XRP能推翻比特币吗？专家参与

数周以来，XRP 的价格表现一直是加密货币市场关注的焦点。 12 月初触及 2.50 美元

As XRP continues to post staggering gains, reaching $2.50 at the start of December and notching an almost 400% increase since the U.S. election last month, a burning question has emerged among crypto enthusiasts: Can XRP eventually overthrow Bitcoin next?

随着 XRP 继续取得惊人的涨幅，在 12 月初达到 2.50 美元，自上个月美国大选以来上涨了近 400%，加密货币爱好者中出现了一个紧迫的问题：XRP 最终能否推翻比特币？

While such growth may excite optimists, going too far could destabilize the market as it did then. Even a realistic upside scenario, such as a 1,000% increase, could lead to catastrophic corrections if the market fails to maintain balance.

虽然这样的增长可能会令乐观者兴奋，但走得太远可能会像当时那样破坏市场的稳定。如果市场未能保持平衡，即使是现实的上涨情景，例如上涨 1,000%，也可能导致灾难性的调整。

After hitting $2.50 at the start of December, XRP has posted a staggering, almost 400%, gain since the U.S. election last month, climbing into a dominant position in the crypto market. Now valued at over $135 billion in market capitalization, XRP is the third-largest digital asset, trailing only Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

自 12 月初触及 2.50 美元后，自上个月美国大选以来，XRP 涨幅惊人，接近 400%，攀升至加密货币市场的主导地位。 XRP 目前市值超过 1350 亿美元，是第三大数字资产，仅次于比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH)。

This impressive performance has sparked speculation about whether XRP can continue to outpace the market leader and eventually claim the top spot in the cryptocurrency rankings.

这一令人印象深刻的表现引发了人们对 XRP 能否继续超越市场领导者并最终占据加密货币排名榜首的猜测。

However, a closer examination of XRP's fully diluted valuation (FDV) reveals some interesting insights. Currently pegged at $435 billion, XRP's FDV is already double that of Solana (SOL), which is ranked fifth with a market capitalization of $66 billion.

然而，对 XRP 的完全稀释估值（FDV）的仔细研究揭示了一些有趣的见解。 XRP 的 FDV 目前为 4350 亿美元，已经是 Solana (SOL) 的两倍，后者市值为 660 亿美元，排名第五。

Furthermore, XRP's FDV is rapidly approaching that of Ethereum, which is currently valued at $560 billion. If XRP were to continue on its current trajectory, it could overtake Ethereum in terms of fully diluted valuation sometime next year.

此外，XRP 的 FDV 正在迅速接近以太坊，后者目前估值为 5600 亿美元。如果 XRP 继续保持目前的轨迹，它可能会在明年某个时候在完全摊薄估值方面超越以太坊。

DonAlt, a trader-expert known in the crypto space under the nickname, stood up to answer that question. Noting that XRP's fully diluted valuation is now double that of Solana and rapidly approaching Ethereum, DonAlt drew parallels to 2017, when XRP briefly overtook Bitcoin.

DonAlt，一位在加密领域以绰号闻名的交易专家，站出来回答了这个问题。 DonAlt 注意到 XRP 完全摊薄后的估值现在是 Solana 的两倍，并迅速接近以太坊，他将 XRP 与 2017 年的情况进行了比较，当时 XRP 曾短暂超越比特币。

“Happened in 2017 for a brief moment, then the entire market nuked to zero.”

“2017 年发生了一小段时间，然后整个市场就归零了。”

Adding another angle to the discussion, renowned trader Peter Brandt recently shared a more bullish perspective. According to Brandt, if XRP were to multiply tenfold from its current price of $24, it would reach a market capitalization of $1.37 trillion.

著名交易员彼得·勃兰特(Peter Brandt)最近分享了更为乐观的观点，为讨论增添了另一个角度。 Brandt 表示，如果 XRP 从目前 24 美元的价格上涨十倍，其市值将达到 1.37 万亿美元。

While this figure still trails Bitcoin's current market cap of $1.89 trillion, it puts XRP within close reach of challenging the market leader's dominance.

尽管这一数字仍落后于比特币当前 1.89 万亿美元的市值，但这使得 XRP 有望挑战市场领导者的主导地位。

“If XRP were to multiply tenfold from here (as it did in 2022) to $24/each, it would reach a market capitalization of $1.37 trillion, putting Bitcoin (now at $1.89 trillion) in its sights.”

“如果 XRP 从现在的水平（如 2022 年那样）翻十倍至每枚 24 美元，其市值将达到 1.37 万亿美元，从而将比特币（目前为 1.89 万亿美元）纳入其视野。”