Solana (SOL) 重獲關鍵支撐位後可能會重複歷史模式

Solana (SOL) 最近重新獲得了關鍵支撐位，該支撐位在 2021 年牛市期間的快速上漲中發揮了關鍵作用。

Solana (SOL) has recently shown signs of strength by reclaiming a key support level, indicating a potential bullish trend.

Solana (SOL) 最近透過收回關鍵支撐位顯示出走強跡象，表明潛在的看漲趨勢。

Earlier this year, Solana’s price surged past the $200 mark on Gate.io, hinting at a possible new record in the making. However, this surge was quickly followed by a steep 36% correction, leading many to believe that SOL had already peaked for this cycle.

今年早些時候，Solana 的價格在 Gate.io 上飆升至 200 美元大關，暗示可能會創下新紀錄。然而，這次飆升之後很快就出現了 36% 的大幅回調，導致許多人認為 SOL 已經在本週期達到頂峰。

But a closer examination of the technical signals on the weekly chart reveals a different narrative. Solana last touched the crucial $140 support level in August 2021, and by November of the same year, SOL had soared by 83% to reach its all-time high (ATH) of $270.

但仔細研究週線圖上的技術訊號就會發現不同的說法。 Solana 上次觸及關鍵的 140 美元支撐位是在 2021 年 8 月，到同年 11 月，SOL 飆升 83%，達到 270 美元的歷史新高 (ATH)。

This time around, Solana reclaimed the $140 support level after bouncing off the $128 Fib Retracement level. Interestingly, the last time something similar happened was in August 2021.

這一次，Solana 在從 128 美元的斐波那契回撤位反彈後，重新奪回了 140 美元的支撐位。有趣的是，上一次發生類似的事情是在 2021 年 8 月。

Crucial to this bullish outlook is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which broke above its downward trendline during the 2021 bull run, signaling the explosive price move. Now, a similar RSI breakout appears to be unfolding, suggesting that SOL could be primed for another major rally.

這種看漲前景的關鍵是相對強弱指數 (RSI)，該指數在 2021 年牛市期間突破了下行趨勢線，預示著價格的爆炸性走勢。現在，類似的 RSI 突破似乎正在展開，這表明 SOL 可能為另一次大幅反彈做好準備。

If Solana’s current trajectory mirrors its previous performance, the price could hit $260 once again within the next few months and potentially move even higher.

如果 Solana 目前的軌跡與先前的表現相符，那麼價格可能會在未來幾個月內再次達到 260 美元，甚至可能更高。

Another bullish indicator for Solana is its network activity, which has seen a surge in active addresses on the blockchain, reaching an all-time high. This signifies increased participation in transactions on the Solana network. Typically, an uptick in active users indicates growing demand for the token, which could fuel further price increases.

Solana 的另一個看漲指標是其網路活動，區塊鏈上的活躍位址激增，達到歷史新高。這意味著 Solana 網路上的交易參與度有所增加。通常，活躍用戶的增加表明對代幣的需求不斷增長，這可能會進一步推動價格上漲。

If the current trend of rising network activity continues, it will likely provide a strong foundation for SOL’s price growth in the near future.

如果當前網路活動上升的趨勢持續下去，可能會為 SOL 在不久的將來的價格增長提供堅實的基礎。

On the daily chart, Solana appears poised to break through the $151.99 resistance level, especially as the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) begin to shift. Currently, the 50-day EMA (yellow) is still positioned above the 20-day EMA (blue), indicating that Solana has not yet fully entered a bull phase.

在日線圖上，Solana 似乎準備好突破 151.99 美元的阻力位，特別是當指數移動平均線 (EMA) 開始移動時。目前，50 日均線（黃色）仍位於 20 日均線（藍色）上方，顯示 Solana 尚未完全進入牛市階段。

However, the shorter EMA is on the verge of crossing above the longer one, which could signal a significant upward price move. If this crossover occurs, SOL could potentially break through overhead resistance, aided by the $144.64 level.

然而，較短的 EMA 即將突破較長的 EMA，這可能預示著價格的大幅上漲。如果這種交叉發生，SOL 可能會在 144.64 美元水平的幫助下突破上方阻力位。

Assuming this bullish scenario plays out, Solana’s next target could be around $176.07. If the momentum continues, it might even reach $194.08, potentially setting the stage for a run toward $260 and beyond.

假設這種看漲情況發生，Solana 的下一個目標可能是 176.07 美元左右。如果這種勢頭持續下去，它甚至可能達到 194.08 美元，為漲至 260 美元甚至更高奠定基礎。

That said, a drop back to $129.77 would invalidate this bullish outlook, with the price potentially declining further to retest that support level.

也就是說，跌回 129.77 美元將使這一看漲前景失效，價格可能進一步下跌以重新測試該支撐位。