比特币（BTC）价格预测：比特币可以打破$ 100k吗？

比特币在达到97,938美元的当地高价后，比特币的交易幅度低于100,000美元，这表明了看涨的势头。

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading just below the $100,000 mark after reaching a local high of $97,938, signaling growing bullish momentum. After weeks of consolidation, last week’s surge has flipped sentiment across the market, with bulls now firmly in control. Analysts are increasingly optimistic, pointing to the tightening supply dynamics as a potential catalyst for further upside.

比特币（BTC）在达到97,938美元的当地高点后，交易幅度低于100,000美元，这表明了看涨的势头。经过数周的整合，上周的激增在市场上倾斜了，公牛现在牢牢地控制了。分析师越来越乐观，这表明供应动态是进一步上升空间的潜在催化剂。

Top analyst Daan shared insights showing that Bitcoin exchange reserves continue to decline rapidly. This trend highlights a significant shift in investor behavior. As coins are pulled off exchanges, selling pressure typically decreases, often a precursor to extended rallies.

顶级分析师Daan分享了见解，表明比特币交换储量继续迅速下降。这种趋势强调了投资者行为的重大转变。随着硬币的交流，销售压力通常会降低，通常是延长集会的前身。

With BTC now holding above previous resistance and pressing toward a historic milestone, the supply-side squeeze could set the stage for a sharp leg higher. The $100K level remains a psychological and technical barrier, but if broken with strong volume, it may trigger a broader rally across the market. As liquidity tightens and long-term holders accumulate, all eyes are on whether Bitcoin can sustain this momentum and again enter price discovery.

由于BTC现在保持在以前的阻力上，并朝着历史里程碑式的压力向前，因此供应侧挤压可以为尖锐的腿更高。 10万美元的水平仍然是心理和技术障碍，但是如果量大的量很大，它可能会在整个市场上引发更广泛的集会。随着流动性收紧和长期持有人的积累，所有人的目光都关注比特币是否可以维持这种势头并再次进入价格发现。

Bitcoin On-Chain Data Signals Strength

比特币链数据信号强度

Bitcoin is currently consolidating above critical liquidity levels, trading just below the $100,000 mark after a multi-week surge that began with a decisive break above $90,000. The bulls are in short-term control, but they now face the challenge of sustaining momentum. Holding above this range is essential to confirm a new leg of the rally and prevent a deeper pullback. Despite strong gains, the market remains fragile, shaped by global uncertainty and persistent trade tensions, particularly between the US and China.

比特币目前正合并高于关键流动性水平，在多周的激增开始后，其果断收益超过90,000美元，交易量低于100,000美元。公牛队处于短期控制状态，但现在他们面临着维持动力的挑战。在此范围上保持超过此范围对于确认拉力赛的新腿至关重要，并防止更深的回调。尽管有很大的收获，但市场仍然脆弱，这是全球不确定性和持续性贸易紧张局势的影响，尤其是在美国之间。

After months of heavy selling pressure from all-time highs, Bitcoin is showing renewed strength and attempting to establish a broader bullish structure. The recent price action signals that investors are beginning to rotate back into risk assets. Yet, macroeconomic instability and potential recession risks still loom large, suggesting that price action could remain volatile.

经过数月的历史高潮销售压力，比特币表现出了新的力量，并试图建立更广泛的看涨结构。最近的价格行动信号表明投资者开始转移到风险资产中。然而，宏观经济的不稳定和潜在的衰退风险仍然笼罩，这表明价格行动可能保持波动。

Daan shared on-chain data that supports the bullish thesis. Bitcoin exchange reserves continue to decline rapidly, a trend that has accelerated since the last US election and during the recent price consolidation. This drop in exchange balances historically precedes supply crunches, which can fuel aggressive rallies. Should central banks reintroduce large-scale liquidity injections, Bitcoin would likely respond with a powerful breakout. For now, bulls must hold the line.

Daan共享了支持看涨论文的链上数据。比特币交换储备继续迅速下降，这一趋势自上次美国大选和最近的价格合并中加速了。这种交换余额的下降历史上是供应紧缩的，这可以加剧积极的集会。如果中央银行重新引入大规模的流动性注射，比特币可能会以有力的突破做出反应。就目前而言，公牛必须握住这条线。

BTC Price Action Details: Key Levels To Watch

BTC价格动作详细信息：要观看的关键级别

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $96,600 after a strong multi-week rally that began near the $84,000 level. The 4-hour chart shows a clear bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows forming since mid-April. Price action remains firmly above both the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which sit at $86,925 and $89,428, respectively. This suggests strong support and continued momentum on the short-term trend.

经过强大的多周集会，比特币（BTC）目前的交易约为96,600美元，该集会开始接近84,000美元。 4小时的图表显示出明显的看涨结构，自4月中旬以来，高高和较高的低点形成。价格动作始终超过200周期的简单移动平均线（SMA）和200阶段的指数移动平均线（EMA），分别为86,925美元和89,428美元。这表明对短期趋势的强烈支持和持续的动力。

However, BTC has now entered a tight consolidation range just below the psychological $100,000 resistance level, with short-term resistance forming near $97,900. Volume is showing some decline on recent candles, hinting at potential buyer exhaustion or a pause before the next leg. If bulls can break through $98,000 with volume confirmation, a clean sweep above $100K is highly likely, targeting the $103,600 zone as the next major resistance.

但是，BTC现在已经进入紧密的整合范围，距离心理$ 100,000的阻力水平，短期阻力的形成接近97,900美元。数量显示了最近的蜡烛有所下降，暗示了潜在的买家疲惫或下一条长队之前的停顿。如果公牛可以通过数量确认$ 98,000的$ 98,000，那么很有可能以103,600美元的区域作为下一个主要阻力，这是一个高于$ 10万美元的清洁扫描。

On the downside, any drop below $95,000 could invalidate short-term bullish momentum and trigger a return toward the $90,000-$91,000 range—an area of high liquidity and previous consolidation. Overall, BTC remains technically strong, but the next decisive move will come from how it handles the $97K–$100K range in the coming sessions.

不利的一面是，任何低于$ 95,000的下跌都可能使短期看涨的势头无效，并触发回报到$ 90,000- $ 91,000的范围，这是一个高流动性和以前的合并区域。总体而言，BTC在技术上仍然很强大，但是下一个决定性的举动将来自如何处理即将到来的97,000美元 - $ 10万美元的范围。