比特币（BTC）近距离抵抗力，因为它超过了$ 95K

比特币（BTC）在高达$ 95,000之后接近关键的阻力区域

Key Insights:

关键见解：

* Bitcoin (BTC) approached a critical resistance zone after testing $95,000 on Monday, as traders grew cautious over the sustainability of its latest rally.

*比特币（BTC）在周一测试了95,000美元后，在其最新拉力赛的可持续性方面持续了谨慎，在测试了95,000美元后接近了关键的阻力区。

* Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD rising to new seven-week highs before encountering strong selling pressure. Bitcoin preserved its yearly open at $93,500 during Wall Street trading hours but struggled to maintain upward momentum.

* TradingView的数据显示，BTC/USD在遇到强大的销售压力之前上升到新的七周高点。比特币在华尔街交易时间内每年的开放时间为93,500美元，但努力保持向上的势头。

GRAPHIC: BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

图形：TradingView的BTC/USD图表

Buyers and Sellers Lock Horns at $95K

买家和卖家将喇叭锁定为$ 95K

Short-term volatility surged as BTC liquidated leveraged shorts above $95,000. According to CoinGlass, the move helped clear upside liquidity, yet doubts persisted among analysts about the breakout’s strength.

短期波动率飙升，BTC销售的杠杆短裤超过$ 95,000。根据Coinglass的说法，此举有助于清除上升流动性，但分析师之间对突破的实力持续存在疑问。

Popular trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that Bitcoin had now reclaimed the Bull Market Support Band, a technical indicator comprising several key moving averages. He said a weekly close above this range would strengthen bullish arguments for new highs, provided BTC holds above support.

受欢迎的交易者Daan Crypto交易指出，比特币现在已经收回了Bull Market Support Band，这是一个技术指标，其中包括几个关键的移动平均值。他说，只要BTC持有以上的支持，每周一次的距离超过此范围将加强对新高高的看涨论据。

However, trader Skew observed the presence of a large-volume buyer and seller, suggesting a final showdown that could lead to a volatility spike.

但是，交易者偏向观察到大批买家和卖方的存在，这表明最终的摊牌可能导致波动率飙升。

Material Indicators cofounder Keith Alan added to the cautious outlook, noting lower volumes and repeated price wicks below the yearly open. He stated that a pump above $95,000 without a strong catalyst would likely represent a short squeeze rather than organic demand.

材料指标联合创始人基思·艾伦（Keith Alan）在谨慎的前景中增加了量，并指出较低的量和重复的价格芯是低于年度开放的。他说，没有强催化剂的泵超过95,000美元，可能代表了短暂的挤压而不是有机需求。

“For me, a pump above $95K would invalidate the new signal, but I’d probably consider such a move to be a short squeeze unless we have a catalyst with some substance behind it,” Alan wrote.

艾伦写道：“对我来说，一个高于$ 95K的泵会使新信号无效，但我可能会认为这样做是短暂的，除非我们有催化剂，却背后有一些物质。”

Altcoin Sherpa Eyes Key Higher Low Formation

Altcoin Sherpa眼睛钥匙更高的低层

Analyst Altcoin Sherpa highlighted the importance of Bitcoin’s next local low in maintaining bullish momentum. He said on X that holding above $90,000 would be “great” for bulls, while a breakdown below that level would risk invalidating the rally.

分析师Altcoin Sherpa强调了比特币在维持看涨势头方面的下一个本地低点的重要性。他在X上说，持有超过90,000美元的公牛对公牛队来说将是“不错的”，而低于该水平的崩溃可能会使集会无效。

Meanwhile, Ali Charts described the current price zone around the yearly open as a “tough cookie,” suggesting strong buyer-seller indecision remains in play.

同时，Ali图表将年度开放式的当前价格区描述为“坚韧的饼干”，这表明强大的买家销售商的犹豫不决仍在起作用。

Crowd Greed Surges to Election-Era Levels

人群贪婪的潮流到选举时代的水平

Data from Santiment showed that the current greed levels measured across platforms are the highest since November 5, 2024, when Donald Trump was elected. The firm noted that while retail investor optimism surged, a flat weekend or mild retrace could trigger profit-taking among smaller investors.

Santiment的数据表明，自2024年11月5日，当选唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）当选以来，当前跨平台衡量的贪婪水平是最高的。该公司指出，随着零售投资者乐观的兴起，周末或温和的回溯可能会引发小型投资者的利润。

“If they sell here because they think we are seeing a top, whales would likely scoop up those coins and potentially push Bitcoin above $100K in the next 1-2 weeks,” Santiment analysts stated.

Santiment分析师说：“如果他们在这里出售，因为他们认为我们看到了顶部，那么鲸鱼可能会在接下来的1-2周内将这些硬币sc起来，并有可能将比特币提高到1万美元以上。”

The shift in crowd sentiment highlights the growing divergence between retail traders, who are becoming bullish, and seasoned traders, who urge caution at elevated levels.

人群情绪的转变凸显了正在看涨的零售商人和经验丰富的商人之间的差异，他们敦促在较高水平的水平上谨慎。

Ark Invest Levels Up Bitcoin Price Forecast

方舟投资水平提高比特币价格预测

In a longer-term view, Ark Invest updated its bullish forecast for Bitcoin. Its latest report estimated a potential price target of $2.4 million per coin by 2030 when considering active supply dynamics.

从长远来看，方舟投资对比特币的看涨预测更新了。它的最新报告估计，到2030年，考虑到主动供应动态时，到2030年，每枚硬币的潜在目标价为240万美元。

Ark Invest explained that roughly 40% of Bitcoin’s total supply remains “vaulted,” meaning long-held or lost coins that reduce sell-side pressure. Using this adjusted figure, Ark’s updated models predict a base bear-case price of $500,000 and a bull-case price of $2.4 million.

ARK Invest解释说，比特币总供应量的大约40％仍然“拱顶”，这意味着长期存在或丢失的硬币，减轻了卖方压力。使用此调整后的数字，ARK的更新模型预测，基本熊案价为500,000美元，牛盘价格为240万美元。

Ark’s projections reflect broader optimism among Bitcoin proponents. MicroStrategy chairman Michael Saylor and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong have also forecast multi-million dollar Bitcoin prices in the coming decades.

方舟的预测反映了比特币支持者的更加乐观。 MicroStrategy董事长Michael Saylor和Coinbase首席执行官Brian Armstrong在未来几十年中还预测了数百万美元的比特币价格。

0xNobler, another analyst, said Bitcoin had entered its “acceleration phase,” projecting a cycle top of around $260,000 and suggesting that altcoins could soon outperform.

另一位分析师0xnobler表示，比特币已经进入了“加速阶段”，预计周期最高约为260,000美元，并表明AltCoins很快就会跑赢大约。

Bitcoin’s battle at $95,000 reflects an ongoing tug-of-war between cautious traders and an increasingly euphoric crowd. While short-term sentiment remains optimistic, technical and macro signals suggest caution until Bitcoin can secure a weekly close well above key resistance levels.

比特币的战斗为95,000美元，反映了谨慎的商人与越来越欣喜若狂的人群之间正在进行的拔河比赛。尽管短期情绪保持乐观，但技术和宏观信号表明要谨慎，直到比特币能够确保每周靠近关键阻力水平。