現貨 ETF 會帶動 Solana ($SOL) 上漲嗎？

今天，我們將繼續關注推動 Solana 轉向現貨 ETF 的因素。最後，我們將回答這個問題：ETF 會帶動 Solana 上漲嗎？

Today, we continue looking at factors that drive Solana towards its spot ETF.

今天，我們繼續關注推動 Solana 轉向現貨 ETF 的因素。

To conclude, we’ll answer the question: Will an ETF pump Solana? Here is the first part.

最後，我們將回答這個問題：ETF 會帶動 Solana 上漲嗎？這是第一部分。

Two More Factors for Solana’s Spot ETF

Solana 現貨 ETF 的另外兩個因素

The first factor here would be aspects of decentralization, which include the Nakamoto Coefficient, Staking Requirements, and CCData Governance Rating. Solana performed well in these, which gives it a score of 0.4.

這裡的第一個因素是去中心化的方面，其中包括中本聰係數、質押要求和 CCData 治理評級。 Solana 在這些方面表現良好，得分為 0.4。

Below is a comparison of Solana amongst other projects. We can see that Solana did well by placing #2, only behind Ethereum.

以下是 Solana 與其他項目的比較。我們可以看到 Solana 表現出色，排名第二，僅落後於以太坊。

The next factor here is demand. Aspects of demand include Market Indicators, Assets Under Management (AUM), and different Activity Metrics. Solana has a demand score of 0.7. Again, it fares well amongst its peers, ranking #2 behind Ethereum.

下一個因素是需求。需求方麵包括市場指標、管理資產 (AUM) 和不同的活動指標。 Solana 的需求得分為 0.7。它再次在同行中表現出色，排名第二，落後於以太坊。

Looking at decentralization and demand, it seems likely and logical that Solana will be the third crypto to have its spot ETF. But will having an ETF lead to an increase in $SOL’s price? Let’s find out in the next section.

從去中心化和需求來看，Solana 將成為第三個擁有現貨 ETF 的加密貨幣似乎很可能也是合乎邏輯的。但擁有 ETF 會導致 $SOL 價格上漲嗎？讓我們在下一節中找到答案。

This article was originally published on Altcoin Buzz Alpha. You can subscribe in the banner below to see more articles like this.

本文最初發表在 Altcoin Buzz Alpha 上。您可以在下面的橫幅中訂閱以查看更多此類文章。

Impact on $SOL From a Spot ETF

現貨 ETF 對 $SOL 的影響

To answer this question, let’s check BTC’s own ETF listing and its resulting impact on $BTC. Back then, $BTC experienced a 2.3x increase from $27,000 to $63,000 after its spot ETF was listed. Naturally, $SOL could follow along this path as well.

為了回答這個問題，讓我們來看看 BTC 自己的 ETF 上市及其對 BTC 美元的影響。當時，現貨 ETF 上市後，$BTC 的價格從 27,000 美元上漲了 2.3 倍，達到 63,000 美元。當然，$SOL 也可以沿著這條道路走下去。

However, it would be unfair to assume that a $SOL ETF would bring in as many inflows as $BTC. With that, there can be 3 scenarios based on a bear, base, and bull case:

然而，假設 $SOL ETF 會帶來與 $BTC 一樣多的資金流入，這是不公平的。這樣，根據熊市、基本情況和牛市情況，可以有 3 種情況：

Note: The above calculations take into account $SOL’s smaller market cap.

注意：上述計算考慮了 $SOL 較小的市值。

Current Price Action

當前價格走勢

The SOL/USDT chart is quite bullish. The 119 support is often revisited and held. This means with a positive sentiment, SOL can retest the $204 resistance. $120 is a good entry for the short term.

SOL/USDT 圖表相當看漲。 119支持經常被重新審視和持有。這意味著，在積極的情緒下，SOL 可以重新測試 204 美元的阻力位。短期而言，120 美元是一個不錯的入場點。

The SOL/ETH chart is even more bullish. The range is quite strong, and the price action is good for a pump to 0.056 level.

SOL/ETH 圖表更加看漲。該範圍相當強勁，價格走勢有利於上漲至 0.056 水準。

Should We Buy SOL?

我們應該購買 SOL 嗎？

If you hold Ethereum (EVM L1 or EVM L2) and SUI (another non-EVM L1), you do not need to rush to SOL. But, if you do not hold any L1s, then SOL should be a great pick. The downside is minimal, and the upside is good.

如果你持有以太坊（EVM L1或EVM L2）和SUI（另一種非EVM L1），則無需急於SOL。但是，如果您沒有任何 L1，那麼 SOL 應該是一個不錯的選擇。缺點是最小的，而優點是好的。

$120 can be a good entry and any price below $100 is for DCAing and getting decent bags. Voila! That does it! To conclude, we are pretty bullish on a $SOL ETF. But then again, nothing is certain, especially in the crypto world. So, manage your risk accordingly!

120 美元可能是一個不錯的入門價格，任何低於 100 美元的價格都適合 DCA 並獲得一個像樣的包。瞧！就這樣了！總而言之，我們非常看好 $SOL ETF。但話又說回來，沒有什麼是確定的，尤其是在加密世界。因此，相應地管理您的風險！

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