XRP飙升8％，因为波纹部分解决了SEC诉讼

5月9日，XRP在过去24小时内飙升了8％，这是由于更广泛的市场动力以及Ripple与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的部分和解。

The price of XRP has surged by 8% in the past 24 hours, driven by broader cryptocurrency market momentum and news of Ripple’s partial settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

在过去的24小时内，XRP的价格飙升了8％，这是由于更广泛的加密货币市场动力以及Ripple与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的部分和解的新闻。

As part of the agreement, Ripple will pay $50 million of the original $125 million penalty imposed by the SEC. The SEC will return the remaining $75 million to Ripple, and both parties will drop their appeals if the court removes the injunction against Ripple.

作为协议的一部分，Ripple将支付SEC判处的1.25亿美元罚款中的5000万美元。 SEC将将剩余的7500万美元退还给Ripple，如果法院撤销了针对Ripple的禁令，双方将撤销其上诉。

The development has lifted XRP’s price to $2.38, a level where it has encountered strong resistance. This marks the seventh month in a row where XRP has failed to break above this resistance despite several attempts.

该开发项目已将XRP的价格提高到2.38美元，这是遇到强烈阻力的水平。这标志着连续第七个月XRP尽管有多次尝试，但XRP仍未超过这种阻力。

If short-term holders decide to sell at current levels to pocket some gains, it could weaken the token’s upward momentum. Such a scenario may trap XRP in a consolidation zone between $2.12 and $2.38, delaying any breakout from this zone.

如果短期持有人决定以目前的水平出售一些收益，它可能会削弱令牌的向上势头。这种情况可能会将XRP捕获到合并区2.12美元至2.38美元之间，从而延迟了该区域的任何突破。

However, if the bulls manage to clear the $2.38 resistance and turn it into a support level, it could trigger a sustained move toward the next resistance at $2.56. A successful breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart would also be needed to support further price gains and allow XRP to test the $2.38 resistance.

但是，如果公牛设法清除了2.38美元的电阻并将其转变为支撑级，则可能会触发持续的下一个阻力，以2.56美元的价格触发。还需要在每日图表上的Ichimoku云上方的成功突破，以支持进一步的价格上涨并允许XRP测试2.38美元的电阻。

Short-Term Holders Show Bearish Behavior as MVRV Long/Short Difference Drops to 31-Month Low

短期持有人表现出看跌行为，因为MVRV长/短差降至31个月低点

On the other hand, XRP investors are showing mixed behavior, especially among short-term holders (STHs). The current value of the MVRV Long/Short Difference—a key on-chain indicator—has dropped to its lowest point in 31 months.

另一方面，XRP投资者表现出不同的行为，尤其是在短期持有人（STH）中。 MVRV长/短差的当前值（这是一个关键的链链指标）在31个月内下降到最低点。

MVRV stands for Market Value to Realized Value. It compares the market price of a token to the average price at which holders bought it. A low Long/Short MVRV Difference often signals that many STHs, who typically sell quickly when in profit, might sell now to lock in gains.

MVRV代表实现价值的市场价值。它将令牌的市场价格与持有人购买的平均价格进行了比较。长/短的MVRV差异常常表明许多STH（通常在利润时迅速卖出）现在可能会卖出以锁定收益。

If that happens, it can put downward pressure on XRP’s price and limit its ability to move higher. Short-term holders usually react quickly to price increases, and this behavior can prevent the token from breaking through key resistance zones.

如果发生这种情况，它可能会对XRP的价格下降压力，并限制其移动更高的能力。短期持有人通常会对价格上涨迅速做出反应，这种行为可以防止令牌突破关键阻力区域。

Selling Pressure Builds as Short-Term Holders Pocket More Profits

出售压力增加，因为短期持有人袋有更多利润

As short-term holders gain more profits, the risk of sudden selling increases. If XRP experiences any short-term pullback, many holders might exit their positions. This wave of speculative selling could push prices lower or keep XRP stuck in its current range.

