VanEck 預測比特幣到 2050 年將達到 290 萬美元

主要資產管理公司VanEck 預測，到2050 年，比特幣價格將達到290 萬美元。 」的報告中概述了這項預測帕特里克·布希。

Asset management firm VanEck has predicted that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could reach a valuation of $2.9 million by 2050.

資產管理公司 VanEck 預測，到 2050 年，比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）的估值可能達到 290 萬美元。

The prediction was included in a report titled “Bitcoin 2050 Valuation Scenarios: Global Medium of Exchange and Reserve Asset,” authored by Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel and Senior Investment Analyst Patrick Bush.

這項預測包含在由數位資產研究主管 Matthew Sigel 和資深投資分析師 Patrick Bush 撰寫的題為「比特幣 2050 年估值情境：全球交易媒介和儲備資產」的報告中。

VanEck, a major Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) issuer, is known for its long-term bullish stance on the premier digital currency. However, according to Van Eck executives, the prediction will only hold if Bitcoin clears several major hurdles.

VanEck 是主要的比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 發行人，以其對這種主要數位貨幣的長期看漲立場而聞名。然而，Van Eck 高層表示，只有比特幣清除了幾個主要障礙，這項預測才會成立。

Bitcoin's Journey to 2050 It is hard to imagine what BTC's price index will be in 26 years. For Bitcoin maximalists, the digital currency is expected to become a major part of the global reserve economy by that time. However, VanEck takes a slightly less bullish approach.

比特幣的 2050 年之旅 很難想像 26 年後 BTC 的價格指數會是什麼樣子。對於比特幣最大化主義者來說，到那時，數位貨幣預計將成為全球儲備經濟的主要組成部分。然而，範埃克的態度稍微不那麼樂觀。

As we look at the world right now, we see enormous economic imbalances, rising distrust in existing institutions and continued deglobalization… We think many of these distortions stem from … a massive misallocation of capital since the global financial crisis as G7 governments have abused the printing press, spending borrowed money on impossible goals,” said Sigel.

當我們審視現在的世界時，我們看到巨大的經濟失衡、對現有機構的不信任加劇以及持續的去全球化……我們認為，這些扭曲大多源於……自全球金融危機以來，七國集團政府濫用印鈔，導致資本大規模錯配。

According to VanEck, the top cryptocurrency by market capitalization is expected to represent 10% of global trade, 5% of the nominal GDP and 2.5% of the international currency reserves by 2050.

VanEck 表示，到 2050 年，以市值計算的頂級加密貨幣預計將佔全球貿易的 10%、名目 GDP 的 5% 和國際貨幣儲備的 2.5%。

However, Van Eck is concerned about the energy costs associated with BTC mining, and a significant level of innovation will be required to overcome this challenge. VanEck also believes that a concerted international effort to ban BTC might result in a less appealing scenario for crypto users.

然而，Van Eck 擔心與 BTC 挖礦相關的能源成本，需要大量創新來克服這項挑戰。 VanEck 也認為，國際社會共同努力禁止 BTC 可能會導致對加密貨幣用戶的吸引力降低。

Can Bitcoin Reach $2.9 Million by 2050 In 26 years, Bitcoin will undergo seven more halvings, reducing the block reward to a fraction of the current 3.125 BTC share. This will likely increase miners’ reliance on transaction fees for revenue.

到 2050 年，比特幣能否達到 290 萬美元 26 年內，比特幣將再經歷七次減半，將區塊獎勵減少至目前 3.125 BTC 份額的一小部分。這可能會增加礦工對交易費收入的依賴。

However, the exponential increase in reckless government spending and poor fiscal sustainability will likely propel BTC into a dominant position in the coming years. While an exact figure is difficult to predict, crypto users anticipate BTC's value reaching millions by that time, if not tens of millions, of dollars.

然而，魯莽的政府支出的指數級增長和糟糕的財政可持續性可能會推動比特幣在未來幾年佔據主導地位。雖然確切的數字很難預測，但加密貨幣用戶預計屆時 BTC 的價值即使不是數千萬美元，也將達到數百萬美元。

So, a $2.9 million valuation is quite realistic, but only if VanEck's concerns are addressed as genuine challenges are ahead for the major digital asset.

因此，290 萬美元的估值是相當現實的，但前提是 VanEck 的擔憂得​​到解決，因為主要數位資產即將面臨真正的挑戰。