XRP价格显示出强大的现货高级阶段，暗示突破集会至3.78美元

XRP（XRP）正在经历其历史上最强的持续持续阶段，在这个时期，现货市场一直在较强的水平上进行交易

Key takeaways:

关键要点：

XRP’s strongest spot premium phase suggests real buying demand, not just speculative futures trading.

XRP最强的现货高级阶段表明，不仅投机期货交易，这表明了真正的购买需求。

The number of XRP addresses holding ≥10,000 tokens has steadily climbed, even during recent price pullbacks.

即使在最近的价格下跌期间，持有≥10,000个令牌的XRP地址的数量也稳步上升。

A falling wedge pattern points to a possible breakout toward $3 to $3.78, with up to 70% upside if confirmed.

下降的楔形模式指向可能的突破趋于3至3.78美元，如果确认，最高可上涨70％。

XRP (XRP) is experiencing its strongest sustained phase of spot premium in history, a period where the spot market has been consistently trading at stronger levels compared to perpetual futures.

XRP（XRP）正在经历其历史上最强的持续持续阶段，在这个时期，与永久未来相比，现货市场一直以更强的水平进行交易。

Since 2020, most major XRP price peaks happened when the perpetual futures market was leading, noted market analyst Dom in his May 2 post on X.

自2020年以来，大多数主要的XRP价格峰发生在永久期货市场领先时，他在5月2日在X上的帖子中指出。

But as of 2024, a spot premium suggests that demand from actual XRP buyers is driving the rally, signaling a more stable price rise compared to past runs fueled by leveraged bets.

但是截至2024年，现货溢价表明，实际XRP买家的需求正在推动集会，这表明与杠杆赌注推动的过去的运行相比，价格上涨更稳定。

Further reinforcing the case for real demand, Glassnode data shows a consistent rise in the number of XRP addresses holding at least 10,000 XRP (the green wave in the chart below) since late November 2024.

自2024年11月下旬以来，玻璃节数据进一步加强了实际需求，玻璃节数据显示XRP地址的数量持续增加（下图中的绿波）。

XRP’s price has rallied by approximately 350% since then.

从那以后，XRP的价格上涨了约350％。

XRP’s whale count has risen even during its 35% price pullback between January and April. It suggests that larger holders—often viewed as more patient or strategic investors—are steadily accumulating positions in anticipation of further gains.

XRP的鲸鱼数量甚至在1月至4月之间的35％价格下跌期间也上涨。它表明，较大的持有人（通常被视为越来越多的耐心或战略投资者）稳步积累了立场，期待进一步的收益。

Recently, optimism has been fueled by improving odds of spot XRP ETF approval in the US. The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision to drop its lawsuit against Ripple has further boosted the market’s upside sentiment.

最近，通过改善了美国XRP ETF批准的几率来激发乐观。美国证券交易委员会（SEC）决定撤销其针对波纹的诉讼的决定进一步提高了市场的上行情绪。

Related: SEC punts decisions on XRP, DOGE ETFs

相关：SEC关于XRP，Doge ETF的决策

XRP has been consolidating within a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart — a structure defined by downward-sloping, converging trendlines. In technical analysis, this pattern is generally viewed as a bullish reversal signal.

XRP在每周图表上的楔形模式中一直在巩固，该结构由向下倾斜，收敛的趋势线定义。在技​​术分析中，这种模式通常被视为看涨的逆转信号。

A confirmed breakout requires a clear move above the wedge’s upper resistance near $2.52.

确认的突破需要在楔形的上部电阻上方明确移动，接近$ 2.52。

If XRP breaks this level, the pattern’s measured move — calculated from the wedge’s maximum height — suggests a potential rally toward $3.78 by June. This would represent an estimated 70% upside from the current prices.

如果XRP破坏了此级别，则该模式的移动（根据楔形的最大高度计算出来）表明，到6月，可能会有$ 3.78的可能性。这将是当前价格估计有70％的上涨空间。

Conversely, if XRP fails to break above the $2.52 resistance, the price could pull back toward the wedge’s lower trendline. The pattern’s apex near $1.81 may act as the final potential breakout point.

相反，如果XRP未能超过2.52美元的电阻，则价格可能会向后驶向楔子的较低趋势线。该模式的顶点接近1.81美元，可能是最终的潜在突破点。

A breakout from the $1.81 level would still keep the pattern’s structure intact, with a potential upside target around $3 by June or July — roughly 35% above current levels.

从$ 1.81的级别进行的突破仍将保持模式的结构完好无损，到6月或7月的3美元左右，潜在的上行目标左右，比当前水平高约35％。