XRP飆升8％，因為波紋部分解決了SEC訴訟

5月9日，XRP在過去24小時內飆升了8％，這是由於更廣泛的市場動力以及Ripple與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的部分和解。

The price of XRP has surged by 8% in the past 24 hours, driven by broader cryptocurrency market momentum and news of Ripple’s partial settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

在過去的24小時內，XRP的價格飆升了8％，這是由於更廣泛的加密貨幣市場動力以及Ripple與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的部分和解的新聞。

As part of the agreement, Ripple will pay $50 million of the original $125 million penalty imposed by the SEC. The SEC will return the remaining $75 million to Ripple, and both parties will drop their appeals if the court removes the injunction against Ripple.

作為協議的一部分，Ripple將支付SEC判處的1.25億美元罰款中的5000萬美元。 SEC將將剩餘的7500萬美元退還給Ripple，如果法院撤銷了針對Ripple的禁令，雙方將撤銷其上訴。

The development has lifted XRP’s price to $2.38, a level where it has encountered strong resistance. This marks the seventh month in a row where XRP has failed to break above this resistance despite several attempts.

該開發項目已將XRP的價格提高到2.38美元，這是遇到強烈阻力的水平。這標誌著連續第七個月XRP儘管有多次嘗試，但XRP仍未超過這種阻力。

If short-term holders decide to sell at current levels to pocket some gains, it could weaken the token’s upward momentum. Such a scenario may trap XRP in a consolidation zone between $2.12 and $2.38, delaying any breakout from this zone.

如果短期持有人決定以目前的水平出售一些收益，它可能會削弱令牌的向上勢頭。這種情況可能會將XRP捕獲到合併區2.12美元至2.38美元之間，從而延遲了該區域的任何突破。

However, if the bulls manage to clear the $2.38 resistance and turn it into a support level, it could trigger a sustained move toward the next resistance at $2.56. A successful breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart would also be needed to support further price gains and allow XRP to test the $2.38 resistance.

但是，如果公牛設法清除了2.38美元的電阻並將其轉變為支撐級，則可能會觸發持續的下一個阻力，以2.56美元的價格觸發。還需要在每日圖表上的Ichimoku雲上方的成功突破，以支持進一步的價格上漲並允許XRP測試2.38美元的電阻。

Short-Term Holders Show Bearish Behavior as MVRV Long/Short Difference Drops to 31-Month Low

短期持有人表現出看跌行為，因為MVRV長/短差降至31個月低點

On the other hand, XRP investors are showing mixed behavior, especially among short-term holders (STHs). The current value of the MVRV Long/Short Difference—a key on-chain indicator—has dropped to its lowest point in 31 months.

另一方面，XRP投資者表現出不同的行為，尤其是在短期持有人（STH）中。 MVRV長/短差的當前值（這是一個關鍵的鍊鍊指標）在31個月內下降到最低點。

MVRV stands for Market Value to Realized Value. It compares the market price of a token to the average price at which holders bought it. A low Long/Short MVRV Difference often signals that many STHs, who typically sell quickly when in profit, might sell now to lock in gains.

MVRV代表實現價值的市場價值。它將令牌的市場價格與持有人購買的平均價格進行了比較。長/短的MVRV差異常常表明許多STH（通常在利潤時迅速賣出）現在可能會賣出以鎖定收益。

If that happens, it can put downward pressure on XRP’s price and limit its ability to move higher. Short-term holders usually react quickly to price increases, and this behavior can prevent the token from breaking through key resistance zones.

如果發生這種情況，它可能會對XRP的價格下降壓力，並限制其移動更高的能力。短期持有人通常會對價格上漲迅速做出反應，這種行為可以防止令牌突破關鍵阻力區域。

Selling Pressure Builds as Short-Term Holders Pocket More Profits

出售壓力增加，因為短期持有人袋有更多利潤

As short-term holders gain more profits, the risk of sudden selling increases. If XRP experiences any short-term pullback, many holders might exit their positions. This wave of speculative selling could push prices lower or keep XRP stuck in its current range.

