是什麼真正觸發了Solana最近的崩潰？

索拉納（Solana）是加密貨幣的知名人士之一，他正在一個月奔跑，並在下一個月滾滾。

Solana, a major cryptocurrency, has experienced a recent crash, catching the attention of investors. As we delve into the key factors that triggered this downturn, we'll also discuss the possibility of a significant reversal in the year ahead.

索拉納（Solana）是一種主要的加密貨幣，最近發生了一次崩潰，引起了投資者的注意。當我們深入研究觸發這一衰退的關鍵因素時，我們還將討論未來一年發生重大逆轉的可能性。

A closer look at the recent Solana crash

仔細觀察最近的Solana Crash

While navigating the world of cryptocurrency, we're often drawn to tales of hype, panic, and macroeconomic mishaps that can influence the entire market. In doing so, we might lose sight of the technical aspects that underpin these narratives.

在瀏覽加密貨幣世界的同時，我們經常被可能影響整個市場的炒作，恐慌和宏觀經濟的故事所吸引。這樣一來，我們可能會忽視這些敘述的技術方面。

We're used to seeing Bitcoin's price slides or macroeconomic trends discussed in the context of crypto crashes, but technical issues can be just as critical. Especially when it comes to the newest generation of blockchains like Solana, ATOM, and LINK, which are vying for developer interest and a place in the evolving DeFi ecosystem.

我們習慣於看到比特幣的價格幻燈片或在加密貨幣崩潰的背景下討論的宏觀經濟趨勢，但是技術問題可能同樣至關重要。尤其是當涉及到最新一代的區塊鏈，例如Solana，Atom和Link，它們正在爭奪開發人員的興趣以及在不斷發展的Defi生態系統中的位置。

Rising quickly in the last year, Solana’s token (SOL) drew attention with its high throughput and low transaction fees, making it suitable for decentralized applications (dapps). However, Solana has also been subject to network downtime and technical difficulties, which ultimately led to a loss of investor confidence.

去年，索拉納（Solana）的代幣（SOL）以其高吞吐量和低交易費用引起了人們的注意，使其適合去中心化應用程序（DAPP）。但是，Solana還受到網絡停機時間和技術困難的影響，這最終導致了投資者的信心喪失。

Beginning 2023 at $280, the token experienced a swift downfall, finally hitting a low of $100 after just over 2 months. This wasn't a gradual decline; rather, it was a rapid fall from the highs.

從2023年開始，該代幣經歷了迅速的失敗，終於在短短2個月後跌至100美元。這並不是逐漸下降；相反，這是從高點迅速掉下來的。

Technical issues and network hiccups

技術問題和網絡打ic

Whenever a cryptocurrency experiences technical problems, especially a prominent one like Solana, it can have a huge impact on market sentiment.

每當加密貨幣遇到技術問題，尤其是像Solana這樣的突出問題時，它都會對市場情緒產生巨大影響。

In the past, Solana has faced issues with its network, leading investors to become skittish. This time, with the price crashing, those old fears returned.

過去，索拉納（Solana）在其網絡上遇到了問題，使投資者變得脫穎而出。這次，隨著價格崩潰，那些古老的恐懼恢復了。

Of course, technical progress is important, but even the rumor of an issue is enough to make traders exit their positions quickly. Especially when the stakes, and potential rewards, are as high as they are in the crypto sphere.

當然，技術進步很重要，但是即使是問題的謠言也足以使交易者迅速退出職位。尤其是當賭注和潛在的獎勵與加密球體一樣高時。

Key factors driving Solana’s crash

驅動Solana崩潰的關鍵因素

The recent crash in Solana prices can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including technical limitations, speculative trading activity, and broader cryptocurrency market trends.

最近的索拉納價格崩潰可能歸因於因素匯合，包括技術限制，投機性交易活動和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場趨勢。

As Solana's popularity surged, the network faced technical difficulties in handling an overwhelming volume of traders and transactions. This strain led to increased latency, transaction failures, and ultimately, a decline in the network's throughput.

