XRP可以在2025年底之前納入美國國家儲備

截至5月中旬，預測市場多聚類的數據表明，今年將XRP作為美國儲備資產的概率18％。

A surprising prediction market now gives a 18% chance that state will incorporate the crypto into its national reserves by the close of 2025.

令人驚訝的預測市場現在有18％的機會將加密貨幣納入2025年底。

This current likelihood reflects a 4% increase from earlier trading levels on the platform, highlighting a notable uptick in speculative interest concerning XRP’s potential role within governmental frameworks.

當前的可能性反映了平台上早期的交易水平增長了4％，突顯了有關XRP在政府框架中的潛在作用的投機利益的顯著提升。

The question posed on Polymarket specifically inquires about the probability of the U.S. adopting XRP as a reserve asset this year.

對Polymarket提出的問題專門詢問了美國今年採用XRP作為儲備資產的可能性。

Polymarket's charted probabilities have shown sharp shifts throughout the year. The likelihood peaked above 35% in early March before a significant drop. Since April, the probability has remained between 15% and 20%, signaling more consistent sentiment despite ongoing market debates.

Polymarket的圖表概率全年顯示出急劇變化。 3月初，可能性達到35％以上，然後大幅下降。自4月以來，這種概率一直保持在15％至20％之間，儘管市場辯論正在進行，但仍表示一致的情緒。

So far, this market has recorded over $549,000 in total trading volume, indicating significant engagement from participants monitoring policy and institutional developments in the crypto sector.

到目前為止，該市場的總交易量超過549,000美元，這表明參與者監測了加密貨幣部門的政策和機構發展。

The timing aligns with broader developments in crypto-related policy in the U.S., including discussions around stablecoin legislation, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and the legal status of digital assets like XRP.

時間安排與美國與加密相關政策的更廣泛發展保持一致，包括圍繞Stablecoin立法，中央銀行數字貨幣（CBDC）的討論以及XRP等數字資產的法律地位。

This follows a recent announcement by wealth manager and digital asset commentator Connor McLaughlin, who, during a financial broadcast, addressed the potential implications of a U.S. XRP reserve.

這是在財富經理和數字資產評論員Connor McLaughlin的最新宣布之後，他在財務廣播期間談到了美國XRP儲備的潛在影響。

He explained that the impact would largely depend on the government’s intent, whether it serves as a general investment or supports a deeper liquidity-based partnership.

他解釋說，這種影響在很大程度上取決於政府的意圖，它是一般投資還是支持更深的基於流動性的合作夥伴關係。

McLaughlin noted that the latter could signal a more advanced level of integration with federal operations, perhaps indicating a move to diversify revenue streams or manage liquidity needs through crypto assets.

麥克勞克林（McLaughlin）指出，後者可以表明與聯邦業務的整合水平更高，這可能表明轉移收入流多樣化或通過加密資產管理流動性需求。

However, he also noted that internal disagreement may have slowed any momentum on this front. He stated that there is uncertainty around whether such discussions were paused due to possible controversy or were ultimately shelved.

但是，他還指出，內部分歧可能會減慢這方面的任何動力。他說，是否由於可能的爭議或最終被擱置而暫停此類討論存在不確定性。

Despite rumors and theories circulating online, no official policies regarding the adoption of XRP or other cryptocurrencies as reserve assets have been announced by the U.S. government.

儘管有謠言和理論在線流傳，但美國政府宣布了關於XRP或其他加密貨幣的採用或其他加密貨幣的官方政策。