VanEck 预测比特币到 2050 年将达到 290 万美元

主要资产管理公司 VanEck 预测，到 2050 年，比特币价格将达到 290 万美元。数字资产研究主管 Matthew Sigel 和高级投资分析师撰写的题为“比特币 2050 年估值情景：全球交易媒介和储备资产”的报告中概述了这一预测帕特里克·布什。

Asset management firm VanEck has predicted that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could reach a valuation of $2.9 million by 2050.

资产管理公司 VanEck 预测，到 2050 年，比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）的估值可能达到 290 万美元。

The prediction was included in a report titled “Bitcoin 2050 Valuation Scenarios: Global Medium of Exchange and Reserve Asset,” authored by Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel and Senior Investment Analyst Patrick Bush.

这一预测包含在由数字资产研究主管 Matthew Sigel 和高级投资分析师 Patrick Bush 撰写的题为“比特币 2050 年估值情景：全球交易媒介和储备资产”的报告中。

VanEck, a major Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) issuer, is known for its long-term bullish stance on the premier digital currency. However, according to Van Eck executives, the prediction will only hold if Bitcoin clears several major hurdles.

VanEck 是主要的比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 发行人，以其对这种主要数字货币的长期看涨立场而闻名。然而，Van Eck 高管表示，只有比特币清除了几个主要障碍，这一预测才会成立。

Bitcoin's Journey to 2050 It is hard to imagine what BTC's price index will be in 26 years. For Bitcoin maximalists, the digital currency is expected to become a major part of the global reserve economy by that time. However, VanEck takes a slightly less bullish approach.

比特币的 2050 年之旅 很难想象 26 年后 BTC 的价格指数会是什么样。对于比特币最大化主义者来说，到那时，数字货币预计将成为全球储备经济的主要组成部分。然而，范埃克采取了稍微不那么乐观的态度。

As we look at the world right now, we see enormous economic imbalances, rising distrust in existing institutions and continued deglobalization… We think many of these distortions stem from … a massive misallocation of capital since the global financial crisis as G7 governments have abused the printing press, spending borrowed money on impossible goals,” said Sigel.

当我们审视现在的世界时，我们看到巨大的经济失衡、对现有机构的不信任加剧以及持续的去全球化……我们认为，这些扭曲大多源于……自全球金融危机以来，七国集团政府滥用印钞，导致资本大规模错配。媒体，把借来的钱花在不可能的目标上，”西格尔说。

According to VanEck, the top cryptocurrency by market capitalization is expected to represent 10% of global trade, 5% of the nominal GDP and 2.5% of the international currency reserves by 2050.

VanEck 表示，到 2050 年，按市值计算的顶级加密货币预计将占全球贸易的 10%、名义 GDP 的 5% 和国际货币储备的 2.5%。

However, Van Eck is concerned about the energy costs associated with BTC mining, and a significant level of innovation will be required to overcome this challenge. VanEck also believes that a concerted international effort to ban BTC might result in a less appealing scenario for crypto users.

然而，Van Eck 担心与 BTC 挖矿相关的能源成本，需要大量创新来克服这一挑战。 VanEck 还认为，国际社会共同努力禁止 BTC 可能会导致对加密货币用户的吸引力降低。

Can Bitcoin Reach $2.9 Million by 2050 In 26 years, Bitcoin will undergo seven more halvings, reducing the block reward to a fraction of the current 3.125 BTC share. This will likely increase miners’ reliance on transaction fees for revenue.

到 2050 年，比特币能否达到 290 万美元 26 年内，比特币将再经历七次减半，将区块奖励减少至当前 3.125 BTC 份额的一小部分。这可能会增加矿工对交易费收入的依赖。

However, the exponential increase in reckless government spending and poor fiscal sustainability will likely propel BTC into a dominant position in the coming years. While an exact figure is difficult to predict, crypto users anticipate BTC's value reaching millions by that time, if not tens of millions, of dollars.

然而，鲁莽的政府支出的指数级增长和糟糕的财政可持续性可能会推动比特币在未来几年占据主导地位。虽然确切的数字很难预测，但加密货币用户预计到那时 BTC 的价值即使不是数千万美元，也将达到数百万美元。

So, a $2.9 million valuation is quite realistic, but only if VanEck's concerns are addressed as genuine challenges are ahead for the major digital asset.

因此，290 万美元的估值是相当现实的，但前提是 VanEck 的担忧得到解决，因为主要数字资产即将面临真正的挑战。