隨著索拉納（Solana）的受歡迎程度激增，該網絡在處理大量交易者和交易中面臨技術困難。這種壓力導致延遲，交易失敗，最終導致網絡吞吐量的下降。

Moreover, Solana's unique token economics and programmable money features enticed traders to engage in leveraged trading strategies, amplifying price movements and setting the stage for a steeper downturn.

此外，索拉納（Solana）獨特的代幣經濟學和可編程資金功能吸引了交易者參與槓桿交易策略，擴大價格變動並為更陡峭的衰退奠定了基礎。

With the cryptocurrency market experiencing outflows from top coins and a decline in overall sentiment, the pressure on Solana intensified, ultimately contributing to its recent crash.

由於加密貨幣市場經歷了頂級硬幣的流出和整體情緒的下降，因此對Solana的壓力加劇了，最終導致了最近的崩潰。

Perhaps this crash was inevitable, considering the magnitude of the recent Bitcoin and cryptocurrency bull market. Past crashes in Bitcoin have demonstrated how rapidly the entire market can collapse.

考慮到最近的比特幣和加密貨幣牛市的幅度，也許這次崩潰是不可避免的。過去的比特幣崩潰已經證明了整個市場的崩潰速度。

This panic is highly contagious, and we've seen it unfold in cycles throughout history. Notably, the Bitcoin crashes of 2011 and 2013 serve as prime examples.

這種恐慌具有很高的傳染性，我們已經看到它在整個歷史上都在周期中展開。值得注意的是，2011年和2013年的比特幣崩潰是主要例子。

Each crash unfolded in a similar fashion, with an initial period of euphoria and strong buying interest, which ultimately led to a sharp downturn in price and a decrease in trading volume.

每次崩潰都以類似的方式展開，最初的欣快感和強烈的購買興趣，最終導致價格下降，交易量減少。

As we observe the recent market downturn, we can identify striking parallels to the crashes of the past.

當我們觀察到最近的市場低迷時，我們可以確定與過去崩潰的驚人相似之處。

Solana's decline appears to be a natural consequence of its technological promise and the significant attention it garnered from cryptocurrency traders. However, with the occurrence of such a crash, the question arises: can we expect a significant reversal in the year ahead?

索拉納（Solana）的衰落似乎是其技術承諾及其從加密貨幣交易者獲得的重大關注的自然結果。但是，隨著這種崩潰的發生，問題出現了：我們可以期望未來一年發生重大逆轉嗎？

Technical indicators and recent price action

技術指標和最近的價格行動

According to technical analysts, Solana's price has recently found support at the $100 level, which coincides with the lower boundary of a large market-neutral price channel on the weekly time frame.

根據技術分析師的說法，Solana的價格最近在100美元的水平上找到了支持，這與每週時間範圍內大型市場中性價格渠道的下邊界相吻合。

Additionally, the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a key indicator used by long-term traders, is also converging around the $100 threshold.

此外，長期交易者使用的關鍵指標為50週的簡單移動平均線（SMA）也圍繞100美元的門檻匯聚。

As the saying goes, "in time, we trust." While the long-term moving averages for Solana still suggest a bearish trend, there are signs that this momentum could be shifting.

俗話說：“及時，我們相信。”儘管Solana的長期移動平均值仍然表明看跌趨勢，但有跡象表明這種勢頭可能正在轉移。

Notably, the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart, typically employed by medium-term traders, has begun to flatten out, indicating a potential bottom in the near term.

值得注意的是，通常由中期交易者使用的4小時圖表上的50個週期指數移動平均值（EMA）已開始弄平，表明在短期內有潛在的底層。

Of course, price action alone doesn't tell the whole story. But when you combine these technical clues with the broader macroeconomic trends and the potential for new use cases for Solana, the possibility of a significant rebound in the second half of 2024 starts to look more likely.

當然，僅價格動作並不能說明整個故事。但是，當您將這些技術線索與更廣泛的宏觀經濟趨勢和Solana新用例的潛力相結合時，在2024年下半年有重大反彈的可能性開始看起來更有可能。

Analysts' predictions and optimism

分析師的預測和樂觀

In a recent analysis, Bitunix highlighted the potential for a strong recovery in the second half

在最近的分析中，Bitunix強調了下半場強勁恢復的潛力