标准特许预测比特币（BTC）可能会在2029年达到$ 500K

一份新的标准宪章报告正在对其大胆的比特币（BTC）预测引起财务和加密货币社区的轰动。

A new Standard Chartered report is causing quite a stir in the financial and cryptocurrency community for its bold Bitcoin (BTC) prediction. The multinational bank claimed the premier digital asset could hit as much as $500K per coin by 2029.

一份新的标准宪章报告正在对其大胆的比特币（BTC）预测引起财务和加密货币社区的轰动。这家跨国公司声称，到2029年，总理数字资产可能会达到每枚硬币50万美元。

How the Market Could Reach $500K Per Bitcoin

市场如何达到每个比特币50万美元

According to Standard Chartered, the increasing indirect exposure of sovereigns and governments through the acquisition of MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares reinforces the half-a-million-dollar forecast. The numbers could hit the target before US President Donald Trump’s term ends.

根据《标准宪章》的说法，通过获取微观和政府的间接暴露增加了微观和政府的股票（MSTR）共享增强了50万美元的预测。这些数字可能会在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的任期结束之前击中目标。

“The latest 13F data from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) supports our core thesis that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the $500,000 level before Trump leaves office as it attracts a wider range of institutional buyers,” Geoffrey Kendrick, the global head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, told The Block. “As more investors gain access to the asset and as volatility falls, we believe portfolios will migrate towards their optimal level from an underweight starting position in BTC.”

“美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的最新13F数据支持我们的核心论点，即比特币（BTC）将在特朗普离开办公室之前达到500,000美元的水平，因为它吸引了更广泛的机构买家，”《标准宪章》中的数字资产研究负责人Geoffrey Kendrick表示。 “随着越来越多的投资者获得资产的访问权，并且随着波动性的下降，我们相信投资组合将从BTC的体重不足开始职位迁移到最佳水平。”

Based on the 13F data the financial institution sourced from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), most governments preferred holding MSTR shares over spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Kendrick believes the trend is due to institutions considering MicroStrategy as an indirect Bitcoin proxy. The high acquisition rate for MSTR shares is a possible result of these entities wanting to gain Bitcoin exposure but are constrained by local regulations.

根据13F数据，金融机构来自美国证券交易委员会（SEC），大多数政府都偏爱持有MST的股份，而不是现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETFS）。肯德里克（Kendrick）认为，这种趋势是由于机构将微观造影作为间接比特币代理所致。 MSTR股票的高采集率可能是这些实体希望获得比特币的结果，但受到本地法规的约束。

Among the governments that significantly increased their MSTR stock holdings last quarter were Norway (through its government’s pension fund), Switzerland (through the Swiss National Bank), and South Korea (where several pension and investment bodies made new or increased MSTR holdings). Sweden and Liechtenstein also marginally accumulated additional BTC. Meanwhile, California, Kentucky, New York, and North Carolina were among the largest BTC buyers in the US during the same period.

在上个季度大大增加其MST股票持有的政府中，挪威（通过其政府的养老基金），瑞士（通过瑞士国家银行）和韩国（几家养老金和投资机构在这里造成了新的或增加的MSTR Holdings）。瑞典和列支敦士登也略微积累了额外的BTC。同时，加利福尼亚州，肯塔基州，纽约和北卡罗来纳州是美国最大的BTC买家之一。

Microstrategy’s Legal Woes

MicroStrategy的法律困境

It’s clear that the primary driving factor in Standard Chartered’s recent projection is Microstrategy. However, the bank notably prepared the report before the Bitcoin development company disclosed the case involving its executives in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia.

很明显，标准宪章最近投影的主要驱动因素是微层面。但是，该银行在比特币开发公司向美国东部地区弗吉尼亚州地方法院的高管披露该案件之前，明显准备了该报告。

On Monday, the business revealed a class action lawsuit naming Microstrategy Chair Michael Saylor, CEO and President Phong Le, and EVP Andrew Kang as defendants. The plaintiffs accused them of falsifying, misleading, and withholding crucial information about the company’s BTC-focused investment scheme and treasury operations. Moreover, they alleged that the officials failed to inform investors about the inherent volatility of BTC properly.

周一，该公司透露了一项集体诉讼，命名了MicroStrategy主席Michael Saylor，首席执行官兼总统Phong Le，EVP Andrew Kang为被告。原告指责他们伪造，误导和扣留有关公司以BTC为重点的投资计划和财政部业务的关键信息。此外，他们声称官员未能正确地将BTC的固有波动告知投资者。

Microstrategy warned in its Form 8-K filing on Monday that the lawsuit may cause unforeseen ramifications to public sentiment toward the company. Furthermore, it couldn’t provide a reasonable estimate yet of the possible losses it may incur during the pendency of the case and in the event that the plaintiffs are successful in financially penalizing the company.

MicroStrategy在周一的8-K文件中警告说，该诉讼可能会对公众对公司的情绪产生不可预见的后果。此外，它尚无法提供合理的估计值，即在案件案件中可能造成的可能损失，并且如果原告成功地在财务上惩罚了公司。

With that, it remains to be seen if the case will have a long-standing effect on the exposure of governments in Microstrategy, and if Standard Chartered will revise its prediction in the second quarter report.

因此，该案是否会对政府在MicroStrategy中的暴露有长期影响还有待观察，并且是否有标准宪章将在第二季度的报告中修改其预测。