Solana (SOL) 重获关键支撑位后可能会重复历史模式

Solana (SOL) 最近重新获得了关键支撑位，该支撑位在 2021 年牛市期间的迅速上涨中发挥了关键作用。

Solana (SOL) has recently shown signs of strength by reclaiming a key support level, indicating a potential bullish trend.

Solana (SOL) 最近通过收回关键支撑位显示出走强迹象，表明潜在的看涨趋势。

Earlier this year, Solana’s price surged past the $200 mark on Gate.io, hinting at a possible new record in the making. However, this surge was quickly followed by a steep 36% correction, leading many to believe that SOL had already peaked for this cycle.

今年早些时候，Solana 的价格在 Gate.io 上飙升至 200 美元大关，暗示可能会创下新纪录。然而，这次飙升之后很快就出现了 36% 的大幅回调，导致许多人认为 SOL 已经在本周期达到顶峰。

But a closer examination of the technical signals on the weekly chart reveals a different narrative. Solana last touched the crucial $140 support level in August 2021, and by November of the same year, SOL had soared by 83% to reach its all-time high (ATH) of $270.

但仔细研究周线图上的技术信号就会发现不同的说法。 Solana 上次触及关键的 140 美元支撑位是在 2021 年 8 月，到同年 11 月，SOL 飙升 83%，达到 270 美元的历史新高 (ATH)。

This time around, Solana reclaimed the $140 support level after bouncing off the $128 Fib Retracement level. Interestingly, the last time something similar happened was in August 2021.

这一次，Solana 在从 128 美元的斐波那契回撤位反弹后，重新夺回了 140 美元的支撑位。有趣的是，上一次发生类似的事情是在 2021 年 8 月。

Crucial to this bullish outlook is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which broke above its downward trendline during the 2021 bull run, signaling the explosive price move. Now, a similar RSI breakout appears to be unfolding, suggesting that SOL could be primed for another major rally.

这种看涨前景的关键是相对强弱指数 (RSI)，该指数在 2021 年牛市期间突破了下行趋势线，预示着价格的爆炸性走势。现在，类似的 RSI 突破似乎正在展开，这表明 SOL 可能为另一次大幅反弹做好准备。

If Solana’s current trajectory mirrors its previous performance, the price could hit $260 once again within the next few months and potentially move even higher.

如果 Solana 目前的轨迹与之前的表现相符，那么价格可能会在未来几个月内再次达到 260 美元，甚至可能更高。

Another bullish indicator for Solana is its network activity, which has seen a surge in active addresses on the blockchain, reaching an all-time high. This signifies increased participation in transactions on the Solana network. Typically, an uptick in active users indicates growing demand for the token, which could fuel further price increases.

Solana 的另一个看涨指标是其网络活动，区块链上的活跃地址激增，达到历史新高。这意味着 Solana 网络上的交易参与度有所增加。通常，活跃用户的增加表明对代币的需求不断增长，这可能会进一步推动价格上涨。

If the current trend of rising network activity continues, it will likely provide a strong foundation for SOL’s price growth in the near future.

如果当前网络活动上升的趋势持续下去，可能会为 SOL 在不久的将来的价格增长提供坚实的基础。

On the daily chart, Solana appears poised to break through the $151.99 resistance level, especially as the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) begin to shift. Currently, the 50-day EMA (yellow) is still positioned above the 20-day EMA (blue), indicating that Solana has not yet fully entered a bull phase.

在日线图上，Solana 似乎准备突破 151.99 美元的阻力位，特别是当指数移动平均线 (EMA) 开始移动时。目前，50 日均线（黄色）仍位于 20 日均线（蓝色）上方，表明 Solana 尚未完全进入牛市阶段。

However, the shorter EMA is on the verge of crossing above the longer one, which could signal a significant upward price move. If this crossover occurs, SOL could potentially break through overhead resistance, aided by the $144.64 level.

然而，较短的 EMA 即将突破较长的 EMA，这可能预示着价格的大幅上涨。如果这种交叉发生，SOL 可能会在 144.64 美元水平的帮助下突破上方阻力位。

Assuming this bullish scenario plays out, Solana’s next target could be around $176.07. If the momentum continues, it might even reach $194.08, potentially setting the stage for a run toward $260 and beyond.

假设这种看涨情况发生，Solana 的下一个目标可能是 176.07 美元左右。如果这种势头持续下去，它甚至可能达到 194.08 美元，为涨至 260 美元甚至更高奠定基础。

That said, a drop back to $129.77 would invalidate this bullish outlook, with the price potentially declining further to retest that support level.

也就是说，跌回 129.77 美元将使这一看涨前景失效，价格可能进一步下跌以重新测试该支撑位。