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TRON(TRX)重新成為焦點,因為它測試了一個臨界電阻區,左右為0.25美元。儘管在過去幾個月中反复拒絕此級別
Tron (TRX) is back in the spotlight as it tests a critical resistance zone at $0.25. This level has seen five previous rejections from
TRON(TRX)重新成為聚光燈,因為它測試了一個0.25美元的關鍵阻力區。這個級別已經看到了以前的五個拒絕
trx/usd in recent months, as highlighted in the chart above.
近幾個月中的TRX/USD,如上圖中所強調。
Zone 1 saw the sharpest price drop of 19% to $0.21 after failing at $0.25, while Zones 2 and 3 triggered smaller pullbacks.
第1區的價格最高的價格下降了19%,至0.21美元,而$ 0.25,而2和3區則觸發了較小的回調。
This zone has proven to be a reliable selling zone for swing traders. However, the current setup is notably different.
事實證明,該區域是搖擺交易者的可靠銷售區。但是,當前的設置截然不同。
Trx coin has established a strong ascending trendline since mid-March, marking consistent higher lows—a signal of bullish accumulation.
自3月中旬以來,TRX硬幣已經建立了強勁的上升趨勢線,標誌著較高的低點,這是看漲的積累信號。
The test of $0.25 occurs with clear structural support underneath, increasing the odds of a breakout. A confirmed daily close above $0.255 with volume would validate a breakout, setting targets at $0.28–$0.30.
$ 0.25的測試發生在下面的明確結構支持的情況下,增加了突破的機率。確認的每日關閉以上$ 0.255的數量將驗證突破,將目標定為0.28– $ 0.30。
Conversely, if trx fails here again and breaks below the ascending trendline (~$0.245), expect a pullback toward $0.235 and potentially $0.21.
相反,如果TRX再次在此處失敗,並且在上升趨勢線以下(〜$ 0.245),則預計回調到0.235美元,可能為0.21美元。
On-Chain Analysis: Whales Hold Steady, Network Robust
鏈分析:鯨魚保持穩定,網絡穩健
Whale activity, visualized in the large holders netflow chart, indicates minimal changes in holdings. After major inflows earlier in the year, recent data shows a net positive inflow of around 126 million Tron crypto, with whales increasing their holdings slightly over the past month.
鯨魚活動在大型持有人的NetFlow圖表中可視化,表明持有量的變化最小。在今年早些時候的主要流入後,最近的數據顯示,淨正流量約為1.26億TRON加密貨幣,在過去一個月中,鯨魚的持有量略有增加。
Ownership data confirms that whales control nearly 72% of trx coin price supply, with no signs of distribution.
所有權數據證實,鯨魚控制了近72%的TRX硬幣價格供應,沒有分配跡象。
Liquidity remains solid. Token volume peaked at $2.75 billion in January but has since cooled to around $500 million to $700 million daily.
流動性仍然穩定。 1月份的代幣量達到了27.5億美元的峰值,但此後每天冷卻至5億美元至7億美元。
While momentum is subdued, the liquidity base remains strong, supported by TRON’s (TRX) TVL of $5.1 billion and its near-total dominance in the TRX/USDT stablecoin market.
儘管勢頭柔和,但流動性基礎仍然很強,在TRON(TRX)TVL的支持下為51億美元,其在TRX/USDT Stablecoin市場中的幾乎全部優勢。
Derivatives metrics add to the cautious optimism. Open interest has stayed stable between $220 million and $240 million, and funding rates have recently flipped positive, suggesting growing interest from long traders. The lack of major liquidations in recent weeks indicates a balanced market without excessive leverage.
衍生品指標增加了謹慎的樂觀。開放利息一直保持穩定在2.2億美元至2.4億美元之間,並且籌資利率最近傾向於陽性,這表明長期交易者的利息日益增加。最近幾週缺乏重大清算,表明市場平衡而沒有過多的槓桿作用。
Active account data shows consistent user engagement, with 2.5 to 3 million daily active accounts—a crucial sign of organic network demand.
活動帳戶數據顯示了一致的用戶參與度,每天有2.5至300萬個活動帳戶,這是有機網絡需求的關鍵跡象。
In summary, the on-chain picture shows no red flags. Whales are holding firm, liquidity is deep, and user engagement remains high. While the immediate trigger for a breakout is missing, the foundation for a sustained move is solid.
總而言之,鏈上的圖片沒有危險信號。鯨魚保持牢固,流動性很深,用戶參與仍然很高。儘管缺少突破的直接觸發因素,但持續移動的基礎是堅實的。
The USDT data supports this, showing that TRON remains the top blockchain for USDT, with over $73 billion in stablecoin market cap and 99%+ dominance. This deep USDT integration ensures high liquidity and constant network usage, making TRON’s fundamentals even stronger.
USDT數據支持了這一點,表明Tron仍然是USDT的頂級區塊鏈,超過730億美元的Stablecoin市值和99%以上的優勢。這種深厚的USDT集成確保了高流動性和持續的網絡使用情況,從而使Tron的基本面變得更加強大。
Conclusion:
結論:
TRON’s technical chart signals a familiar battleground at $0.25 to $0.26, with historical resistance holding strong. However, this time the backdrop is different: the ecosystem has matured, liquidity is deep, and whale confidence is intact.
Tron的技術圖表標誌著一個熟悉的戰場,價格為0.25美元至0.26美元,歷史阻力保持強勁。但是,這次背景是不同的:生態系統已經成熟,流動性很深,鯨魚的信心是完整的。
While volume needs to ramp up to break through resistance decisively, the overall outlook leans cautiously bullish.
雖然數量需要逐漸增加,以果斷地打破抵抗,但整體前景卻謹慎看漲。
Traders should keep a close watch on volume spikes and any daily close above $0.26 as confirmation for a move toward $0.30 in the coming month.
交易者應密切關注量峰值的觀察,任何每天都在0.26美元以上的每日關閉,以確認下個月邁向0.30美元。
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