XRP可以在2025年底之前纳入美国国家储备

截至5月中旬，预测市场多聚类的数据表明，今年将XRP作为美国储备资产的概率18％。

A surprising prediction market now gives a 18% chance that state will incorporate the crypto into its national reserves by the close of 2025.

令人惊讶的预测市场现在有18％的机会将加密货币纳入2025年底。

This current likelihood reflects a 4% increase from earlier trading levels on the platform, highlighting a notable uptick in speculative interest concerning XRP’s potential role within governmental frameworks.

当前的可能性反映了平台上早期的交易水平增长了4％，突显了有关XRP在政府框架中的潜在作用的投机利益的显着提升。

The question posed on Polymarket specifically inquires about the probability of the U.S. adopting XRP as a reserve asset this year.

对Polymarket提出的问题专门询问了美国今年采用XRP作为储备资产的可能性。

Polymarket's charted probabilities have shown sharp shifts throughout the year. The likelihood peaked above 35% in early March before a significant drop. Since April, the probability has remained between 15% and 20%, signaling more consistent sentiment despite ongoing market debates.

Polymarket的图表概率全年显示出急剧变化。 3月初，可能性达到35％以上，然后大幅下降。自4月以来，这种概率一直保持在15％至20％之间，尽管市场辩论正在进行，但仍表示一致的情绪。

So far, this market has recorded over $549,000 in total trading volume, indicating significant engagement from participants monitoring policy and institutional developments in the crypto sector.

到目前为止，该市场的总交易量超过549,000美元，这表明参与者监测了加密货币部门的政策和机构发展。

The timing aligns with broader developments in crypto-related policy in the U.S., including discussions around stablecoin legislation, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and the legal status of digital assets like XRP.

时间安排与美国与加密相关政策的更广泛发展保持一致，包括围绕Stablecoin立法，中央银行数字货币（CBDC）的讨论以及XRP等数字资产的法律地位。

This follows a recent announcement by wealth manager and digital asset commentator Connor McLaughlin, who, during a financial broadcast, addressed the potential implications of a U.S. XRP reserve.

这是在财富经理和数字资产评论员Connor McLaughlin的最新宣布之后，他在财务广播期间谈到了美国XRP储备的潜在影响。

He explained that the impact would largely depend on the government’s intent, whether it serves as a general investment or supports a deeper liquidity-based partnership.

他解释说，这种影响在很大程度上取决于政府的意图，它是一般投资还是支持更深的基于流动性的合作伙伴关系。

McLaughlin noted that the latter could signal a more advanced level of integration with federal operations, perhaps indicating a move to diversify revenue streams or manage liquidity needs through crypto assets.

麦克劳克林（McLaughlin）指出，后者可以表明与联邦业务的整合水平更高，这可能表明转移收入流多样化或通过加密资产管理流动性需求。

However, he also noted that internal disagreement may have slowed any momentum on this front. He stated that there is uncertainty around whether such discussions were paused due to possible controversy or were ultimately shelved.

但是，他还指出，内部分歧可能会减慢这方面的任何动力。他说，是否由于可能的争议或最终被搁置而暂停此类讨论存在不确定性。

Despite rumors and theories circulating online, no official policies regarding the adoption of XRP or other cryptocurrencies as reserve assets have been announced by the U.S. government.

尽管有谣言和理论在线流传，但美国政府宣布了关于XRP或其他加密货币的采用或其他加密货币的官方政策。