随着短期持有人获得更多的利润，突然销售的风险增加了。如果XRP经历任何短期回调，许多持有人可能会退出其职位。这种投机性销售浪潮可能会降低价格，或者将XRP卡在当前范围内。

Technical analysis also shows mixed signals. The Ichimoku Cloud, a popular tool used to identify trends and reversals, currently shows bearish signs. This means the overall market sentiment still leans toward a downtrend.

技术分析还显示了混合信号。 Ichimoku Cloud是一种流行的工具，用于识别趋势和逆转，目前显示出看跌迹象。这意味着总体市场情绪仍然倾向于下降趋势。

However, the candlestick pattern on the daily chart is nearing a potential breakout above the Ichimコウモku Cloud. If the price closes above the cloud, it would mark a bullish shift.

但是，每日图表上的烛台图案在Ichimコウモku云上方接近潜在的突破。如果价格在云端上方关闭，它将标志着看涨的转变。

A successful breakout above the cloud and the $2.38 resistance could support further price gains and allow XRP to test the next resistance at $2.56.

云上方的成功突破和2.38美元的电阻可以支持进一步的价格上涨，并允许XRP测试下一个电阻的价格为2.56美元。

If the bears manage to break the bear flag pattern, it could lead to a 28% drop in XRP’s price.

如果熊队设法打破了熊旗模式，则可能导致XRP的价格下降28％。

On May 9, the XRP/USDT daily chart on Bybit shows a bear flag pattern forming after a sharp upward move. A bear flag is a bearish continuation pattern where prices temporarily rise inside a parallel channel after a steep drop, then potentially fall again once the flag breaks down.

5月9日，BYBIT上的XRP/USDT每日图表显示出急剧向上移动后形成的熊旗图案。熊旗是一种看跌的延续模式，陡峭下降后，价格在平行通道内暂时上升，然后一旦旗帜崩溃，价格可能会再次掉落。

The flagpole, which is the initial move down, saw XRP decline from highs above $2 to lows around $1.71. After the drop, the price bounced and formed a flag pattern with lower highs and lows.

旗杆是最初的转移，XRP从高于$ 2的高价下降到1.71美元左右的低点。下降后，价格弹起并形成了一个高高和低点的旗帜图案。

If this bear flag pattern confirms with a breakdown below the lower trendline, then it could continue the move seen in the flagpole. In this case, XRP could drop by around 28%, targeting the $1.71 level.

如果此熊旗模式在低趋势线以下的故障确认，则可以继续在旗杆中看到的移动。在这种情况下，XRP可能会下降约28％，目标是1.71美元。

Meanwhile, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $2.2082, and XRP is still trading above it. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, is at 65.29, suggesting XRP is close to overbought territory. If selling pressure increases and the RSI drops, this could further support a bearish move.

同时，50天的指数移动平均线（EMA）为2.2082美元，XRP仍在交易之上。相对强度指数（RSI）是一个势头指标，在65.29处，表明XRP接近过多的领土。如果销售压力增加并且RSI下降，这可能会进一步支持看跌的举动。

Volume remains moderate at 45.87 million, but a sudden spike in sell volume could confirm the pattern breakdown.

数量仍然为4587万，但突然的卖出量可以证实模式故障。

If the bulls can defend the current support levels and push the price back above the Ichimoku Cloud, it could set the stage for further gains in the coming months.

如果公牛队可以捍卫当前的支持水平并将价格推到伊希莫库云上方，那么它可能会在未来几个月内为进一步的增长奠定基础。

However, if the bears manage to break the bear flag pattern, it could lead to a 28% drop in XRP’s price.

但是，如果熊队设法打破了熊旗模式，则可能会导致XRP的价格下降28％。

This analysis considers the technical indicators and chart patterns to predict future price movements. It'

该分析考虑了技术指标和图表模式，以预测未来的价格变动。它'