標準特許預測比特幣（BTC）可能會在2029年達到$ 500K

一份新的標準憲章報告正在對其大膽的比特幣（BTC）預測引起財務和加密貨幣社區的轟動。

A new Standard Chartered report is causing quite a stir in the financial and cryptocurrency community for its bold Bitcoin (BTC) prediction. The multinational bank claimed the premier digital asset could hit as much as $500K per coin by 2029.

一份新的標準憲章報告正在對其大膽的比特幣（BTC）預測引起財務和加密貨幣社區的轟動。這家跨國公司聲稱，到2029年，總理數字資產可能會達到每枚硬幣50萬美元。

How the Market Could Reach $500K Per Bitcoin

市場如何達到每個比特幣50萬美元

According to Standard Chartered, the increasing indirect exposure of sovereigns and governments through the acquisition of MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares reinforces the half-a-million-dollar forecast. The numbers could hit the target before US President Donald Trump’s term ends.

根據《標準憲章》的說法，通過獲取微觀和政府的間接暴露增加了微觀和政府的股票（MSTR）共享增強了50萬美元的預測。這些數字可能會在美國總統唐納德·特朗普的任期結束之前擊中目標。

“The latest 13F data from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) supports our core thesis that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the $500,000 level before Trump leaves office as it attracts a wider range of institutional buyers,” Geoffrey Kendrick, the global head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, told The Block. “As more investors gain access to the asset and as volatility falls, we believe portfolios will migrate towards their optimal level from an underweight starting position in BTC.”

“美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的最新13F數據支持我們的核心論點，即比特幣（BTC）將在特朗普離開辦公室之前達到500,000美元的水平，因為它吸引了更廣泛的機構買家，”《標準憲章》中的數字資產研究負責人Geoffrey Kendrick表示。 “隨著越來越多的投資者獲得資產的訪問權，並且隨著波動性的下降，我們相信投資組合將從BTC的體重不足開始職位遷移到最佳水平。”

Based on the 13F data the financial institution sourced from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), most governments preferred holding MSTR shares over spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Kendrick believes the trend is due to institutions considering MicroStrategy as an indirect Bitcoin proxy. The high acquisition rate for MSTR shares is a possible result of these entities wanting to gain Bitcoin exposure but are constrained by local regulations.

根據13F數據，金融機構來自美國證券交易委員會（SEC），大多數政府都偏愛持有MST的股份，而不是現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETFS）。肯德里克（Kendrick）認為，這種趨勢是由於機構將微觀造影作為間接比特幣代理所致。 MSTR股票的高采集率可能是這些實體希望獲得比特幣的結果，但受到本地法規的約束。

Among the governments that significantly increased their MSTR stock holdings last quarter were Norway (through its government’s pension fund), Switzerland (through the Swiss National Bank), and South Korea (where several pension and investment bodies made new or increased MSTR holdings). Sweden and Liechtenstein also marginally accumulated additional BTC. Meanwhile, California, Kentucky, New York, and North Carolina were among the largest BTC buyers in the US during the same period.

在上個季度大大增加其MST股票持有的政府中，挪威（通過其政府的養老基金），瑞士（通過瑞士國家銀行）和韓國（幾家養老金和投資機構在這裡造成了新的或增加的MSTR Holdings）。瑞典和列支敦士登也略微積累了額外的BTC。同時，加利福尼亞州，肯塔基州，紐約和北卡羅來納州是美國最大的BTC買家之一。

Microstrategy’s Legal Woes

MicroStrategy的法律困境

It’s clear that the primary driving factor in Standard Chartered’s recent projection is Microstrategy. However, the bank notably prepared the report before the Bitcoin development company disclosed the case involving its executives in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia.

很明顯，標準憲章最近投影的主要驅動因素是微層面。但是，該銀行在比特幣開發公司向美國東部地區弗吉尼亞州地方法院的高管披露該案件之前，明顯準備了該報告。

On Monday, the business revealed a class action lawsuit naming Microstrategy Chair Michael Saylor, CEO and President Phong Le, and EVP Andrew Kang as defendants. The plaintiffs accused them of falsifying, misleading, and withholding crucial information about the company’s BTC-focused investment scheme and treasury operations. Moreover, they alleged that the officials failed to inform investors about the inherent volatility of BTC properly.

週一，該公司透露了一項集體訴訟，命名了MicroStrategy主席Michael Saylor，首席執行官兼總統Phong Le，EVP Andrew Kang為被告。原告指責他們偽造，誤導和扣留有關公司以BTC為重點的投資計劃和財政部業務的關鍵信息。此外，他們聲稱官員未能正確地將BTC的固有波動告知投資者。

Microstrategy warned in its Form 8-K filing on Monday that the lawsuit may cause unforeseen ramifications to public sentiment toward the company. Furthermore, it couldn’t provide a reasonable estimate yet of the possible losses it may incur during the pendency of the case and in the event that the plaintiffs are successful in financially penalizing the company.

MicroStrategy在周一的8-K文件中警告說，該訴訟可能會對公眾對公司的情緒產生不可預見的後果。此外，它尚無法提供合理的估計值，即在案件案件中可能造成的可能損失，並且如果原告成功地在財務上懲罰了公司。

With that, it remains to be seen if the case will have a long-standing effect on the exposure of governments in Microstrategy, and if Standard Chartered will revise its prediction in the second quarter report.

因此，該案是否會對政府在MicroStrategy中的暴露有長期影響還有待觀察，並且是否有標準憲章將在第二季度的報告中修改其預測。