XRP能推翻比特幣嗎？專家參與

數週以來，XRP 的價格表現一直是加密貨幣市場的焦點。 12 月初觸及 2.50 美元

As XRP continues to post staggering gains, reaching $2.50 at the start of December and notching an almost 400% increase since the U.S. election last month, a burning question has emerged among crypto enthusiasts: Can XRP eventually overthrow Bitcoin next?

隨著 XRP 繼續取得驚人的漲幅，在 12 月初達到 2.50 美元，自上個月美國大選以來上漲了近 400%，加密貨幣愛好者中出現了一個緊迫的問題：XRP 最終能否推翻比特幣？

While such growth may excite optimists, going too far could destabilize the market as it did then. Even a realistic upside scenario, such as a 1,000% increase, could lead to catastrophic corrections if the market fails to maintain balance.

雖然這樣的成長可能會讓樂觀者感到興奮，但走得太遠可能會像當時那樣破壞市場的穩定。如果市場未能保持平衡，即使是現實的上漲情景，例如上漲 1,000%，也可能導致災難性的調整。

After hitting $2.50 at the start of December, XRP has posted a staggering, almost 400%, gain since the U.S. election last month, climbing into a dominant position in the crypto market. Now valued at over $135 billion in market capitalization, XRP is the third-largest digital asset, trailing only Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

自 12 月初觸及 2.50 美元後，自上個月美國大選以來，XRP 漲幅驚人，接近 400%，攀升至加密貨幣市場的主導地位。 XRP 目前市值超過 1,350 億美元，是第三大數位資產，僅次於比特幣 (BTC) 和以太幣 (ETH)。

This impressive performance has sparked speculation about whether XRP can continue to outpace the market leader and eventually claim the top spot in the cryptocurrency rankings.

這一令人印象深刻的表現引發了人們對 XRP 能否繼續超越市場領導者並最終佔據加密貨幣排名榜首的猜測。

However, a closer examination of XRP's fully diluted valuation (FDV) reveals some interesting insights. Currently pegged at $435 billion, XRP's FDV is already double that of Solana (SOL), which is ranked fifth with a market capitalization of $66 billion.

然而，對 XRP 的完全稀釋估值（FDV）的仔細研究揭示了一些有趣的見解。 XRP 的 FDV 目前為 4,350 億美元，已經是 Solana (SOL) 的兩倍，後者市值為 660 億美元，排名第五。

Furthermore, XRP's FDV is rapidly approaching that of Ethereum, which is currently valued at $560 billion. If XRP were to continue on its current trajectory, it could overtake Ethereum in terms of fully diluted valuation sometime next year.

此外，XRP 的 FDV 正迅速接近以太坊，後者目前估值為 5,600 億美元。如果 XRP 繼續保持目前的軌跡，它可能會在明年某個時候在完全稀釋估值方面超越以太坊。

DonAlt, a trader-expert known in the crypto space under the nickname, stood up to answer that question. Noting that XRP's fully diluted valuation is now double that of Solana and rapidly approaching Ethereum, DonAlt drew parallels to 2017, when XRP briefly overtook Bitcoin.

DonAlt，一位在加密領域以綽號聞名的交易專家，站出來回答了這個問題。 DonAlt 注意到 XRP 完全稀釋後的估值現在是 Solana 的兩倍，並迅速接近以太坊，他將 XRP 與 2017 年的情況進行了比較，當時 XRP 曾短暫超越比特幣。

“Happened in 2017 for a brief moment, then the entire market nuked to zero.”

“2017 年發生了一小段時間，然後整個市場就歸零了。”

Adding another angle to the discussion, renowned trader Peter Brandt recently shared a more bullish perspective. According to Brandt, if XRP were to multiply tenfold from its current price of $24, it would reach a market capitalization of $1.37 trillion.

著名交易員彼得·布蘭特(Peter Brandt)最近分享了更樂觀的觀點，為討論增添了另一個角度。 Brandt 表示，如果 XRP 從目前 24 美元的價格上漲十倍，其市值將達到 1.37 兆美元。

While this figure still trails Bitcoin's current market cap of $1.89 trillion, it puts XRP within close reach of challenging the market leader's dominance.

儘管這一數字仍落後於比特幣目前 1.89 兆美元的市值，但這使得 XRP 預計將挑戰市場領導者的主導地位。

“If XRP were to multiply tenfold from here (as it did in 2022) to $24/each, it would reach a market capitalization of $1.37 trillion, putting Bitcoin (now at $1.89 trillion) in its sights.”

「如果 XRP 從現在的水平（如 2022 年那樣）翻十倍至每枚 24 美元，其市值將達到 1.37 兆美元，從而將比特幣（目前為 1.89 兆美元）納入其視野。”