托尼·塞维诺（Tony Severino）发布了详细的技术分析

遵循比特币（BTC）价格上涨超过$ 94,000

Tony Severino, a CMT-verified analyst, provided a technical analysis to navigate the next major move, following the Bitcoin (BTC) price increase above $94,000. As the Heikin Ashi monthly candle flashes bearish signals, the analyst shares the ideal time to buy Bitcoin, warning investors of potential bear market traps.

CMT验证的分析师Tony Severino随着比特币（BTC）价格上涨超过$ 94,000，提供了技术分析，以导航下一个重大举措。随着Heikin Ashi每月蜡烛闪烁看跌信号，分析师分享了购买比特币的理想时间，警告投资者潜在的熊市陷阱。

Upper Bollinger Band Reveal Time To Buy Bitcoin

上布林乐队揭示时间购买比特币

Severino offered a deep analysis of the Bitcoin market, identifying the precise conditions for investors and traders, including himself, to re-enter based on key market indicators and price action. The analyst broke down a Bitcoin price chart featuring monthly candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, and historical comparisons.

Severino对比特币市场进行了深入的分析，并确定了包括他本人在内的投资者和交易者的确切条件，以根据关键市场指标和价格行动重新进入。分析师打破了比特币价格图表，其中包括每月烛台，布林乐队和历史比较。

The chart highlights that in late 2021, after hitting its previous ATH, Bitcoin touched the Upper Bollinger Band but failed to close above it. At the time, this move was viewed as a classic non-confirmation, which ultimately led to a sharp reversal and brutal bear market in 2022.

该图表强调，在2021年底撞到了以前的ATH之后，比特币触及了上布林乐队，但未能在其上方关闭。当时，这一举动被视为经典的非确认，最终导致了2022年急剧逆转和残酷的熊市。

Today, Bitcoin is hovering above $94,000, with the Upper Bollinger Band positioned at $108,000. According to Severino, merely reaching this Upper Bollinger Band level, as it did in 2021, is not enough reason to buy Bitcoin in anticipation of a price increase. Instead, the analyst asserts that a full monthly close above $108,000 is needed to confirm a breakout and continuation of the bullish trend.

如今，比特币徘徊在94,000美元以上，上布林乐队的位置为108,000美元。根据Severino的说法，正如2021年所做的那样，仅达到上层的Bollinger乐队水平，没有足够的理由购买比特币，因为价格上涨。取而代之的是，分析师断言，需要每月一定的每月关闭108,000美元，以确认看涨趋势的突破和延续。

The analyst disclosed that he would consider buying Bitcoin once it closes sufficiently above this level. However, if the flagship cryptocurrency fails to close above the Upper Bollinger Band for a month, it could mirror the 2021 double top and fake breakout, potentially leading to another steep bear market this cycle.

分析师透露，一旦比特币关闭了这一水平，他将考虑购买比特币。但是，如果旗舰加密货币未能在上布林乐队上方关闭一个月，它可能会反映2021年的双顶和虚假的突破，这可能会导致本周期的另一个陡峭的熊市。

Overall, Severino advises investors to closely watch Bitcoin’s price action around this key Bollinger Band. He stresses that capital preservation far outweighs succumbing to the Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO). With elevated risks and rising volatility, the analyst believes that clear confirmation signals are the only way to engage with the market safely.

总体而言，Severino建议投资者密切关注Bollinger乐队的比特币的价格行动。他强调，资本保存远远超过了害怕错过的恐惧（FOMO）。随着风险升高和波动性的增加，分析师认为，明确的确认信号是安全参与市场的唯一方法。

BTC’s Heikin Assi Candle Flips Bearish

BTC的Heikin Assi蜡烛翻转看跌

While Severino confirms the ideal time to buy BTC, the analyst also announced that the Bitcoin Heikin Assi candles have turned bearish. The analyst shared a 12-week Heikin Assi candlestick chart, which shows Bitcoin flashing early warning signs of a potential bear market.

尽管Severino确认购买BTC的理想时机，但分析师还宣布，比特币Heikin Assi蜡烛已经变成看跌。分析师分享了一个为期12周的Heikin Assi烛台图，该图显示了比特币在潜在的熊市中闪烁的预警信号。

The chart highlights a critical moment where Bitcoin’s Heikin Assi candle turned red for the first time since its previous price peaks in 2014, 2018, and 2022. Such a signal has typically marked the beginning of prolonged bear markets and deep price corrections.

该图表突出了一个关键时刻，自比特币的Heikin Assi蜡烛以来，自2014年，2018年和2022年的价格高峰以来，这是第一次变成红色。这种信号通常标志着延长熊市和深度价格更正的开始。

Further strengthening the bearish outlook, Severino pointed out that the Fisher Transform, a technical indicator used to detect trend reversals, is exhibiting a bearish crossover, with the green Fisher line dropping below the red Trigger line. In previous cycles, whenever these two signals — the Heikin Assi and Fisher Transform — aligned, Bitcoin experienced substantial declines that lasted for months, if not years.

Severino进一步增强了看跌前景，指出，用于检测趋势逆转的技术指标Fisher Transform展示了看跌的交叉，绿色Fisher线落在红色触发线以下。在以前的周期中，每当这两个信号（Heikin Assi和Fisher变换）都结盟时，比特币会经历大幅下降，持续了数月（即使不是几年）。