分析师说

加密分析师Jason Pizzino认为比特币（BTC）在闪烁几个看涨信号后可能处于重大突破的边缘。

Crypto analyst Jason Pizzino is detecting strong bullish signals for Bitcoin (BTC) as the US Dollar Index (DXY) shows weakness, suggesting that the cryptocurrency may be poised for a substantial breakout.

加密分析师Jason Pizzino正在发现比特币（BTC）的强烈看涨信号，因为美元指数（DXY）表现出弱点，这表明加密货币可能有助于实质性的突破。

In a recent analysis, Pizzino highlighted Bitcoin’s significant push into the $90,000 range as a critical development.

在最近的一项分析中，披萨咖啡强调了比特币在90,000美元范围内的重大推动，这是一个关键的发展。

As shown by the chart, BTC managed to break above March’s monthly high, which invalidated the previous bearish signals that had been setting up with the December, January, and March 2024 tops.

如图所示，BTC设法超出了3月份的每月高点，这使以前的看跌信号无效，该信号与2024年12月，1月和3月的顶部无效。

Bitcoin price chart. Credit: Jason Pizzino/X

比特币价格图。图片来源：Jason Pizzino/X

Now that Bitcoin has moved above these key points and these trends are canceled, it suggests a stronger bullish outlook for the asset, according to the analyst.

据分析师称，现在比特币已经超过了这些要点，并且这些趋势被取消了，这表明对资产的看涨前景更强。

Weak Dollar Index Supports Bitcoin’s Momentum

弱美元指数支持比特币的势头

Pizzino highlighted the role of the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a major factor. The DXY recently closed at its lowest weekly level in approximately 37 months, which Pizzino described as a historically weak closing price for the index.

披萨野（Bizzino）强调了美元指数（DXY）的作用是主要因素。 DXY最近在大约37个月内以最低的每周水平关闭，披萨将其描述为该指数的历史较弱的收盘价。

According to historical patterns, a weaker dollar usually precedes major upward moves for Bitcoin.

根据历史模式，较弱的美元通常是比特币的主要向上移动。

The DXY, which measures the dollar against a basket of global currencies, is known to trend in cycles of 3.5 to 5.5 years.

众所周知，DXY衡量了一篮子全球货币的美元，其周期为3.5至5。5年。

According to Pizzino, the index is still in a broader bearish cycle, which began in December 2014. Historically, when the DXY is in a strong bearish cycle, it usually trades below the 70.00 level for extended periods.

根据Pizzino的说法，该指数仍处于更广泛的看跌周期，该周期始于2014年12月。从历史上看，当DXY处于强劲的看跌周期时，它通常在长时间的70.00水平以下。

After World War II, the DXY has closed at a lower weekly candle than the one on March 24 at only seven times.

第二次世界大战后，DXY的每周蜡烛比3月24日的蜡烛低7次。

Weak US Dollar Index Could Fuel Bitcoin Breakout

弱美元指数可能会加剧比特币突破

Pizzino further pointed out the breakdown in Tether (USDT) dominance. The stablecoin’s market cap relative to the broader crypto market had slipped below important support thresholds, which signaled that traders were shifting capital from stablecoins into riskier assets.

Pizzino进一步指出了Tether（USDT）优势的崩溃。相对于更广泛的加密市场的Stablecoin的市值低于重要的支持门槛，这表明交易者正在将资本从Stablecoins转移到风险较高的资产中。

Despite remaining above the 50% critical threshold, USDT’s dominance has been steadily declining from the 56.0% level, reached in December 2023.

尽管保持高于50％的关键阈值，但USDT的统治地位从2023年12月达到的56.0％的水平一直在稳步下降。

According to Pizzino, this signaled that investors’ risk appetite is growing, suggesting that Bitcoin could have more upside potential in the near term.

根据Pizzino的说法，这表明投资者的风险需求正在增长，这表明比特币在短期内可能具有更大的上涨潜力。