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美联储仅表示今年剩余时间内仅降息一次,这通常会影响加密货币等资产类别。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price has fallen more than 6% in the last seven days, diverging from its usual positive correlation with the Nasdaq Composite Index.
比特币 (CRYPTO: BTC) 价格在过去 7 天内下跌了 6% 以上,与通常与纳斯达克综合指数呈正相关的情况背道而驰。
The Federal Reserve has signaled only one interest rate cut for the rest of the year, which typically impacts asset classes like cryptocurrencies. This decision may have played a role in shaping market sentiment for Bitcoin.
美联储仅表示今年剩余时间内仅降息一次,这通常会影响加密货币等资产类别。这一决定可能在塑造比特币的市场情绪方面发挥了作用。
However, according to Markus Thielen of 10x Research, sustained selling in a market at a particular price level is less influenced by external events or narratives and more by the perception among large sellers that prices have become overvalued at that point.
然而,根据 10x Research 的马库斯·蒂伦 (Markus Thielen) 的说法,市场上特定价格水平的持续抛售较少受到外部事件或叙述的影响,而更多地受到大型卖家认为此时价格已被高估的看法的影响。
Thielen points out that the November 2021 peak near $70,000 is a crucial threshold where long-term Bitcoin holders are likely to sell, seeing it as an optimal time to cash out at high prices.
Thielen 指出,2021 年 11 月接近 70,000 美元的峰值是一个关键门槛,长期比特币持有者可能会抛售比特币,认为这是以高价套现的最佳时机。
Interestingly, a wallet that had been dormant since 2018 has transferred 8,000 BTC (worth over $500 million) to the cryptocurrency exchange Binance. Such moves are often interpreted as precursors to large sales, suggesting that long-term holders may be taking profits at current price levels.
有趣的是,一个自 2018 年以来一直处于休眠状态的钱包已将 8,000 BTC(价值超过 5 亿美元)转移到加密货币交易所 Binance。此类举措通常被解读为大规模抛售的前兆,表明长期持有者可能会在当前价格水平上获利了结。
Data from CryptoQuant shows a decrease in BTC last active for 12 months and two years, indicating that holders are cashing out as the price approaches record highs.
CryptoQuant 的数据显示,最近 12 个月和两年来,BTC 的活跃度一直在下降,这表明随着价格接近历史新高,持有者正在兑现。
Ilan Solot of Marex Solutions notes that addresses last active for 1-2 years have been selling since prices peaked, which is being offset by accumulation from longer-term holders.
Marex Solutions 的 Ilan Solot 指出,自价格见顶以来,最后活跃 1-2 年的地址一直在出售,但长期持有者的积累抵消了这一损失。
Thielen highlights that of the 1.8 million BTC inactive for a decade, around 1.1 million BTC is credited to Satoshi, while predicting that Mt. Gox holders will convert BTC to fiat by late 2024.
Thielen 强调,在 10 年来不活跃的 180 万比特币中,约有 110 万比特币被记入中本聪的账户,同时预测 Mt.Gox 持有者将在 2024 年底将比特币转换为法定货币。
Mt. Gox, the once-prominent crypto exchange that collapsed in 2014, is set to distribute 142,000 BTC and 143,000 BCH to creditors by October/November 2024. This distribution could have a substantial impact on the market if creditors decide to sell their assets upon receiving them.
Mt. Gox 是曾经著名的加密货币交易所,于 2014 年倒闭,计划在 2024 年 10 月/11 月之前向债权人分配 142,000 BTC 和 143,000 BCH。如果债权人决定在 2024 年 11 月出售其资产,这种分配可能会对市场产生重大影响。接收他们。
Bitcoin miners have also ramped up their selling activity. For instance, Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA) has sold 1,400 Bitcoin for $98 million this month.
比特币矿商也加大了抛售活动。例如,Marathon Digital(纳斯达克股票代码:MARA)本月已以 9800 万美元的价格出售了 1,400 个比特币。
Additionally, miners reportedly sold over 1,200 BTC in a single day recently through over-the-counter desks, indicating significant selling pressure from this sector.
此外,据报道,矿商最近通过场外交易平台单日出售了超过 1,200 个比特币,这表明该行业面临巨大的抛售压力。
The hashrate, which measures the computational power dedicated to the Bitcoin blockchain, has also dropped recently. This decrease, from 622 exahashes per second (EH/s) to 599 EH/s, could indicate miner capitulation or reduced mining activity due to various factors such as regulatory pressures and operating costs.
衡量比特币区块链专用计算能力的哈希率最近也有所下降。从每秒 622 EH/s (EH/s) 下降到 599 EH/s,可能表明矿工因监管压力和运营成本等各种因素而投降或采矿活动减少。
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