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世界上最大的加密货币比特币(BTC)以强大的动力和投资者的关注增加了2025年5月。
Bitcoin (BTC) price has entered May 2025 with strong momentum and heightened investor attention. After a volatile start to the year, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is trading close to $95,000—not far from its all-time high of around $109,000, which was set in January.
比特币(BTC)的价格已于2025年5月以强大的势头和投资者的关注提高。在今年开始动荡之后,全球最大的加密货币的交易近95,000美元,远非其历史最高点,大约为109,000美元,这是一月份设定的。
After a sharp spring drawdown, the market has rebounded, and analysts are now assessing where BTC’s price could head next. In this May 2025 edition of our Bitcoin price prediction, we’ll examine the current price action, technical and on-chain trends, and a range of short-term and long-term forecasts. We’ll also look at market sentiment—including the impact of the newly launched Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs)—and consider the key factors that could drive prices higher or lower. The goal is a clear, objective outlook on Bitcoin’s trajectory in 2025, with insights grounded in data and expert analysis.
经过夏普的降低,市场反弹,分析师现在正在评估BTC的价格下一步。在2025年5月的您的比特币价格预测中,我们将研究当前的价格动作,技术和链上趋势以及一系列短期和长期预测。我们还将研究市场情绪,包括新推出的比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的影响 - 并考虑可能推动价格更高或更低价格的关键因素。该目标是2025年对比特币轨迹的清晰,客观的前景,其见解基于数据和专家分析。
Bitcoin’s Price in Early May 2025
比特币的价格在2025年5月初
Bitcoin’s price in early May reflects a remarkable recovery and growth trend. The cryptocurrency began 2025 on a strong note, encountering a “slump” in Q1 before regaining its footing.
比特币在早期的价格反映了出色的恢复和增长趋势。加密货币始于2025年,这是一个强烈的音调,在Q1中遇到“低迷”,然后重新获得其立足点。
In January, BTC briefly touched $109,000—a new record high—before profit-taking and macroeconomic jitters triggered a pullback. By April 8, Bitcoin hit its lowest price of the year at around $74,000, marking a nearly 30% drawdown from the peak. However, the decline proved short-lived. Within weeks, Bitcoin surged by 24% from that low, climbing back to the mid-$90K levels.
一月份,BTC短暂触及了109,000美元,这是一个新的创纪录,在获利和宏观经济的震撼力之前引发了回调。到4月8日,比特币的年度最低价格约为74,000美元,标志着峰值近30%。但是,这一下降证明是短暂的。在几周内,比特币从那低点飙升至24%,攀升至9万美元的水平。
As of the first week of May, BTC is hovering near $95K, up roughly 15% from a month ago and well above key support levels established during the spring correction.
截至5月的第一周,BTC徘徊在95,000美元接近$ 15%,比一个月前约15%,远高于春季校正期间确定的关键支持水平。
Bitcoin price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com
今天的比特币价格。资料来源:CoinMarketCap.com
This rebound has put Bitcoin firmly back in bull-market territory. Year-to-date, BTC is significantly higher, a testament to the post-halving cycle momentum and renewed institutional interest. Market observers note that Bitcoin has “shaken off” recent bearish signals and is showing resilience even in the face of mixed economic data. The $95,000 level has emerged as an important overhead resistance, with buyers and sellers battling for control around this zone.
这种反弹使比特币牢固地重新回到了公牛市场领土。 BTC年初至今,BTC明显更高,这证明了后期周期的势头并更新了机构利益。市场观察家指出,比特币“震撼”了最近的看跌信号,即使面对混合经济数据,比特币也表现出弹性。 $ 95,000的水平已成为重要的高架阻力,买卖双方正在争夺该区域的控制。
How High Can Bitcoin Go In May 2025? Seasonality
比特币在2025年5月能有多高?季节性
From a seasonality perspective, May might not be Bitcoin’s strongest month historically, but it still delivers, on average, positive returns. Looking at the performance of the oldest cryptocurrency from 2013 to 2024, the average return for May was 7.4%, while the median return was just under 1%.
从季节性的角度来看,可能不是比特币历史上最强大的一个月,但平均而言,它仍然可以带来积极的回报。从2013年到2024年的最古老的加密货币的表现,5月的平均收益率为7.4%,中位收益率不到1%。
Last year, May was especially favorable for Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency climbing 11%. However, in the previous three years—from 2021 to 2023—a downward trend dominated this period. Of course, seasonality data should be treated more as an interesting tidbit than a reliable indicator of future results. We need to remember that, in markets, even the most robust statistics based on historical data never guarantee future performance.
去年,五月对比特币特别有利,加密货币攀升11%。但是,在过去的三年中(从2021年到2023年),这一时期占据了下降的趋势。当然,季节性数据应被视为有趣的花絮,而不是将来结果的可靠指标。我们需要记住,在市场中,即使是基于历史数据的最强大的统计数据,也无法保证未来的绩效。
Bitcoin price seasonality patterns. Source: Coinglass.com
比特币价格季节性模式。资料来源:coinglass.com
Zooming out to the entire second quarter, Bitcoin’s average growth during this part of the year typically reaches 60%, with a median of 12%.Paul Howard, Wincent
缩小到整个第二季度,比特币在这一部分的平均增长通常达到60%,中位数为12%。PaulHoward,Wincent
“There is no crystal ball in crypto but if we look at data in the options market it seems fair to me we have price upside to come and some short liquidations in the coming month,” said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent. “I would like to christen the phrase, buy in May and go away. However I anticipate the biggest growth this month will be in the new TVL within the stablecoin segment. This could have net upside for DeFi in the coming months relative to Bitcoin alone."
Wincent高级总监Paul Howard说:“加密货币中没有水晶球,但是如果我们在期权市场中查看数据,对我来说似乎很公平,我们将有价格上涨,并且在下个月中有一些短暂的清算。” “我想为这句话举行修徒,在五月购买并消失。但是,我预计本月的新电视台将在Stablecoin细分市场内的新TVL中增长。这可能在接下来的几个月中相对于比特币而言,Defi的上涨空间。”
You may also like: Why Is Bitcoin Price Surging? BTC Taps 6-Week High, While Expert Predicts $200K Target in 2025
您也可能喜欢:为什么比特币价格飙升? BTC点击6周高,而专家预测2025年的目标为2025美元
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: May 2025 Outlook
比特币技术分析:2025年5月Outlook
Based on my technical analysis of the Bitcoin to USD chart, the cryptocurrency is entering a new month of narrow consolidation below the resistance level around $95,000, which was established by March highs. Most importantly, the bounce from April lows located at the psychological support of $74,000 has ensured a return to the consolidation zone that has been forming since mid-November—between the support zone of $90,000-$92,000 and the resistance zone marked by historical maximums from December and January around
根据我对比特币到美元图表的技术分析,加密货币正在进入一个狭窄的缩小合并月份以下的新月,低于95,000美元,这是由3月高高建立的。最重要的是,来自四月低点的弹跳在$ 74,000的心理支持下,确保了自11月中旬以来一直形成的合并区域的返回,这是$ 90,000- $ 92,000的支持区,以及以历史最高最高数字从12月和1月左右的阻力区域。
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