比特幣（BTC）價格表現出升上渠道的看跌突破，獲利的風險接近106,000美元

比特幣從上升渠道表現出看跌的突破，其獲利風險接近106,000美元。超過預期的美國消費者價格指數（CPI）的印刷品可以提高比特幣

Key Takeaways:

關鍵要點：

* Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bearish breakout from an ascending channel, with the risk of profit-taking evident as signaled by Alpha Point and heightened liquidation risks.

*比特幣（BTC）表現出從上升渠道的看跌突破，其盈利風險明顯，這是Alpha Point的信號，並增加了清算風險。

* As the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) approaches, traders are de-risking, setting the stage for a potential price move. A lower-than-expected CPI could boost Bitcoin, while a higher reading may increase bearish pressure.

*隨著美國消費者價格指數（CPI）的發展，貿易商正在降低風險，為潛在價格轉移奠定了基礎。高於預期的CPI可以提高比特幣，而較高的讀數可能會增加看跌壓力。

* Immediate key area of interest lies between $100,500 and $99,700, a fair value gap (FVG) on the four-hour chart.

*感興趣的立即關鍵區域在100,500至99,700美元之間，在四小時圖表上是公允價值差距（FVG）。

Bitcoin (BTC) reached an intraday high of $105,800 on Friday, May 12, but later slid by 3% to $101,400 during the New York trading session.

5月12日星期五，比特幣（BTC）達到了105,800美元的盤中高價，但後來在紐約交易會期間下跌了3％至101,400美元。

On the lower-time frame (LTF) chart, BTC had been oscillating within an ascending channel pattern before exhibiting a bearish breakout below the bottom range of the pattern.

在較低的框架（LTF）圖表上，BTC在升天通道模式中一直在振盪，然後在模式的底部範圍以下表現出看跌的突破。

Chart of BTC price movement with analysis via Alphractal.

BTC價格運動圖表，通過字母分析。

Credit: Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal

學分：Alphractal的首席執行官Joao Wedson

With respect to BTC’s stalling bullish momentum, data analytics platform Alphractal noted that BTC re-testing nearing $106,000 resistance levels increased the likelihood of profit-taking risks.

關於BTC停滯不前的勢頭，數據分析平台Alphractal指出，BTC重新測試接近106,000美元的阻力水平增加了利潤風險的可能性。

As illustrated in the chart above, Bitcoin is currently approaching the “Alpha Price” zone, where long-term holders or whales could take profits.

如上圖所示，比特幣目前正在接近“ Alpha Price”區域，長期持有人或鯨魚可以在這裡獲利。

From a liquidation standpoint, the risk of a “long” squeeze is also elevated, with over $3.4 billion in leveraged long positions at risk of liquidation if prices drop to $100,000. This range could act as a magnet for price, leading to a retest near the psychological level.

從清算的角度來看，如果價格下跌至100,000美元，則“長”擠壓的風險也升高，槓桿率超過34億美元，面臨著清算的風險。這個範圍可以用作價格的磁鐵，從而導致在心理層面附近進行重新測試。

U.S. CPI data looms as Bitcoin traders de-risk

美國CPI數據隨著比特幣貿易商的脫離風險

The current BTC correction might reflect traders de-risking ahead of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for April, which are due on Saturday.

當前的BTC校正可能反映了交易者在4月份的美國消費者價格指數（CPI）數字之前的危險者，該指數將於週六到期。

Previously, March’s CPI, released April 10, came in at 2.4%, down from February’s 2.8%, despite a forecast of 2.5%. However, April’s CPI is forecast to remain at 2.4%, due to steady energy prices amid balanced oil production and moderating wage growth, easing pressure on price increases.

以前，儘管預測為2.5％，但4月10日發行的3月CPI佔2.4％，比2月的2.8％下降了2.4％。但是，由於石油生產平衡和減輕價格上漲壓力，April的CPI預計將保持在2.4％的速度，這是由於穩定的能源價格。

A lower-than-expected CPI (potentially third in a row) could be bullish for Bitcoin, as it may signal Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025, boosting risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a higher-than-expected CPI could be bearish, as it would increase inflation fears and strengthen the dollar, putting pressure on BTC.

比特幣的CPI低於預期的CPI可能是看好的，因為這可能表明在2025年的美聯儲儲備率降低，從而增加了股票和加密貨幣等風險資產。相反，高於預期的CPI可能是看跌，因為它會增加通貨膨脹的擔憂並加強美元，從而對BTC施加壓力。

If bearish pressure persists on BTC charts even after the CPI print, then an immediate key area of interest remains between $100,500 and $99,700, a fair value gap (FVG) on the four-hour chart.

如果看跌壓力在BTC圖表上仍然存在，即使在CPI印刷後，關鍵的關鍵領域仍保持在100,500美元至99,700美元之間，這是四小時圖表上的公允價值差距（FVG）。

Another FVG remains between $98,680 and $97,363, which would represent an 8% correction from the recent highs.

另一個FVG仍保持在98,680美元至97,363美元之間，這將是最近高點的8％更正。