XRP價格顯示出強大的現貨高級階段，暗示突破集會至3.78美元

XRP（XRP）正在經歷其歷史上最強的持續持續階段，在這個時期，現貨市場一直在較強的水平上進行交易

Key takeaways:

關鍵要點：

XRP’s strongest spot premium phase suggests real buying demand, not just speculative futures trading.

XRP最強的現貨高級階段表明，不僅投機期貨交易，這表明了真正的購買需求。

The number of XRP addresses holding ≥10,000 tokens has steadily climbed, even during recent price pullbacks.

即使在最近的價格下跌期間，持有≥10,000個令牌的XRP地址的數量也穩步上升。

A falling wedge pattern points to a possible breakout toward $3 to $3.78, with up to 70% upside if confirmed.

下降的楔形模式指向可能的突破趨於3至3.78美元，如果確認，最高可上漲70％。

XRP (XRP) is experiencing its strongest sustained phase of spot premium in history, a period where the spot market has been consistently trading at stronger levels compared to perpetual futures.

XRP（XRP）正在經歷其歷史上最強的持續持續階段，在這個時期，與永久未來相比，現貨市場一直以更強的水平進行交易。

Since 2020, most major XRP price peaks happened when the perpetual futures market was leading, noted market analyst Dom in his May 2 post on X.

自2020年以來，大多數主要的XRP價格峰發生在永久期貨市場領先時，他在5月2日在X上的帖子中指出。

But as of 2024, a spot premium suggests that demand from actual XRP buyers is driving the rally, signaling a more stable price rise compared to past runs fueled by leveraged bets.

但是截至2024年，現貨溢價表明，實際XRP買家的需求正在推動集會，這表明與槓桿賭注推動的過去的運行相比，價格上漲更穩定。

Further reinforcing the case for real demand, Glassnode data shows a consistent rise in the number of XRP addresses holding at least 10,000 XRP (the green wave in the chart below) since late November 2024.

自2024年11月下旬以來，玻璃節數據進一步加強了實際需求，玻璃節數據顯示XRP地址的數量持續增加（下圖中的綠波）。

XRP’s price has rallied by approximately 350% since then.

從那以後，XRP的價格上漲了約350％。

XRP’s whale count has risen even during its 35% price pullback between January and April. It suggests that larger holders—often viewed as more patient or strategic investors—are steadily accumulating positions in anticipation of further gains.

XRP的鯨魚數量甚至在1月至4月之間的35％價格下跌期間也上漲。它表明，較大的持有人（通常被視為越來越多的耐心或戰略投資者）穩步積累了立場，期待進一步的收益。

Recently, optimism has been fueled by improving odds of spot XRP ETF approval in the US. The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision to drop its lawsuit against Ripple has further boosted the market’s upside sentiment.

最近，通過改善了美國XRP ETF批准的機率來激發樂觀。美國證券交易委員會（SEC）決定撤銷其針對波紋的訴訟的決定進一步提高了市場的上行情緒。

Related: SEC punts decisions on XRP, DOGE ETFs

相關：SEC關於XRP，Doge ETF的決策

XRP has been consolidating within a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart — a structure defined by downward-sloping, converging trendlines. In technical analysis, this pattern is generally viewed as a bullish reversal signal.

XRP在每週圖表上的楔形模式中一直在鞏固，該結構由向下傾斜，收斂的趨勢線定義。在技​​術分析中，這種模式通常被視為看漲的逆轉信號。

A confirmed breakout requires a clear move above the wedge’s upper resistance near $2.52.

確認的突破需要在楔形的上部電阻上方明確移動，接近$ 2.52。

If XRP breaks this level, the pattern’s measured move — calculated from the wedge’s maximum height — suggests a potential rally toward $3.78 by June. This would represent an estimated 70% upside from the current prices.

如果XRP破壞了此級別，則該模式的移動（根據楔形的最大高度計算出來）表明，到6月，可能會有$ 3.78的可能性。這將是當前價格估計有70％的上漲空間。

Conversely, if XRP fails to break above the $2.52 resistance, the price could pull back toward the wedge’s lower trendline. The pattern’s apex near $1.81 may act as the final potential breakout point.

相反，如果XRP未能超過2.52美元的電阻，則價格可能會向後駛向楔子的較低趨勢線。該模式的頂點接近1.81美元，可能是最終的潛在突破點。

A breakout from the $1.81 level would still keep the pattern’s structure intact, with a potential upside target around $3 by June or July — roughly 35% above current levels.

從$ 1.81的級別進行的突破仍將保持模式的結構完好無損，到6月或7月的3美元左右，潛在的上行目標左右，比當前水平高約35％。