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由於Circle目前管理超過610億美元的USDC,成功的收購可能會大大改善瑞典舞會在Stablecoin景觀中的地位。
Ripple’s reported intent to acquire Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has sparked interest, particularly regarding how this move could influence XRP’s market performance. With Circle currently managing over $61 billion in USDC, a successful takeover could significantly reshape Ripple’s position in the stablecoin landscape.
USDC Stablecoin的發行人據報導,Ripple據報導意圖收購Circle引起了興趣,尤其是關於這一舉動如何影響XRP的市場績效的興趣。由於Circle目前管理超過610億美元的USDC,成功的收購可能會大大改善瑞典舞會在Stablecoin景觀中的地位。
Ripple’s Acquisition Strategy
Ripple的收購策略
This year has seen Ripple engaging in an aggressive acquisition strategy to strengthen its infrastructure. Earlier in the year, Ripple acquired Hidden Road, a prime brokerage platform for digital assets, for $1.25 billion. Now, the company is attempting a much larger deal with Circle.
今年,Ripple參與了一項積極的收購策略,以加強其基礎設施。今年早些時候,Ripple收購了Hidden Road,這是一個用於數字資產的主要經紀平台,售價12.5億美元。現在,該公司正在嘗試與Circle進行更大的交易。
This year, the company made an offer in the $4–$5 billion range, which was turned down by Circle. Around the same time, Circle submitted a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to go public via a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange. The company’s aim was to sell shares at a price that would value it in a similar fashion—around $4 billion.
今年,該公司在4-50億美元的範圍內提出了報價,該公司被Circle拒絕了。大約在同一時間,Circle向美國證券交易委員會提交了提交文件,以通過紐約證券交易所的直接上市公開。該公司的目的是以類似方式珍視它的價格出售股票,票價為40億美元。
However, according to a recent report by The Information, Circle has entered preliminary discussions with both Ripple and Coinbase regarding new offers for a potential majority stake in the company. These offers are reportedly valued between $6 billion and $11 billion.
但是,根據該信息的最新報告,Circle已經與Ripple和Coinbase有關新報價的新報價進行了初步討論,以獲得該公司的潛在多數股權。據報導,這些優惠的價值在60億至110億美元之間。
If Ripple succeeds, the acquisition would give it oversight over two major stablecoins: its own RLUSD and the market-leading USDC. This consolidation could elevate Ripple’s influence over digital dollar transactions within the crypto ecosystem.
如果Ripple成功,此次收購將對兩個主要的Stablecoins進行監督:它自己的RLUSD和市場領先的USDC。這種整合可以提高連鎖反應在加密生態系統中對數字美元交易的影響。
Potential Implications for XRP
XRP的潛在影響
In light of this development, two AI platforms, ChatGPT and Grok, were asked to provide forecasts for XRP’s price should Ripple finalize the Circle acquisition.
鑑於這一開發,要求兩個AI平台Chatgpt和Grok提供有關XRP價格的預測,應確定圓圈的收購。
ChatGPT’s Base and Optimistic Scenarios
Chatgpt的基礎和樂觀的場景
ChatGPT estimated that in a moderate scenario, assuming the acquisition closes within a $6–$8 billion range and integration proceeds smoothly, XRP could rise to between $3.50 and $4.50. The reasoning was that enhanced liquidity and network activity, driven by Ripple’s broader reach in stablecoin operations, would likely increase demand for XRP.
Chatgpt估計,在中等情況下,假設收購在6-80億美元的範圍內結束,並且集成的收益順利進行,則XRP可能會上升到3.50美元至4.50美元之間。原因是,由於波紋在Stablecoin操作中更廣泛的影響力所驅動的增強的流動性和網絡活動可能會增加對XRP的需求。
In a more favourable outlook, assuming broader market bullish trends and seamless integration of both RLUSD and USDC, ChatGPT projected that XRP could climb as high as $6 to $10. This scenario factors in broader market trends. For instance, if Bitcoin's price rises to the $100,000 level, and if there is strong institutional interest in both stablecoins and XRP, it could lead to substantial price appreciation for the token.
在更有利的前景中,假設RLUSD和USDC的更廣泛的市場看漲趨勢和無縫整合,Chatgpt預計XRP可以攀升高達6至10美元。這種情況在更廣泛的市場趨勢中。例如,如果比特幣的價格上漲至100,000美元,如果stablecoins和XRP都有強大的機構利益,則可能會導致代幣的大量價格欣賞。
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— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) July 15, 2023
- 時間賽車(@timestabloid1)2023年7月15日
Grok’s Assessment of the Market Impact
格羅克對市場影響的評估
Similarly, Grok’s baseline forecast suggested XRP could appreciate to the $3.50–$4.50 range. It emphasized that while stablecoins do not directly determine XRP’s price, their successful integration into Ripple Payments could enhance XRP’s role as a settlement token, increasing its utility and relevance.
同樣,Grok的基線預測建議XRP可以欣賞$ 3.50- $ 4.50的範圍。它強調,儘管Stablecoins並未直接確定XRP的價格,但它們成功地集成到波紋付款中可以增強XRP作為和解令牌的作用,從而提高其效用和相關性。
Grok’s best-case analysis placed XRP in the $6 to $8 range. This projection rests on several assumptions, one of which is that if Ripple successfully absorbs Circle, Ripple Payments scales up to handle trillions in cross-border transactions annually, and XRP continues to be used as a bridge currency. It also factored in the possibility of a broad market uptrend, including Bitcoin reaching $150,000.
Grok的最佳分析分析將XRP置於6至8美元的範圍內。該預測基於幾個假設,其中之一是,如果波紋成功吸收圓圈,波紋付款每年都會縮放以處理數万億美元,而XRP繼續用作橋樑貨幣。它還考慮了廣泛的市場上升趨勢的可能性,包括比特幣達到15萬美元。
Despite the positive projections, both AI systems noted that risks exist. Funding such a large transaction could strain Ripple’s financial resources and potentially require sales from its XRP reserves, which might impact price stability. In addition, unresolved regulatory issues, as well as competition from other potential buyers such as Coinbase, could complicate or delay the deal. Broader macroeconomic factors and shifts in investor sentiment will also play a crucial role in determining XRP’s future price movements.
儘管有積極的預測,但兩個AI系統都指出存在風險。資金如此大的交易可能會損害Ripple的財務資源,並可能需要其XRP儲備金的銷售,這可能會影響價格穩定性。此外,未解決的監管問題以及其他潛在買家(例如Coinbase)的競爭可能會使交易變得複雜或延遲。更廣泛的宏觀經濟因素和投資者情緒的轉變也將在確定XRP的未來價格變動中發揮至關重要的作用。
Currently, the crypto community is closely watching developments between Ripple and Circle, recognizing that the outcome could have significant implications for XRP’s valuation and Ripple’s role in the global payments infrastructure.
目前,加密貨幣社區正在密切關注Ripple和Circle之間的事態發展,並認識到結果可能會對XRP的估值和Ripple在全球付款基礎設施中的作用產生重大影響。
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