Solana（Sol）：10％浪湧還是30％？

在撰寫本文時，Solana（Sol）的交易約為107.50美元，在24小時內從97美元中飆升了10％以上。

Solana (SOL) price witnessed a 10% surge in the past 24 hours, reaching $107.50 at the time of writing.

在過去的24小時內，Solana（Sol）Price目睹了10％的漲幅，在寫作時達到了107.50美元。

However, technical analysis and on-chain data highlight the possibility of a 30% drop for SOL in the short term.

但是，技術分析和鏈上數據突出了短期內SOL下降30％的可能性。

Solana failed to break its crucial horizontal support of $114 on April 6, a level that had previously acted as a price reversal or bounce point.

索拉納（Solana）未能在4月6日打破對114美元的關鍵水平支撐，這一水平以前是價格逆轉或彈跳點。

Solana broke its crucial horizontal support of $114 on April 6, 2025. Historically, this level had acted as a price reversal or bounce point. However, this time, the pattern failed, paving the way for further decline.

索拉納（Solana）在2025年4月6日打破了對114美元的關鍵水平支持。從歷史上看，這一水平是價格逆轉或彈跳點。但是，這次模式失敗了，為進一步的下降鋪平了道路。

Indeed, if SOL remains below $114, historical trends indicate a potential drop of 30%, which could bring it back to its next support level at $77.

實際上，如果SOL保持在114美元以下，歷史趨勢表明30％的潛在下降，這可能會使其下一個支持水平為77美元。

Currently, SOL is trading below the 200-day moving average on the daily chart, signaling a strong downtrend with continuous downward momentum.

目前，SOL在每日圖表上的交易平均值低於200天移動平均線，這表明持續向下勢頭的下降趨勢強勁。

If Solana fails to reach $135, it will continue its drop to $80-77.

如果Solana未能達到135美元，它將繼續下降至80-77美元。

On-chain metrics also confirm the bearish sentiment among traders.

鏈上指標還證實了交易者的看跌感。

Coinglass data shows that traders hold more short positions than long positions in the market, with $85 million in short positions built at the $113.10 resistance level. This suggests that bears currently dominate this asset.

COINGLASS數據顯示，交易者在市場上的職位比長期頭寸要多，其短頭位為113.10美元的阻力水平為8500萬美元。這表明熊當前在該資產中占主導地位。

In summary, Solana could see an increase in the coming days up to $120 to liquidate shorts and then trend back downwards.

總而言之，索拉納（Solana）可能會看到未來幾天的增長，最高120美元，以清理短褲，然後向下趨勢。

However, these short and long positions are likely to be liquidated once the price significantly moves in either direction. Hence, the support level of $77 becomes a crucial point to monitor for Solana investors, as a fallback to this level would indicate a major shift in project dynamics.More on this topic:

但是，一旦價格明顯朝任何方向移動，這些短職位和長位置可能會被清算。因此，77美元的支持水平成為監控索拉納投資者的關鍵點，因為該水平的後備將表明項目動態的重大轉變。