托尼·塞維諾（Tony Severino）發布了詳細的技術分析

遵循比特幣（BTC）價格上漲超過$ 94,000

Tony Severino, a CMT-verified analyst, provided a technical analysis to navigate the next major move, following the Bitcoin (BTC) price increase above $94,000. As the Heikin Ashi monthly candle flashes bearish signals, the analyst shares the ideal time to buy Bitcoin, warning investors of potential bear market traps.

CMT驗證的分析師Tony Severino隨著比特幣（BTC）價格上漲超過$ 94,000，提供了技術分析，以導航下一個重大舉措。隨著Heikin Ashi每月蠟燭閃爍看跌信號，分析師分享了購買比特幣的理想時間，警告投資者潛在的熊市陷阱。

Upper Bollinger Band Reveal Time To Buy Bitcoin

上布林樂隊揭示時間購買比特幣

Severino offered a deep analysis of the Bitcoin market, identifying the precise conditions for investors and traders, including himself, to re-enter based on key market indicators and price action. The analyst broke down a Bitcoin price chart featuring monthly candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, and historical comparisons.

Severino對比特幣市場進行了深入的分析，並確定了包括他本人在內的投資者和交易者的確切條件，以根據關鍵市場指標和價格行動重新進入。分析師打破了比特幣價格圖表，其中包括每月燭台，布林樂隊和歷史比較。

The chart highlights that in late 2021, after hitting its previous ATH, Bitcoin touched the Upper Bollinger Band but failed to close above it. At the time, this move was viewed as a classic non-confirmation, which ultimately led to a sharp reversal and brutal bear market in 2022.

該圖表強調，在2021年底撞到了以前的ATH之後，比特幣觸及了上布林樂隊，但未能在其上方關閉。當時，這一舉動被視為經典的非確認，最終導致了2022年急劇逆轉和殘酷的熊市。

Today, Bitcoin is hovering above $94,000, with the Upper Bollinger Band positioned at $108,000. According to Severino, merely reaching this Upper Bollinger Band level, as it did in 2021, is not enough reason to buy Bitcoin in anticipation of a price increase. Instead, the analyst asserts that a full monthly close above $108,000 is needed to confirm a breakout and continuation of the bullish trend.

如今，比特幣徘徊在94,000美元以上，上布林樂隊的位置為108,000美元。根據Severino的說法，正如2021年所做的那樣，僅達到上層的Bollinger樂隊水平，沒有足夠的理由購買比特幣，因為價格上漲。取而代之的是，分析師斷言，需要每月一定的每月關閉108,000美元，以確認看漲趨勢的突破和延續。

The analyst disclosed that he would consider buying Bitcoin once it closes sufficiently above this level. However, if the flagship cryptocurrency fails to close above the Upper Bollinger Band for a month, it could mirror the 2021 double top and fake breakout, potentially leading to another steep bear market this cycle.

分析師透露，一旦比特幣關閉了這一水平，他將考慮購買比特幣。但是，如果旗艦加密貨幣未能在上布林樂隊上方關閉一個月，它可能會反映2021年的雙頂和虛假的突破，這可能會導致本週期的另一個陡峭的熊市。

Overall, Severino advises investors to closely watch Bitcoin’s price action around this key Bollinger Band. He stresses that capital preservation far outweighs succumbing to the Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO). With elevated risks and rising volatility, the analyst believes that clear confirmation signals are the only way to engage with the market safely.

總體而言，Severino建議投資者密切關注Bollinger樂隊的比特幣的價格行動。他強調，資本保存遠遠超過了害怕錯過的恐懼（FOMO）。隨著風險升高和波動性的增加，分析師認為，明確的確認信號是安全參與市場的唯一方法。

BTC’s Heikin Assi Candle Flips Bearish

BTC的Heikin Assi蠟燭翻轉看跌

While Severino confirms the ideal time to buy BTC, the analyst also announced that the Bitcoin Heikin Assi candles have turned bearish. The analyst shared a 12-week Heikin Assi candlestick chart, which shows Bitcoin flashing early warning signs of a potential bear market.

儘管Severino確認購買BTC的理想時機，但分析師還宣布，比特幣Heikin Assi蠟燭已經變成看跌。分析師分享了一個為期12週的Heikin Assi燭台圖，該圖顯示了比特幣在潛在的熊市中閃爍的預警信號。

The chart highlights a critical moment where Bitcoin’s Heikin Assi candle turned red for the first time since its previous price peaks in 2014, 2018, and 2022. Such a signal has typically marked the beginning of prolonged bear markets and deep price corrections.

該圖表突出了一個關鍵時刻，自比特幣的Heikin Assi蠟燭以來，自2014年，2018年和2022年的價格高峰以來，這是第一次變成紅色。這種信號通常標誌著延長熊市和深度價格更正的開始。

Further strengthening the bearish outlook, Severino pointed out that the Fisher Transform, a technical indicator used to detect trend reversals, is exhibiting a bearish crossover, with the green Fisher line dropping below the red Trigger line. In previous cycles, whenever these two signals — the Heikin Assi and Fisher Transform — aligned, Bitcoin experienced substantial declines that lasted for months, if not years.

Severino進一步增強了看跌前景，指出，用於檢測趨勢逆轉的技術指標Fisher Transform展示了看跌的交叉，綠色Fisher線落在紅色觸發線以下。在以前的周期中，每當這兩個信號（Heikin Assi和Fisher變換）都結盟時，比特幣會經歷大幅下降，持續了數月（即使不是幾年）。