比特幣 (BTC) 7 天跌幅超過 6%，與那斯達克指數的相關性下降

聯準會僅表示今年剩餘時間內僅降息一次，通常會影響加密貨幣等資產類別。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price has fallen more than 6% in the last seven days, diverging from its usual positive correlation with the Nasdaq Composite Index.

比特幣 (CRYPTO: BTC) 價格在過去 7 天內下跌了 6% 以上，與通常與納斯達克綜合指數呈正相關的情況背道而馳。

The Federal Reserve has signaled only one interest rate cut for the rest of the year, which typically impacts asset classes like cryptocurrencies. This decision may have played a role in shaping market sentiment for Bitcoin.

聯準會僅表示今年剩餘時間內僅降息一次，通常會影響加密貨幣等資產類別。這項決定可能在塑造比特幣的市場情緒方面發揮了作用。

However, according to Markus Thielen of 10x Research, sustained selling in a market at a particular price level is less influenced by external events or narratives and more by the perception among large sellers that prices have become overvalued at that point.

然而，根據10x Research 的馬庫斯·蒂倫(Markus Thielen) 的說法，市場上特定價格水平的持續拋售較少受到外部事件或敘述的影響，而更多地受到大型賣家認為此時價格已被高估的看法的影響。

Thielen points out that the November 2021 peak near $70,000 is a crucial threshold where long-term Bitcoin holders are likely to sell, seeing it as an optimal time to cash out at high prices.

Thielen 指出，2021 年 11 月接近 7 萬美元的高峰是一個關鍵門檻，長期比特幣持有者可能會拋售比特幣，認為這是以高價套現的最佳時機。

Interestingly, a wallet that had been dormant since 2018 has transferred 8,000 BTC (worth over $500 million) to the cryptocurrency exchange Binance. Such moves are often interpreted as precursors to large sales, suggesting that long-term holders may be taking profits at current price levels.

有趣的是，一個自 2018 年以來一直處於休眠狀態的錢包已將 8,000 BTC（價值超過 5 億美元）轉移到加密貨幣交易所幣安。此類舉措通常被解讀為大規模拋售的前兆，表明長期持有者可能會在當前價格水平上獲利了結。

Data from CryptoQuant shows a decrease in BTC last active for 12 months and two years, indicating that holders are cashing out as the price approaches record highs.

CryptoQuant 的數據顯示，最近 12 個月和兩年來，BTC 的活躍度一直在下降，這表明隨著價格接近歷史新高，持有者正在兌現。

Ilan Solot of Marex Solutions notes that addresses last active for 1-2 years have been selling since prices peaked, which is being offset by accumulation from longer-term holders.

Marex Solutions 的 Ilan Solot 指出，自價格見頂以來，最後活躍 1-2 年的地址一直在出售，但長期持有者的累積抵消了這一損失。

Thielen highlights that of the 1.8 million BTC inactive for a decade, around 1.1 million BTC is credited to Satoshi, while predicting that Mt. Gox holders will convert BTC to fiat by late 2024.

Thielen 強調，在 10 年來不活躍的 180 萬比特幣中，約有 110 萬比特幣被記入中本聰的帳戶，同時預測 Mt.Gox 持有者將在 2024 年底將比特幣轉換為法定貨幣。

Mt. Gox, the once-prominent crypto exchange that collapsed in 2014, is set to distribute 142,000 BTC and 143,000 BCH to creditors by October/November 2024. This distribution could have a substantial impact on the market if creditors decide to sell their assets upon receiving them.

Mt. Gox 是曾經著名的加密貨幣交易所，於2014 年倒閉，計劃在2024 年10 月/11 月之前向債權人分配142,000 BTC 和143,000 BCH。分配可能會對市場產生重大影響。

Bitcoin miners have also ramped up their selling activity. For instance, Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA) has sold 1,400 Bitcoin for $98 million this month.

比特幣礦商也加大了拋售活動。例如，Marathon Digital（納斯達克股票代碼：MARA）本月已以 9,800 萬美元的價格出售了 1,400 個比特幣。

Additionally, miners reportedly sold over 1,200 BTC in a single day recently through over-the-counter desks, indicating significant selling pressure from this sector.

此外，據報道，礦商最近透過場外交易平台單日出售了超過 1,200 個比特幣，這表明該行業面臨巨大的拋售壓力。

The hashrate, which measures the computational power dedicated to the Bitcoin blockchain, has also dropped recently. This decrease, from 622 exahashes per second (EH/s) to 599 EH/s, could indicate miner capitulation or reduced mining activity due to various factors such as regulatory pressures and operating costs.

衡量比特幣區塊鏈專用運算能力的哈希率最近也有所下降。從每秒 622 EH/s (EH/s) 下降到 599 EH/s，可能表示礦工因監管壓力和營運成本等各種因素而投降或採礦活動減少。