是什么真正触发了Solana最近的崩溃？

索拉纳（Solana）是加密货币的知名人士之一，他正在一个月奔跑，并在下一个月滚滚。

Solana, a major cryptocurrency, has experienced a recent crash, catching the attention of investors. As we delve into the key factors that triggered this downturn, we'll also discuss the possibility of a significant reversal in the year ahead.

索拉纳（Solana）是一种主要的加密货币，最近发生了一次崩溃，引起了投资者的注意。当我们深入研究触发这一衰退的关键因素时，我们还将讨论未来一年发生重大逆转的可能性。

A closer look at the recent Solana crash

仔细观察最近的Solana Crash

While navigating the world of cryptocurrency, we're often drawn to tales of hype, panic, and macroeconomic mishaps that can influence the entire market. In doing so, we might lose sight of the technical aspects that underpin these narratives.

在浏览加密货币世界的同时，我们经常被可能影响整个市场的炒作，恐慌和宏观经济的故事所吸引。这样一来，我们可能会忽视这些叙述的技术方面。

We're used to seeing Bitcoin's price slides or macroeconomic trends discussed in the context of crypto crashes, but technical issues can be just as critical. Especially when it comes to the newest generation of blockchains like Solana, ATOM, and LINK, which are vying for developer interest and a place in the evolving DeFi ecosystem.

我们习惯于看到比特币的价格幻灯片或在加密货币崩溃的背景下讨论的宏观经济趋势，但是技术问题可能同样至关重要。尤其是当涉及到最新一代的区块链，例如Solana，Atom和Link，它们正在争夺开发人员的兴趣以及在不断发展的Defi生态系统中的位置。

Rising quickly in the last year, Solana’s token (SOL) drew attention with its high throughput and low transaction fees, making it suitable for decentralized applications (dapps). However, Solana has also been subject to network downtime and technical difficulties, which ultimately led to a loss of investor confidence.

去年，索拉纳（Solana）的代币（SOL）以其高吞吐量和低交易费用引起了人们的注意，使其适合去中心化应用程序（DAPP）。但是，Solana还受到网络停机时间和技术困难的影响，这最终导致了投资者的信心丧失。

Beginning 2023 at $280, the token experienced a swift downfall, finally hitting a low of $100 after just over 2 months. This wasn't a gradual decline; rather, it was a rapid fall from the highs.

从2023年开始，该代币经历了迅速的失败，终于在短短2个月后跌至100美元。这并不是逐渐下降；相反，这是从高点迅速掉下来的。

Technical issues and network hiccups

技术问题和网络打ic

Whenever a cryptocurrency experiences technical problems, especially a prominent one like Solana, it can have a huge impact on market sentiment.

每当加密货币遇到技术问题，尤其是像Solana这样的突出问题时，它都会对市场情绪产生巨大影响。

In the past, Solana has faced issues with its network, leading investors to become skittish. This time, with the price crashing, those old fears returned.

过去，索拉纳（Solana）在其网络上遇到了问题，使投资者变得脱颖而出。这次，随着价格崩溃，那些古老的恐惧恢复了。

Of course, technical progress is important, but even the rumor of an issue is enough to make traders exit their positions quickly. Especially when the stakes, and potential rewards, are as high as they are in the crypto sphere.

当然，技术进步很重要，但是即使是问题的谣言也足以使交易者迅速退出职位。尤其是当赌注和潜在的奖励与加密球体一样高时。

Key factors driving Solana’s crash

驱动Solana崩溃的关键因素

The recent crash in Solana prices can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including technical limitations, speculative trading activity, and broader cryptocurrency market trends.

最近的索拉纳价格崩溃可能归因于因素汇合，包括技术限制，投机性交易活动和更广泛的加密货币市场趋势。

As Solana's popularity surged, the network faced technical difficulties in handling an overwhelming volume of traders and transactions. This strain led to increased latency, transaction failures, and ultimately, a decline in the network's throughput.

