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经验丰富的加密投资者和市场分析师丹尼斯(又名Virtual Bacon)透露,他准备购买XRP,这是他长期以来一直保持着的硬币。
Seasoned crypto investor and market analyst Dennis, aka Virtual Bacon, has revealed that he is preparing to buy XRP, a coin he’s long kept at arm’s length.
经验丰富的加密投资者和市场分析师丹尼斯(又名Virtual Bacon)透露,他准备购买XRP,这是他长期以来一直保持着的硬币。
During a recent live stream, Dennis shared his updated perspective on the subject. While he has closely tracked XRP and discussed it in his analysis throughout the 2022 bear market, he has never added it to his portfolio. However, that may soon change as he believes the time is finally right.
在最近的直播中,丹尼斯分享了他对该主题的最新观点。尽管他对XRP进行了密切关注并在整个2022年熊市的分析中进行了讨论,但他从未将其添加到他的投资组合中。但是,这可能很快就会改变,因为他认为时间终于正确。
The analyst explained that he feels XRP still needs to undergo one final shakeout over the next three to six months. He pointed to the hype-driven rally in Q4 2024, which rose too quickly. According to Dennis, XRP still needs time to settle, allow the hype to fade, and let its fundamentals reestablish, especially as Bitcoin continues to rally and lift the altcoin market.
这位分析师解释说,他认为XRP在接下来的三到六个月中仍需要进行最后的震动。他指出了第4季度2024年第4季度的炒作驱动的集会,这太快了。根据丹尼斯的说法,XRP仍然需要时间来解决,让炒作褪色,并让其基本面重建,尤其是随着比特币继续集结并提升山寨币市场。
In his view, this final dip could provide the ideal entry point for XRP to move significantly higher.
他认为,最终倾角可以为XRP提供明显更高的理想切入点。
Ideal Entry Point
理想的入口点
The analyst specifically noted that over the past six months, a key pivot level for XRP has been around $2. The price has touched this level multiple times, acting as both strong support and resistance.
分析师特别指出,在过去的六个月中,XRP的关键枢轴水平约为2美元。价格多次触及了这一水平,既是强大的支持又是阻力。
"There's a good chance that we'll get one last drop in XRP, and we'll come into the $1.5 to $1.7 range," said Dennis. "And if Bitcoin is still around $100K, then we'll be talking about an XRP price around $1.5 to $1.7, which I think is a pretty good entry point."
丹尼斯说:“我们很有可能会在XRP中获得最后一步,我们将达到1.5美元至1.7美元的价格。” “而且,如果比特币仍然约为10万美元,那么我们将谈论XRP价格约1.5美元至1.7美元,我认为这是一个很好的切入点。”
However, Dennis emphasized that the main factor for XRP run largely depends on the XRP/BTC ratio.
然而,丹尼斯强调,XRP运行的主要因素在很大程度上取决于XRP/BTC比率。
"The main thing I'm looking at is the Bitcoin ratio, and I think we're going to get a final drop of about 20 to 23% in the ratio."
“我要看的主要是比特币比率,我认为我们将获得比率约20%至23%的最终下降。”
Since the Q4 rally, Dennis observed that XRP/BTC has been forming a rounded top pattern, with each new swing high lower than the previous one, indicating diminishing momentum. The key support level sits around 0.000022 BTC, which has held since November 2024.
自Q4拉力赛以来,丹尼斯观察到XRP/BTC一直形成圆形的顶部图案,每个新的秋千都高于前面的秋千,表明动量减少。自2024年11月以来一直在0.000022 BTC处举行的密钥支持水平。
"We're getting very close to the 0.382 Fib, which is around 2200, and I think that will be the final bounce," said Dennis. "We're going to get one more push lower, and I'm thinking we'll get a close in this range, leading into the next three to six months, at which point I may finally add some XRP to my portfolio."
丹尼斯说:“我们已经非常接近2200左右的0.382 FIB,我认为这将是最后的反弹。” “我们将再降低一个推动力,我认为我们将在此范围内接近,直到接下来的三到六个月,这时我最终可能会在我的投资组合中添加一些XRP。”
As of press time, XRP/BTC is trading at 0.00002231 BTC. A drop of 20–23% from here would bring the ratio to the 0.382 Fib level, marking a multiple of Fib in the move.
截至发稿时间,XRP/BTC的交易价格为0.00002231 BTC。从这里降低20%至23%的速度将使该比率达到0.382的FIB水平,这标志着MOVE的倍数。
"It's not some random number I pulled out of a hat," said Dennis. "We're talking about a 0.382 to 0.5 Fib retracement of the entire move, which I think makes sense given the typical altcoin-to-Bitcoin ratio moves."
丹尼斯说:“这不是我从帽子上拔出的随机数字。” “我们正在谈论整个动作的0.382至0.5 FIB回撤,考虑到典型的Altcoin与二币比率的移动,我认为这是有意义的。”
To further strengthen his argument, Dennis drew parallels to past market cycles, referencing similar setups in Ethereum and Solana before their major runs.
为了进一步加强他的论点,丹尼斯(Dennis)将平行线与过去的市场周期相提并论,在他们的主要跑步前提到了以太坊和索拉纳(Ethereum)和索拉纳(Solana)的类似设置。
"Remember when everyone was hyping up ETH to 1K and it kept getting rejected? Well, we finally broke through that level after a final dip below the 0.382 Fib, leading to a strong rebound," stated Dennis.
丹尼斯说:“还记得当每个人都将ETH炒作到1K并一直被拒绝时,我们终于在最终下降了0.382 FIB之后终于闯入了这一水平,导致了强劲的反弹。”
"Or take Solana, which dropped to its 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement level against BTC before rebounding strongly. I'm expecting XRP to follow a similar path, a move that could bring its USD price just under $1.85 if Bitcoin remains around $100K."
“或以索拉纳(Solana)的身份下降到其0.382–0.5斐波那契的反撤回水平,然后反弹强烈反弹。我希望XRP遵循类似的道路,如果比特币仍将其价格降低100k,则可能使其价格低于1.85美元的价格。”
Moreover, if Bitcoin rallies further, climbing to $125K and $130K while XRP moves sideways, the XRP/BTC ratio would still fall, also triggering Dennis’s buy.
此外,如果比特币集会进一步集会,则攀升至$ 125K和13万美元,而XRP侧向移动,XRP/BTC比率仍然会下降,也会触发Dennis的买入。
In both cases, Dennis believes that XRP is being undervalued relative to BTC and is primed for a rebound, especially as market fundamentals improve.
在这两种情况下,丹尼斯都认为,相对于BTC,XRP被低估了,并为反弹而准备,尤其是随着市场基本面的改善。
“We’re getting less risky assets, more interest in crypto, and less inflation—all the things that bode well for a final, final move in the market,” he concluded.
他总结说:“我们的风险资产较小,对加密货币的兴趣更多,并且通货膨胀率较低,这对于市场上最终的最终举动来说,这一切都很好。”
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