit this level was in December 2024. The index implies that we are closer to an “altcoin month,” meaning a period of 30 days where 75% of the top 50 cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin.

5月13日，星期二，本周早些时候，Altcoin季节追踪器攀升至67，是2025年的最高水平。最后一次达到该水平的时间是2024年12月。该指数意味着我们接近“ AltCoin月”，这意味着30天的时间，这意味着前50天的75％，其中75％的前50天的加密货币中有75％的时间超过了比特币。

At the time of writing, the index is down to 55 and the outlook remains positive, with a return to December 2024 levels likely in H1 2025.

在撰写本文时，该指数降至55，展望仍然为正，并可能恢复到2024年12月的2025年H1 2025年水平。

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首席运营官詹姆斯·托莱达诺（James Toledano）