隨著短期持有人獲得更多的利潤，突然銷售的風險增加了。如果XRP經歷任何短期回調，許多持有人可能會退出其職位。這種投機性銷售浪潮可能會降低價格，或者將XRP卡在當前範圍內。

Technical analysis also shows mixed signals. The Ichimoku Cloud, a popular tool used to identify trends and reversals, currently shows bearish signs. This means the overall market sentiment still leans toward a downtrend.

技術分析還顯示了混合信號。 Ichimoku Cloud是一種流行的工具，用於識別趨勢和逆轉，目前顯示出看跌跡象。這意味著總體市場情緒仍然傾向於下降趨勢。

However, the candlestick pattern on the daily chart is nearing a potential breakout above the Ichimコウモku Cloud. If the price closes above the cloud, it would mark a bullish shift.

但是，每日圖表上的燭台圖案在Ichimコウモku雲上方接近潛在的突破。如果價格在雲端上方關閉，它將標誌著看漲的轉變。

A successful breakout above the cloud and the $2.38 resistance could support further price gains and allow XRP to test the next resistance at $2.56.

雲上方的成功突破和2.38美元的電阻可以支持進一步的價格上漲，並允許XRP測試下一個電阻的價格為2.56美元。

If the bears manage to break the bear flag pattern, it could lead to a 28% drop in XRP’s price.

如果熊隊設法打破了熊旗模式，則可能導致XRP的價格下降28％。

On May 9, the XRP/USDT daily chart on Bybit shows a bear flag pattern forming after a sharp upward move. A bear flag is a bearish continuation pattern where prices temporarily rise inside a parallel channel after a steep drop, then potentially fall again once the flag breaks down.

5月9日，BYBIT上的XRP/USDT每日圖表顯示出急劇向上移動後形成的熊旗圖案。熊旗是一種看跌的延續模式，陡峭下降後，價格在平行通道內暫時上升，然後一旦旗幟崩潰，價格可能會再次掉落。

The flagpole, which is the initial move down, saw XRP decline from highs above $2 to lows around $1.71. After the drop, the price bounced and formed a flag pattern with lower highs and lows.

旗桿是最初的轉移，XRP從高於$ 2的高價下降到1.71美元左右的低點。下降後，價格彈起並形成了一個高高和低點的旗幟圖案。

If this bear flag pattern confirms with a breakdown below the lower trendline, then it could continue the move seen in the flagpole. In this case, XRP could drop by around 28%, targeting the $1.71 level.

如果此熊旗模式在低趨勢線以下的故障確認，則可以繼續在旗桿中看到的移動。在這種情況下，XRP可能會下降約28％，目標是1.71美元。

Meanwhile, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2.2082, and XRP is still trading above it. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, is at 65.29, suggesting XRP is close to overbought territory. If selling pressure increases and the RSI drops, this could further support a bearish move.

同時，50天的指數移動平均線（EMA）為2.2082美元，XRP仍在交易之上。相對強度指數（RSI）是一個勢頭指標，在65.29處，表明XRP接近過多的領土。如果銷售壓力增加並且RSI下降，這可能會進一步支持看跌的舉動。

Volume remains moderate at 45.87 million, but a sudden spike in sell volume could confirm the pattern breakdown.

數量仍然為4587萬，但突然的賣出量可以證實模式故障。

If the bulls can defend the current support levels and push the price back above the Ichimoku Cloud, it could set the stage for further gains in the coming months.

如果公牛隊可以捍衛當前的支持水平並將價格推到伊希莫庫雲上方，那麼它可能會在未來幾個月內為進一步的增長奠定基礎。

However, if the bears manage to break the bear flag pattern, it could lead to a 28% drop in XRP’s price.

但是，如果熊隊設法打破了熊旗模式，則可能會導致XRP的價格下降28％。

This analysis considers the technical indicators and chart patterns to predict future price movements. It'

該分析考慮了技術指標和圖表模式，以預測未來的價格變動。它'