随着索拉纳（Solana）的受欢迎程度激增，该网络在处理大量交易者和交易中面临技术困难。这种压力导致延迟，交易失败，最终导致网络吞吐量的下降。

Moreover, Solana's unique token economics and programmable money features enticed traders to engage in leveraged trading strategies, amplifying price movements and setting the stage for a steeper downturn.

此外，索拉纳（Solana）独特的代币经济学和可编程资金功能吸引了交易者参与杠杆交易策略，扩大价格变动并为更陡峭的衰退奠定了基础。

With the cryptocurrency market experiencing outflows from top coins and a decline in overall sentiment, the pressure on Solana intensified, ultimately contributing to its recent crash.

由于加密货币市场经历了顶级硬币的流出和整体情绪的下降，因此对Solana的压力加剧了，最终导致了最近的崩溃。

Perhaps this crash was inevitable, considering the magnitude of the recent Bitcoin and cryptocurrency bull market. Past crashes in Bitcoin have demonstrated how rapidly the entire market can collapse.

考虑到最近的比特币和加密货币牛市的幅度，也许这次崩溃是不可避免的。过去的比特币崩溃已经证明了整个市场的崩溃速度。

This panic is highly contagious, and we've seen it unfold in cycles throughout history. Notably, the Bitcoin crashes of 2011 and 2013 serve as prime examples.

这种恐慌具有很高的传染性，我们已经看到它在整个历史上都在周期中展开。值得注意的是，2011年和2013年的比特币崩溃是主要例子。

Each crash unfolded in a similar fashion, with an initial period of euphoria and strong buying interest, which ultimately led to a sharp downturn in price and a decrease in trading volume.

每次崩溃都以类似的方式展开，最初的欣快感和强烈的购买兴趣，最终导致价格下降，交易量减少。

As we observe the recent market downturn, we can identify striking parallels to the crashes of the past.

当我们观察到最近的市场低迷时，我们可以确定与过去崩溃的惊人相似之处。

Solana's decline appears to be a natural consequence of its technological promise and the significant attention it garnered from cryptocurrency traders. However, with the occurrence of such a crash, the question arises: can we expect a significant reversal in the year ahead?

索拉纳（Solana）的衰落似乎是其技术承诺及其从加密货币交易者获得的重大关注的自然结果。但是，随着这种崩溃的发生，问题出现了：我们可以期望未来一年发生重大逆转吗？

Technical indicators and recent price action

技术指标和最近的价格行动

According to technical analysts, Solana's price has recently found support at the $100 level, which coincides with the lower boundary of a large market-neutral price channel on the weekly time frame.

根据技术分析师的说法，Solana的价格最近在100美元的水平上找到了支持，这与每周时间范围内大型市场中性价格渠道的下边界相吻合。

Additionally, the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a key indicator used by long-term traders, is also converging around the $100 threshold.

此外，长期交易者使用的关键指标为50周的简单移动平均线（SMA）也围绕100美元的门槛汇聚。

As the saying goes, "in time, we trust." While the long-term moving averages for Solana still suggest a bearish trend, there are signs that this momentum could be shifting.

俗话说：“及时，我们相信。”尽管Solana的长期移动平均值仍然表明看跌趋势，但有迹象表明这种势头可能正在转移。

Notably, the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart, typically employed by medium-term traders, has begun to flatten out, indicating a potential bottom in the near term.

值得注意的是，通常由中期交易者使用的4小时图表上的50个周期指数移动平均值（EMA）已开始弄平，表明在短期内有潜在的底层。

Of course, price action alone doesn't tell the whole story. But when you combine these technical clues with the broader macroeconomic trends and the potential for new use cases for Solana, the possibility of a significant rebound in the second half of 2024 starts to look more likely.

当然，仅价格动作并不能说明整个故事。但是，当您将这些技术线索与更广泛的宏观经济趋势和Solana新用例的潜力相结合时，在2024年下半年有重大反弹的可能性开始看起来更有可能。

Analysts' predictions and optimism

分析师的预测和乐观

In a recent analysis, Bitunix highlighted the potential for a strong recovery in the second half

在最近的分析中，Bitunix强调了下半场强劲恢复的潜力