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經驗豐富的加密投資者和市場分析師丹尼斯(又名Virtual Bacon)透露,他準備購買XRP,這是他長期以來一直保持著的硬幣。
Seasoned crypto investor and market analyst Dennis, aka Virtual Bacon, has revealed that he is preparing to buy XRP, a coin he’s long kept at arm’s length.
經驗豐富的加密投資者和市場分析師丹尼斯(又名Virtual Bacon)透露,他準備購買XRP,這是他長期以來一直保持著的硬幣。
During a recent live stream, Dennis shared his updated perspective on the subject. While he has closely tracked XRP and discussed it in his analysis throughout the 2022 bear market, he has never added it to his portfolio. However, that may soon change as he believes the time is finally right.
在最近的直播中,丹尼斯分享了他對該主題的最新觀點。儘管他對XRP進行了密切關注並在整個2022年熊市的分析中進行了討論,但他從未將其添加到他的投資組合中。但是,這可能很快就會改變,因為他認為時間終於正確。
The analyst explained that he feels XRP still needs to undergo one final shakeout over the next three to six months. He pointed to the hype-driven rally in Q4 2024, which rose too quickly. According to Dennis, XRP still needs time to settle, allow the hype to fade, and let its fundamentals reestablish, especially as Bitcoin continues to rally and lift the altcoin market.
這位分析師解釋說,他認為XRP在接下來的三到六個月中仍需要進行最後的震動。他指出了第4季度2024年第4季度的炒作驅動的集會,這太快了。根據丹尼斯的說法,XRP仍然需要時間來解決,讓炒作褪色,並讓其基本面重建,尤其是隨著比特幣繼續集結並提升山寨幣市場。
In his view, this final dip could provide the ideal entry point for XRP to move significantly higher.
他認為,最終傾角可以為XRP提供明顯更高的理想切入點。
Ideal Entry Point
理想的入口點
The analyst specifically noted that over the past six months, a key pivot level for XRP has been around $2. The price has touched this level multiple times, acting as both strong support and resistance.
分析師特別指出,在過去的六個月中,XRP的關鍵樞軸水平約為2美元。價格多次觸及了這一水平,既是強大的支持又是阻力。
"There's a good chance that we'll get one last drop in XRP, and we'll come into the $1.5 to $1.7 range," said Dennis. "And if Bitcoin is still around $100K, then we'll be talking about an XRP price around $1.5 to $1.7, which I think is a pretty good entry point."
丹尼斯說:“我們很有可能會在XRP中獲得最後一步,我們將達到1.5美元至1.7美元的價格。” “而且,如果比特幣仍然約為10萬美元,那麼我們將談論XRP價格約1.5美元至1.7美元,我認為這是一個很好的切入點。”
However, Dennis emphasized that the main factor for XRP run largely depends on the XRP/BTC ratio.
然而,丹尼斯強調,XRP運行的主要因素在很大程度上取決於XRP/BTC比率。
"The main thing I'm looking at is the Bitcoin ratio, and I think we're going to get a final drop of about 20 to 23% in the ratio."
“我要看的主要是比特幣比率,我認為我們將獲得比率約20%至23%的最終下降。”
Since the Q4 rally, Dennis observed that XRP/BTC has been forming a rounded top pattern, with each new swing high lower than the previous one, indicating diminishing momentum. The key support level sits around 0.000022 BTC, which has held since November 2024.
自Q4拉力賽以來,丹尼斯觀察到XRP/BTC一直形成圓形的頂部圖案,每個新的鞦韆都高於前面的鞦韆,表明動量減少。自2024年11月以來一直在0.000022 BTC處舉行的密鑰支持水平。
"We're getting very close to the 0.382 Fib, which is around 2200, and I think that will be the final bounce," said Dennis. "We're going to get one more push lower, and I'm thinking we'll get a close in this range, leading into the next three to six months, at which point I may finally add some XRP to my portfolio."
丹尼斯說:“我們已經非常接近2200左右的0.382 FIB,我認為這將是最後的反彈。” “我們將再降低一個推動力,我認為我們將在此範圍內接近,直到接下來的三到六個月,這時我最終可能會在我的投資組合中添加一些XRP。”
As of press time, XRP/BTC is trading at 0.00002231 BTC. A drop of 20–23% from here would bring the ratio to the 0.382 Fib level, marking a multiple of Fib in the move.
截至發稿時間,XRP/BTC的交易價格為0.00002231 BTC。從這裡降低20%至23%的速度將使該比率達到0.382的FIB水平,這標誌著MOVE的倍數。
"It's not some random number I pulled out of a hat," said Dennis. "We're talking about a 0.382 to 0.5 Fib retracement of the entire move, which I think makes sense given the typical altcoin-to-Bitcoin ratio moves."
丹尼斯說:“這不是我從帽子上拔出的隨機數字。” “我們正在談論整個動作的0.382至0.5 FIB回撤,考慮到典型的Altcoin與二幣比率的移動,我認為這是有意義的。”
To further strengthen his argument, Dennis drew parallels to past market cycles, referencing similar setups in Ethereum and Solana before their major runs.
為了進一步加強他的論點,丹尼斯(Dennis)將平行線與過去的市場週期相提並論,在他們的主要跑步前提到了以太坊和索拉納(Ethereum)和索拉納(Solana)的類似設置。
"Remember when everyone was hyping up ETH to 1K and it kept getting rejected? Well, we finally broke through that level after a final dip below the 0.382 Fib, leading to a strong rebound," stated Dennis.
丹尼斯說:“還記得當每個人都將ETH炒作到1K並一直被拒絕時,我們終於在最終下降了0.382 FIB之後終於闖入了這一水平,導致了強勁的反彈。”
"Or take Solana, which dropped to its 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement level against BTC before rebounding strongly. I'm expecting XRP to follow a similar path, a move that could bring its USD price just under $1.85 if Bitcoin remains around $100K."
“或以索拉納(Solana)的身份下降到其0.382–0.5斐波那契的反撤回水平,然後反彈強烈反彈。我希望XRP遵循類似的道路,如果比特幣仍將其價格降低100k,則可能使其價格低於1.85美元的價格。”
Moreover, if Bitcoin rallies further, climbing to $125K and $130K while XRP moves sideways, the XRP/BTC ratio would still fall, also triggering Dennis’s buy.
此外,如果比特幣集會進一步集會,則攀升至$ 125K和13萬美元,而XRP側向移動,XRP/BTC比率仍然會下降,也會觸發Dennis的買入。
In both cases, Dennis believes that XRP is being undervalued relative to BTC and is primed for a rebound, especially as market fundamentals improve.
在這兩種情況下,丹尼斯都認為,相對於BTC,XRP被低估了,並為反彈而準備,尤其是隨著市場基本面的改善。
“We’re getting less risky assets, more interest in crypto, and less inflation—all the things that bode well for a final, final move in the market,” he concluded.
他總結說:“我們的風險資產較小,對加密貨幣的興趣更多,並且通貨膨脹率較低,這對於市場上最終的最終舉動來說,這一切都很好。”
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