比特幣（BTC）近距離抵抗力，因為它超過了$ 95K

比特幣（BTC）在高達$ 95,000之後接近關鍵的阻力區域

Key Insights:

關鍵見解：

* Bitcoin (BTC) approached a critical resistance zone after testing $95,000 on Monday, as traders grew cautious over the sustainability of its latest rally.

*比特幣（BTC）在周一測試了95,000美元後，在其最新拉力賽的可持續性方面持續了謹慎，在測試了95,000美元後接近了關鍵的阻力區。

* Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD rising to new seven-week highs before encountering strong selling pressure. Bitcoin preserved its yearly open at $93,500 during Wall Street trading hours but struggled to maintain upward momentum.

* TradingView的數據顯示，BTC/USD在遇到強大的銷售壓力之前上升到新的七周高點。比特幣在華爾街交易時間內每年的開放時間為93,500美元，但努力保持向上的勢頭。

GRAPHIC: BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

圖形：TradingView的BTC/USD圖表

Buyers and Sellers Lock Horns at $95K

買家和賣家將喇叭鎖定為$ 95K

Short-term volatility surged as BTC liquidated leveraged shorts above $95,000. According to CoinGlass, the move helped clear upside liquidity, yet doubts persisted among analysts about the breakout’s strength.

短期波動率飆升，BTC銷售的槓桿短褲超過$ 95,000。根據Coinglass的說法，此舉有助於清除上升流動性，但分析師之間對突破的實力持續存在疑問。

Popular trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that Bitcoin had now reclaimed the Bull Market Support Band, a technical indicator comprising several key moving averages. He said a weekly close above this range would strengthen bullish arguments for new highs, provided BTC holds above support.

受歡迎的交易者Daan Crypto交易指出，比特幣現在已經收回了Bull Market Support Band，這是一個技術指標，其中包括幾個關鍵的移動平均值。他說，只要BTC持有以上的支持，每週一次的距離超過此範圍將加強對新高高的看漲論據。

However, trader Skew observed the presence of a large-volume buyer and seller, suggesting a final showdown that could lead to a volatility spike.

但是，交易者偏向觀察到大批買家和賣方的存在，這表明最終的攤牌可能導致波動率飆升。

Material Indicators cofounder Keith Alan added to the cautious outlook, noting lower volumes and repeated price wicks below the yearly open. He stated that a pump above $95,000 without a strong catalyst would likely represent a short squeeze rather than organic demand.

材料指標聯合創始人基思·艾倫（Keith Alan）在謹慎的前景中增加了量，並指出較低的量和重複的價格芯是低於年度開放的。他說，沒有強催化劑的泵超過95,000美元，可能代表了短暫的擠壓而不是有機需求。

“For me, a pump above $95K would invalidate the new signal, but I’d probably consider such a move to be a short squeeze unless we have a catalyst with some substance behind it,” Alan wrote.

艾倫寫道：“對我來說，一個高於$ 95K的泵會使新信號無效，但我可能會認為這樣做是短暫的，除非我們有催化劑，卻背後有一些物質。”

Altcoin Sherpa Eyes Key Higher Low Formation

Altcoin Sherpa眼睛鑰匙更高的低層

Analyst Altcoin Sherpa highlighted the importance of Bitcoin’s next local low in maintaining bullish momentum. He said on X that holding above $90,000 would be “great” for bulls, while a breakdown below that level would risk invalidating the rally.

分析師Altcoin Sherpa強調了比特幣在維持看漲勢頭方面的下一個本地低點的重要性。他在X上說，持有超過90,000美元的公牛對公牛隊來說將是“不錯的”，而低於該水平的崩潰可能會使集會無效。

Meanwhile, Ali Charts described the current price zone around the yearly open as a “tough cookie,” suggesting strong buyer-seller indecision remains in play.

同時，Ali圖表將年度開放式的當前價格區描述為“堅韌的餅乾”，這表明強大的買家銷售商的猶豫不決仍在起作用。

Crowd Greed Surges to Election-Era Levels

人群貪婪的潮流到選舉時代的水平

Data from Santiment showed that the current greed levels measured across platforms are the highest since November 5, 2024, when Donald Trump was elected. The firm noted that while retail investor optimism surged, a flat weekend or mild retrace could trigger profit-taking among smaller investors.

Santiment的數據表明，自2024年11月5日，當選唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）當選以來，當前跨平台衡量的貪婪水平是最高的。該公司指出，隨著零售投資者樂觀的興起，週末或溫和的回溯可能會引發小型投資者的利潤。

“If they sell here because they think we are seeing a top, whales would likely scoop up those coins and potentially push Bitcoin above $100K in the next 1-2 weeks,” Santiment analysts stated.

Santiment分析師說：“如果他們在這裡出售，因為他們認為我們看到了頂部，那麼鯨魚可能會在接下來的1-2週內將這些硬幣sc起來，並有可能將比特幣提高到1萬美元以上。”

The shift in crowd sentiment highlights the growing divergence between retail traders, who are becoming bullish, and seasoned traders, who urge caution at elevated levels.

人群情緒的轉變凸顯了正在看漲的零售商人和經驗豐富的商人之間的差異，他們敦促在較高水平的水平上謹慎。

Ark Invest Levels Up Bitcoin Price Forecast

方舟投資水平提高比特幣價格預測

In a longer-term view, Ark Invest updated its bullish forecast for Bitcoin. Its latest report estimated a potential price target of $2.4 million per coin by 2030 when considering active supply dynamics.

從長遠來看，方舟投資對比特幣的看漲預測更新了。它的最新報告估計，到2030年，考慮到主動供應動態時，到2030年，每枚硬幣的潛在目標價為240萬美元。

Ark Invest explained that roughly 40% of Bitcoin’s total supply remains “vaulted,” meaning long-held or lost coins that reduce sell-side pressure. Using this adjusted figure, Ark’s updated models predict a base bear-case price of $500,000 and a bull-case price of $2.4 million.

ARK Invest解釋說，比特幣總供應量的大約40％仍然“拱頂”，這意味著長期存在或丟失的硬幣，減輕了賣方壓力。使用此調整後的數字，ARK的更新模型預測，基本熊案價為500,000美元，牛盤價格為240萬美元。

Ark’s projections reflect broader optimism among Bitcoin proponents. MicroStrategy chairman Michael Saylor and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong have also forecast multi-million dollar Bitcoin prices in the coming decades.

方舟的預測反映了比特幣支持者的更加樂觀。 MicroStrategy董事長Michael Saylor和Coinbase首席執行官Brian Armstrong在未來幾十年中還預測了數百萬美元的比特幣價格。

0xNobler, another analyst, said Bitcoin had entered its “acceleration phase,” projecting a cycle top of around $260,000 and suggesting that altcoins could soon outperform.

另一位分析師0xnobler表示，比特幣已經進入了“加速階段”，預計週期最高約為260,000美元，並表明AltCoins很快就會跑贏大約。

Bitcoin’s battle at $95,000 reflects an ongoing tug-of-war between cautious traders and an increasingly euphoric crowd. While short-term sentiment remains optimistic, technical and macro signals suggest caution until Bitcoin can secure a weekly close well above key resistance levels.

比特幣的戰鬥為95,000美元，反映了謹慎的商人與越來越欣喜若狂的人群之間正在進行的拔河比賽。儘管短期情緒保持樂觀，但技術和宏觀信號表明要謹慎，直到比特幣能夠確保每週靠近關鍵阻力水平。