Bitcoin (BTC) Has Entered May 2025 With Strong Momentum and Heightened Investor Attention

Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has entered May 2025 with strong momentum and heightened investor attention.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has entered May 2025 with strong momentum and heightened investor attention. After a volatile start to the year, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is trading close to $95,000—not far from its all-time high of around $109,000, which was set in January.

After a sharp spring drawdown, the market has rebounded, and analysts are now assessing where BTC’s price could head next. In this May 2025 edition of our Bitcoin price prediction, we’ll examine the current price action, technical and on-chain trends, and a range of short-term and long-term forecasts. We’ll also look at market sentiment—including the impact of the newly launched Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs)—and consider the key factors that could drive prices higher or lower. The goal is a clear, objective outlook on Bitcoin’s trajectory in 2025, with insights grounded in data and expert analysis.

Bitcoin’s Price in Early May 2025

Bitcoin’s price in early May reflects a remarkable recovery and growth trend. The cryptocurrency began 2025 on a strong note, encountering a “slump” in Q1 before regaining its footing.

In January, BTC briefly touched $109,000—a new record high—before profit-taking and macroeconomic jitters triggered a pullback. By April 8, Bitcoin hit its lowest price of the year at around $74,000, marking a nearly 30% drawdown from the peak. However, the decline proved short-lived. Within weeks, Bitcoin surged by 24% from that low, climbing back to the mid-$90K levels.

As of the first week of May, BTC is hovering near $95K, up roughly 15% from a month ago and well above key support levels established during the spring correction.

Bitcoin price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com

This rebound has put Bitcoin firmly back in bull-market territory. Year-to-date, BTC is significantly higher, a testament to the post-halving cycle momentum and renewed institutional interest. Market observers note that Bitcoin has “shaken off” recent bearish signals and is showing resilience even in the face of mixed economic data. The $95,000 level has emerged as an important overhead resistance, with buyers and sellers battling for control around this zone.

How High Can Bitcoin Go In May 2025? Seasonality

From a seasonality perspective, May might not be Bitcoin’s strongest month historically, but it still delivers, on average, positive returns. Looking at the performance of the oldest cryptocurrency from 2013 to 2024, the average return for May was 7.4%, while the median return was just under 1%.

Last year, May was especially favorable for Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency climbing 11%. However, in the previous three years—from 2021 to 2023—a downward trend dominated this period. Of course, seasonality data should be treated more as an interesting tidbit than a reliable indicator of future results. We need to remember that, in markets, even the most robust statistics based on historical data never guarantee future performance.

Bitcoin price seasonality patterns. Source: Coinglass.com

Zooming out to the entire second quarter, Bitcoin’s average growth during this part of the year typically reaches 60%, with a median of 12%.Paul Howard, Wincent

“There is no crystal ball in crypto but if we look at data in the options market it seems fair to me we have price upside to come and some short liquidations in the coming month,” said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent. “I would like to christen the phrase, buy in May and go away. However I anticipate the biggest growth this month will be in the new TVL within the stablecoin segment. This could have net upside for DeFi in the coming months relative to Bitcoin alone."

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis: May 2025 Outlook

Based on my technical analysis of the Bitcoin to USD chart, the cryptocurrency is entering a new month of narrow consolidation below the resistance level around $95,000, which was established by March highs. Most importantly, the bounce from April lows located at the psychological support of $74,000 has ensured a return to the consolidation zone that has been forming since mid-November—between the support zone of $90,000-$92,000 and the resistance zone marked by historical maximums from December and January around