XRP/美元對形成看漲的旗幟圖案，目標是29％集會至$ 3.01

2025年5月26日，XRP/美元對在4小時圖表上形成了看漲的旗幟圖案。當尖銳的價格集會之後是向下傾斜的合併，通常是在兩條平行線之間，就會出現看漲的國旗圖案。

May 26, 2025 - A bullish flag pattern appears when a sharp price rally is followed by a downward-sloping consolidation, typically between two parallel lines. It often signals that the price may continue rising once the pattern confirms.

2025年5月26日 - 當價格急劇集會之後是向下傾斜的合併時，通常會出現看漲的旗幟圖案，通常是在兩條平行線之間。它通常表明一旦模式確認，價格可能會繼續上漲。

After a strong rally from the March 13 low of $1.536 to reach highs of around $2.33 on May 14, XRP formed a bullish flag as it slid from the highs.

在3月13日低至1.536美元的強勁集會上，5月14日達到2.33美元左右，XRP從高高滑落時形成了看漲的旗幟。

The price is currently testing the lower red trendline of the bullish flag. If the price breaks out of the bullish flag, it could rally approximately 29% from the current price of $2.34 to the projected target of $3.01.

價格目前正在測試看漲旗幟的較低紅色趨勢線。如果價格突破了看漲的旗幟，則可能從當前價格為2.34美元的價格到預計的目標3.01美元約29％。

Moreover, XRP is currently trading just below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.36, which now acts as dynamic resistance. A breakout above both the EMA and the upper red trendline may trigger the expected continuation.

此外，XRP目前的交易價格略低於50階段的指數移動平均線（EMA），價格為2.36美元，現在是動態阻力。高於EMA和上部紅色趨勢線的突破可能會觸發預期的延續。

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, stands at 49.13, just below the neutral 50 level. The RSI line is curving upward, indicating improving momentum. If the RSI manages to climb above 50 with strong volume, it would support the bullish flag confirmation.

同時，動量指標的相對強度指數（RSI）為49.13，略低於中性50級。 RSI線正在向上彎曲，表明動量改善。如果RSI設法以強勁的數量攀升了50，它將支持看漲的旗幟確認。

As for trading volume, it remains moderate at 305.34K, with no significant spikes yet. However, any increase in volume during a breakout could validate the move toward $3.01.

至於交易量，它的溫度仍為305.34K，尚無明顯的峰值。但是，突破期間的任何數量增加都可以驗證向3.01美元的搬遷。

In short, XRP is consolidating in a bullish flag. If it breaks above the resistance and EMA with strong volume, a 29% rally toward $3.01 may follow.

簡而言之，XRP正在鞏固看漲的旗幟。如果它的電阻超過了電阻，則可以強勁的量，則可能會有29％的集會向3.01美元。

XRP-Bitcoin Correlation Drops to 0.4, Raising Short-Term Price Pressure Risks

XRP-BITCOIN相關性下降到0.4，增加了短期價格壓力風險

XRP-BITCOIN相關性下降到0.4，增加了短期價格壓力風險

On May 26, the correlation coefficient between XRP and Bitcoin dropped to 0.40, reaching its lowest level since February 2025. A correlation coefficient measures the degree to which two assets move in relation to each other, with 1 indicating perfect correlation and 0 indicating no correlation.

5月26日，XRP和比特幣之間的相關係數降至0.40，達到了自2025年2月以來的最低水平。相關係數衡量了兩個資產相互關聯的程度，其中1個表示完美相關，0表示無相關性。

A 0.4 reading shows that XRP is becoming increasingly disconnected from Bitcoin’s price action. In the short term, this divergence could increase the possibilities for sharper price fluctuations in either direction.

0.4讀物表明，XRP與比特幣的價格行動越來越脫節。在短期內，這種差異可能會增加任何方向上價格上漲的可能性。

Historically, this kind of decoupling has had negative consequences. For example, the last time the correlation dropped to this level, XRP’s price fell by 22.33%, highlighted by the green zone in the chart below.

從歷史上看，這種脫鉤產生了負面後果。例如，上次相關性下降到此水平時，XRP的價格下降了22.33％，在下圖中由綠色區域突出顯示。

This decoupling comes at a time when Bitcoin has hit a new all-time high. Typically, altcoins like XRP benefit from Bitcoin’s strength, especially when it’s making new highs. However, the current divergence suggests XRP may not benefit from Bitcoin’s upward momentum. This weakening link could indicate reduced investor confidence or shifting capital to other altcoins.

這種脫鉤是在比特幣達到新歷史最高水平的時候。通常，像XRP這樣的AltCoins受益於比特幣的實力，尤其是在提高新高點時。但是，當前的差異表明XRP可能不會受益於比特幣的向上勢頭。這種虛弱的聯繫可能表明投資者的信心降低或將資本轉移到其他山寨幣。

Despite this, on-chain data points to growing investor conviction. The supply of XRP that has remained unmoved for 3–6 months has increased steadily in May, as highlighted by Glassnode. This signals that short-term holders are maturing into mid-term holders, suggesting a more stable and less speculative investor base.

儘管如此，鏈上的數據表明投資者的定罪不斷增長。如玻璃節的強調，五月的XRP供應在3-6個月內保持了3-6個月的穩定增長。這表明短期持有人正在將中期持有人納入中期持有人，這表明一個更穩定，更少的投資者基礎。

Therefore, while technical correlation weakens and near-term price risk increases, holding behavior implies a longer-term confidence among XRP investors.

因此，儘管技術相關性削弱了，近期價格風險增加，但保持行為意味著XRP投資者的長期信心。

Dormant XRP Supply Hits 12.3 Billion, Signals Rising Long-Term Confidence

休眠XRP供應量達到123億，信號上升了長期信心

休眠XRP供應量達到123億，信號上升了長期信心

From mid-March to late May 2025, the total supply of XRP last active 3 to 6 months ago climbed steadily from 8 billion to 12.3 billion tokens, according to Glassnode data.

根據GlassNode的數據，從3月中旬到2025年5月下旬，XRP的總供應量為3到6個月前，XRP的總供應量從80億個穩定升至123億標記。

This metric tracks coins that have not moved for three to six months, and its increase suggests that more holders are choosing not to sell. These investors are either waiting for a better exit price or signaling long-term confidence in XRP’s outlook.

該指標跟踪了三到六個月沒有移動的硬幣，其增加表明，更多的持有人選擇不出售。這些投資者要么在等待更好的退出價格，要么在XRP的前景中發出長期信心。

While XRP’s price (black line) showed moderate volatility during this period, the green line representing dormant supply moved consistently upward. This divergence suggests that the recent sideways or slightly bearish price action has not shaken holders with mid-term conviction.

儘管在此期間，XRP的價格（黑線）顯示出中度波動，但代表休眠供應的綠線始終向上移動。這種分歧表明，最近的側面或稍微看跌的價格行動並沒有以中期定罪動搖持有人。

This kind of behavior often reflects a maturing investor base. When supply remains untouched for months, it reduces short-term circulating supply, potentially limiting sharp selloffs during volatile periods.

這種行為通常反映出一個成熟的投資者基礎。當供應幾個月持續不變時，它會減少短期循環供應，並可能限制在波動期間的急劇拋售。