XRP/美元对形成看涨的旗帜图案，目标是29％集会至$ 3.01

2025年5月26日，XRP/美元对在4小时图表上形成了看涨的旗帜图案。当尖锐的价格集会之后是向下倾斜的合并，通常是在两条平行线之间，就会出现看涨的国旗图案。

May 26, 2025 - A bullish flag pattern appears when a sharp price rally is followed by a downward-sloping consolidation, typically between two parallel lines. It often signals that the price may continue rising once the pattern confirms.

2025年5月26日 - 当价格急剧集会之后是向下倾斜的合并时，通常会出现看涨的旗帜图案，通常是在两条平行线之间。它通常表明一旦模式确认，价格可能会继续上涨。

After a strong rally from the March 13 low of $1.536 to reach highs of around $2.33 on May 14, XRP formed a bullish flag as it slid from the highs.

在3月13日低至1.536美元的强劲集会上，5月14日达到2.33美元左右，XRP从高高滑落时形成了看涨的旗帜。

The price is currently testing the lower red trendline of the bullish flag. If the price breaks out of the bullish flag, it could rally approximately 29% from the current price of $2.34 to the projected target of $3.01.

价格目前正在测试看涨旗帜的较低红色趋势线。如果价格突破了看涨的旗帜，则可能从当前价格为2.34美元的价格到预计的目标3.01美元约29％。

Moreover, XRP is currently trading just below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.36, which now acts as dynamic resistance. A breakout above both the EMA and the upper red trendline may trigger the expected continuation.

此外，XRP目前的交易价格略低于50阶段的指数移动平均线（EMA），价格为2.36美元，现在是动态阻力。高于EMA和上部红色趋势线的突破可能会触发预期的延续。

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, stands at 49.13, just below the neutral 50 level. The RSI line is curving upward, indicating improving momentum. If the RSI manages to climb above 50 with strong volume, it would support the bullish flag confirmation.

同时，动量指标的相对强度指数（RSI）为49.13，略低于中性50级。 RSI线正在向上弯曲，表明动量改善。如果RSI设法以强劲的数量攀升了50，它将支持看涨的旗帜确认。

As for trading volume, it remains moderate at 305.34K, with no significant spikes yet. However, any increase in volume during a breakout could validate the move toward $3.01.

至于交易量，它的温度仍为305.34K，尚无明显的峰值。但是，突破期间的任何数量增加都可以验证向3.01美元的搬迁。

In short, XRP is consolidating in a bullish flag. If it breaks above the resistance and EMA with strong volume, a 29% rally toward $3.01 may follow.

简而言之，XRP正在巩固看涨的旗帜。如果它的电阻超过了电阻，则可以强劲的量，则可能会有29％的集会向3.01美元。

XRP-Bitcoin Correlation Drops to 0.4, Raising Short-Term Price Pressure Risks

XRP-BITCOIN相关性下降到0.4，增加了短期价格压力风险

XRP-BITCOIN相关性下降到0.4，增加了短期价格压力风险

On May 26, the correlation coefficient between XRP and Bitcoin dropped to 0.40, reaching its lowest level since February 2025. A correlation coefficient measures the degree to which two assets move in relation to each other, with 1 indicating perfect correlation and 0 indicating no correlation.

5月26日，XRP和比特币之间的相关系数降至0.40，达到了自2025年2月以来的最低水平。相关系数衡量了两个资产相互关联的程度，其中1个表示完美相关，0表示无相关性。

A 0.4 reading shows that XRP is becoming increasingly disconnected from Bitcoin’s price action. In the short term, this divergence could increase the possibilities for sharper price fluctuations in either direction.

0.4读物表明，XRP与比特币的价格行动越来越脱节。在短期内，这种差异可能会增加任何方向上价格上涨的可能性。

Historically, this kind of decoupling has had negative consequences. For example, the last time the correlation dropped to this level, XRP’s price fell by 22.33%, highlighted by the green zone in the chart below.

从历史上看，这种脱钩产生了负面后果。例如，上次相关性下降到此水平时，XRP的价格下降了22.33％，在下图中由绿色区域突出显示。

This decoupling comes at a time when Bitcoin has hit a new all-time high. Typically, altcoins like XRP benefit from Bitcoin’s strength, especially when it’s making new highs. However, the current divergence suggests XRP may not benefit from Bitcoin’s upward momentum. This weakening link could indicate reduced investor confidence or shifting capital to other altcoins.

这种脱钩是在比特币达到新历史最高水平的时候。通常，像XRP这样的AltCoins受益于比特币的实力，尤其是在提高新高点时。但是，当前的差异表明XRP可能不会受益于比特币的向上势头。这种虚弱的联系可能表明投资者的信心降低或将资本转移到其他山寨币。

Despite this, on-chain data points to growing investor conviction. The supply of XRP that has remained unmoved for 3–6 months has increased steadily in May, as highlighted by Glassnode. This signals that short-term holders are maturing into mid-term holders, suggesting a more stable and less speculative investor base.

尽管如此，链上的数据表明投资者的定罪不断增长。如玻璃节的强调，五月的XRP供应在3-6个月内保持了3-6个月的稳定增长。这表明短期持有人正在将中期持有人纳入中期持有人，这表明一个更稳定，更少的投资者基础。

Therefore, while technical correlation weakens and near-term price risk increases, holding behavior implies a longer-term confidence among XRP investors.

因此，尽管技术相关性削弱了，近期价格风险增加，但保持行为意味着XRP投资者的长期信心。

Dormant XRP Supply Hits 12.3 Billion, Signals Rising Long-Term Confidence

休眠XRP供应量达到123亿，信号上升了长期信心

休眠XRP供应量达到123亿，信号上升了长期信心

From mid-March to late May 2025, the total supply of XRP last active 3 to 6 months ago climbed steadily from 8 billion to 12.3 billion tokens, according to Glassnode data.

根据GlassNode的数据，从3月中旬到2025年5月下旬，XRP的总供应量为3到6个月前，XRP的总供应量从80亿个稳定升至123亿标记。

This metric tracks coins that have not moved for three to six months, and its increase suggests that more holders are choosing not to sell. These investors are either waiting for a better exit price or signaling long-term confidence in XRP’s outlook.

该指标跟踪了三到六个月没有移动的硬币，其增加表明，更多的持有人选择不出售。这些投资者要么在等待更好的退出价格，要么在XRP的前景中发出长期信心。

While XRP’s price (black line) showed moderate volatility during this period, the green line representing dormant supply moved consistently upward. This divergence suggests that the recent sideways or slightly bearish price action has not shaken holders with mid-term conviction.

尽管在此期间，XRP的价格（黑线）显示出中度波动，但代表休眠供应的绿线始终向上移动。这种分歧表明，最近的侧面或稍微看跌的价格行动并没有以中期定罪动摇持有人。

This kind of behavior often reflects a maturing investor base. When supply remains untouched for months, it reduces short-term circulating supply, potentially limiting sharp selloffs during volatile periods.

这种行为通常反映出一个成熟的投资者基础。当供应几个月持续不变时，它会减少短期循环供应，并可能限制在波动期间的急剧抛售。