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TRON(TRX)重新成为焦点,因为它测试了一个临界电阻区,左右为0.25美元。尽管在过去几个月中反复拒绝此级别
Tron (TRX) is back in the spotlight as it tests a critical resistance zone at $0.25. This level has seen five previous rejections from
TRON(TRX)重新成为聚光灯,因为它测试了一个0.25美元的关键阻力区。这个级别已经看到了以前的五个拒绝
trx/usd in recent months, as highlighted in the chart above.
近几个月中的TRX/USD,如上图中所强调。
Zone 1 saw the sharpest price drop of 19% to $0.21 after failing at $0.25, while Zones 2 and 3 triggered smaller pullbacks.
第1区的价格最高的价格下降了19%,至0.21美元,而$ 0.25,而2和3区则触发了较小的回调。
This zone has proven to be a reliable selling zone for swing traders. However, the current setup is notably different.
事实证明,该区域是摇摆交易者的可靠销售区。但是,当前的设置截然不同。
Trx coin has established a strong ascending trendline since mid-March, marking consistent higher lows—a signal of bullish accumulation.
自3月中旬以来,TRX硬币已经建立了强劲的上升趋势线,标志着较高的低点,这是看涨的积累信号。
The test of $0.25 occurs with clear structural support underneath, increasing the odds of a breakout. A confirmed daily close above $0.255 with volume would validate a breakout, setting targets at $0.28–$0.30.
$ 0.25的测试发生在下面的明确结构支持的情况下,增加了突破的几率。确认的每日关闭以上$ 0.255的数量将验证突破,将目标定为0.28– $ 0.30。
Conversely, if trx fails here again and breaks below the ascending trendline (~$0.245), expect a pullback toward $0.235 and potentially $0.21.
相反,如果TRX再次在此处失败,并且在上升趋势线以下(〜$ 0.245),则预计回调到0.235美元,可能为0.21美元。
On-Chain Analysis: Whales Hold Steady, Network Robust
链分析:鲸鱼保持稳定,网络稳健
Whale activity, visualized in the large holders netflow chart, indicates minimal changes in holdings. After major inflows earlier in the year, recent data shows a net positive inflow of around 126 million Tron crypto, with whales increasing their holdings slightly over the past month.
鲸鱼活动在大型持有人的NetFlow图表中可视化,表明持有量的变化最小。在今年早些时候的主要流入后,最近的数据显示,净正流量约为1.26亿TRON加密货币,在过去一个月中,鲸鱼的持有量略有增加。
Ownership data confirms that whales control nearly 72% of trx coin price supply, with no signs of distribution.
所有权数据证实,鲸鱼控制了近72%的TRX硬币价格供应,没有分配迹象。
Liquidity remains solid. Token volume peaked at $2.75 billion in January but has since cooled to around $500 million to $700 million daily.
流动性仍然稳定。 1月份的代币量达到了27.5亿美元的峰值,但此后每天冷却至5亿美元至7亿美元。
While momentum is subdued, the liquidity base remains strong, supported by TRON’s (TRX) TVL of $5.1 billion and its near-total dominance in the TRX/USDT stablecoin market.
尽管势头柔和,但流动性基础仍然很强,在TRON(TRX)TVL的支持下为51亿美元,其在TRX/USDT Stablecoin市场中的几乎全部优势。
Derivatives metrics add to the cautious optimism. Open interest has stayed stable between $220 million and $240 million, and funding rates have recently flipped positive, suggesting growing interest from long traders. The lack of major liquidations in recent weeks indicates a balanced market without excessive leverage.
衍生品指标增加了谨慎的乐观。开放利息一直保持稳定在2.2亿美元至2.4亿美元之间,并且筹资利率最近倾向于阳性,这表明长期交易者的利息日益增加。最近几周缺乏重大清算,表明市场平衡而没有过多的杠杆作用。
Active account data shows consistent user engagement, with 2.5 to 3 million daily active accounts—a crucial sign of organic network demand.
活动帐户数据显示了一致的用户参与度,每天有2.5至300万个活动帐户,这是有机网络需求的关键迹象。
In summary, the on-chain picture shows no red flags. Whales are holding firm, liquidity is deep, and user engagement remains high. While the immediate trigger for a breakout is missing, the foundation for a sustained move is solid.
总而言之,链上的图片没有危险信号。鲸鱼保持牢固,流动性很深,用户参与仍然很高。尽管缺少突破的直接触发因素,但持续移动的基础是坚实的。
The USDT data supports this, showing that TRON remains the top blockchain for USDT, with over $73 billion in stablecoin market cap and 99%+ dominance. This deep USDT integration ensures high liquidity and constant network usage, making TRON’s fundamentals even stronger.
USDT数据支持了这一点,表明Tron仍然是USDT的顶级区块链,超过730亿美元的Stablecoin市值和99%以上的优势。这种深厚的USDT集成确保了高流动性和持续的网络使用情况,从而使Tron的基本面变得更加强大。
Conclusion:
结论:
TRON’s technical chart signals a familiar battleground at $0.25 to $0.26, with historical resistance holding strong. However, this time the backdrop is different: the ecosystem has matured, liquidity is deep, and whale confidence is intact.
Tron的技术图表标志着一个熟悉的战场,价格为0.25美元至0.26美元,历史阻力保持强劲。但是,这次背景是不同的:生态系统已经成熟,流动性很深,鲸鱼的信心是完整的。
While volume needs to ramp up to break through resistance decisively, the overall outlook leans cautiously bullish.
虽然数量需要逐渐增加,以果断地打破抵抗,但整体前景却谨慎看涨。
Traders should keep a close watch on volume spikes and any daily close above $0.26 as confirmation for a move toward $0.30 in the coming month.
交易者应密切关注量峰值的观察,任何每天都在0.26美元以上的每日关闭,以确认下个月迈向0.30美元。
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