比特币（BTC）价格表现出升上渠道的看跌突破，获利的风险接近106,000美元

比特币从上升渠道表现出看跌的突破，其获利风险接近106,000美元。超过预期的美国消费者价格指数（CPI）的印刷品可以提高比特币

Key Takeaways:

关键要点：

* Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bearish breakout from an ascending channel, with the risk of profit-taking evident as signaled by Alpha Point and heightened liquidation risks.

*比特币（BTC）表现出从上升渠道的看跌突破，其盈利风险明显，这是Alpha Point的信号，并增加了清算风险。

* As the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) approaches, traders are de-risking, setting the stage for a potential price move. A lower-than-expected CPI could boost Bitcoin, while a higher reading may increase bearish pressure.

*随着美国消费者价格指数（CPI）的发展，贸易商正在降低风险，为潜在价格转移奠定了基础。高于预期的CPI可以提高比特币，而较高的读数可能会增加看跌压力。

* Immediate key area of interest lies between $100,500 and $99,700, a fair value gap (FVG) on the four-hour chart.

*感兴趣的立即关键区域在100,500至99,700美元之间，在四小时图表上是公允价值差距（FVG）。

Bitcoin (BTC) reached an intraday high of $105,800 on Friday, May 12, but later slid by 3% to $101,400 during the New York trading session.

5月12日星期五，比特币（BTC）达到了105,800美元的盘中高价，但后来在纽约交易会期间下跌了3％至101,400美元。

On the lower-time frame (LTF) chart, BTC had been oscillating within an ascending channel pattern before exhibiting a bearish breakout below the bottom range of the pattern.

在较低的框架（LTF）图表上，BTC在升天通道模式中一直在振荡，然后在模式的底部范围以下表现出看跌的突破。

Chart of BTC price movement with analysis via Alphractal.

BTC价格运动图表，通过字母分析。

Credit: Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal

学分：Alphractal的首席执行官Joao Wedson

With respect to BTC’s stalling bullish momentum, data analytics platform Alphractal noted that BTC re-testing nearing $106,000 resistance levels increased the likelihood of profit-taking risks.

关于BTC停滞不前的势头，数据分析平台Alphractal指出，BTC重新测试接近106,000美元的阻力水平增加了利润风险的可能性。

As illustrated in the chart above, Bitcoin is currently approaching the “Alpha Price” zone, where long-term holders or whales could take profits.

如上图所示，比特币目前正在接近“ Alpha Price”区域，长期持有人或鲸鱼可以在这里获利。

From a liquidation standpoint, the risk of a “long” squeeze is also elevated, with over $3.4 billion in leveraged long positions at risk of liquidation if prices drop to $100,000. This range could act as a magnet for price, leading to a retest near the psychological level.

从清算的角度来看，如果价格下跌至100,000美元，则“长”挤压的风险也升高，杠杆率超过34亿美元，面临着清算的风险。这个范围可以用作价格的磁铁，从而导致在心理层面附近进行重新测试。

U.S. CPI data looms as Bitcoin traders de-risk

美国CPI数据随着比特币贸易商的脱离风险

The current BTC correction might reflect traders de-risking ahead of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for April, which are due on Saturday.

当前的BTC校正可能反映了交易者在4月份的美国消费者价格指数（CPI）数字之前的危险者，该指数将于周六到期。

Previously, March’s CPI, released April 10, came in at 2.4%, down from February’s 2.8%, despite a forecast of 2.5%. However, April’s CPI is forecast to remain at 2.4%, due to steady energy prices amid balanced oil production and moderating wage growth, easing pressure on price increases.

以前，尽管预测为2.5％，但4月10日发行的3月CPI占2.4％，比2月的2.8％下降了2.4％。但是，由于石油生产平衡和减轻价格上涨压力，April的CPI预计将保持在2.4％的速度，这是由于稳定的能源价格。

A lower-than-expected CPI (potentially third in a row) could be bullish for Bitcoin, as it may signal Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025, boosting risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a higher-than-expected CPI could be bearish, as it would increase inflation fears and strengthen the dollar, putting pressure on BTC.

比特币的CPI低于预期的CPI可能是看好的，因为这可能表明在2025年的美联储储备率降低，从而增加了股票和加密货币等风险资产。相反，高于预期的CPI可能是看跌，因为它会增加通货膨胀的担忧并加强美元，从而对BTC施加压力。

If bearish pressure persists on BTC charts even after the CPI print, then an immediate key area of interest remains between $100,500 and $99,700, a fair value gap (FVG) on the four-hour chart.

如果看跌压力在BTC图表上仍然存在，即使在CPI印刷后，关键的关键领域仍保持在100,500美元至99,700美元之间，这是四小时图表上的公允价值差距（FVG）。

Another FVG remains between $98,680 and $97,363, which would represent an 8% correction from the recent highs.

另一个FVG仍保持在98,680美元至97,363美元之间，这将是最近高点的8％更正。