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由于Circle目前管理超过610亿美元的USDC,成功的收购可能会大大改善瑞典舞会在Stablecoin景观中的地位。
Ripple’s reported intent to acquire Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has sparked interest, particularly regarding how this move could influence XRP’s market performance. With Circle currently managing over $61 billion in USDC, a successful takeover could significantly reshape Ripple’s position in the stablecoin landscape.
USDC Stablecoin的发行人据报道,Ripple据报道意图收购Circle引起了兴趣,尤其是关于这一举动如何影响XRP的市场绩效的兴趣。由于Circle目前管理超过610亿美元的USDC,成功的收购可能会大大改善瑞典舞会在Stablecoin景观中的地位。
Ripple’s Acquisition Strategy
Ripple的收购策略
This year has seen Ripple engaging in an aggressive acquisition strategy to strengthen its infrastructure. Earlier in the year, Ripple acquired Hidden Road, a prime brokerage platform for digital assets, for $1.25 billion. Now, the company is attempting a much larger deal with Circle.
今年,Ripple参与了一项积极的收购策略,以加强其基础设施。今年早些时候,Ripple收购了Hidden Road,这是一个用于数字资产的主要经纪平台,售价12.5亿美元。现在,该公司正在尝试与Circle进行更大的交易。
This year, the company made an offer in the $4–$5 billion range, which was turned down by Circle. Around the same time, Circle submitted a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to go public via a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange. The company’s aim was to sell shares at a price that would value it in a similar fashion—around $4 billion.
今年,该公司在4-50亿美元的范围内提出了报价,该公司被Circle拒绝了。大约在同一时间,Circle向美国证券交易委员会提交了提交文件,以通过纽约证券交易所的直接上市公开。该公司的目的是以类似方式珍视它的价格出售股票,票价为40亿美元。
However, according to a recent report by The Information, Circle has entered preliminary discussions with both Ripple and Coinbase regarding new offers for a potential majority stake in the company. These offers are reportedly valued between $6 billion and $11 billion.
但是,根据该信息的最新报告,Circle已经与Ripple和Coinbase有关新报价的新报价进行了初步讨论,以获得该公司的潜在多数股权。据报道,这些优惠的价值在60亿至110亿美元之间。
If Ripple succeeds, the acquisition would give it oversight over two major stablecoins: its own RLUSD and the market-leading USDC. This consolidation could elevate Ripple’s influence over digital dollar transactions within the crypto ecosystem.
如果Ripple成功,此次收购将对两个主要的Stablecoins进行监督:它自己的RLUSD和市场领先的USDC。这种整合可以提高连锁反应在加密生态系统中对数字美元交易的影响。
Potential Implications for XRP
XRP的潜在影响
In light of this development, two AI platforms, ChatGPT and Grok, were asked to provide forecasts for XRP’s price should Ripple finalize the Circle acquisition.
鉴于这一开发,要求两个AI平台Chatgpt和Grok提供有关XRP价格的预测,应确定圆圈的收购。
ChatGPT’s Base and Optimistic Scenarios
Chatgpt的基础和乐观的场景
ChatGPT estimated that in a moderate scenario, assuming the acquisition closes within a $6–$8 billion range and integration proceeds smoothly, XRP could rise to between $3.50 and $4.50. The reasoning was that enhanced liquidity and network activity, driven by Ripple’s broader reach in stablecoin operations, would likely increase demand for XRP.
Chatgpt估计,在中等情况下,假设收购在6-80亿美元的范围内结束,并且集成的收益顺利进行,则XRP可能会上升到3.50美元至4.50美元之间。原因是,由于波纹在Stablecoin操作中更广泛的影响力所驱动的增强的流动性和网络活动可能会增加对XRP的需求。
In a more favourable outlook, assuming broader market bullish trends and seamless integration of both RLUSD and USDC, ChatGPT projected that XRP could climb as high as $6 to $10. This scenario factors in broader market trends. For instance, if Bitcoin's price rises to the $100,000 level, and if there is strong institutional interest in both stablecoins and XRP, it could lead to substantial price appreciation for the token.
在更有利的前景中,假设RLUSD和USDC的更广泛的市场看涨趋势和无缝整合,Chatgpt预计XRP可以攀升高达6至10美元。这种情况在更广泛的市场趋势中。例如,如果比特币的价格上涨至100,000美元,如果stablecoins和XRP都有强大的机构利益,则可能会导致代币的大量价格欣赏。
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— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) July 15, 2023
- 时间赛车(@timestabloid1)2023年7月15日
Grok’s Assessment of the Market Impact
格罗克对市场影响的评估
Similarly, Grok’s baseline forecast suggested XRP could appreciate to the $3.50–$4.50 range. It emphasized that while stablecoins do not directly determine XRP’s price, their successful integration into Ripple Payments could enhance XRP’s role as a settlement token, increasing its utility and relevance.
同样,Grok的基线预测建议XRP可以欣赏$ 3.50- $ 4.50的范围。它强调,尽管Stablecoins并未直接确定XRP的价格,但它们成功地集成到波纹付款中可以增强XRP作为和解令牌的作用,从而提高其效用和相关性。
Grok’s best-case analysis placed XRP in the $6 to $8 range. This projection rests on several assumptions, one of which is that if Ripple successfully absorbs Circle, Ripple Payments scales up to handle trillions in cross-border transactions annually, and XRP continues to be used as a bridge currency. It also factored in the possibility of a broad market uptrend, including Bitcoin reaching $150,000.
Grok的最佳分析分析将XRP置于6至8美元的范围内。该预测基于几个假设,其中之一是,如果波纹成功吸收圆圈,波纹付款每年都会缩放以处理数万亿美元,而XRP继续用作桥梁货币。它还考虑了广泛的市场上升趋势的可能性,包括比特币达到15万美元。
Despite the positive projections, both AI systems noted that risks exist. Funding such a large transaction could strain Ripple’s financial resources and potentially require sales from its XRP reserves, which might impact price stability. In addition, unresolved regulatory issues, as well as competition from other potential buyers such as Coinbase, could complicate or delay the deal. Broader macroeconomic factors and shifts in investor sentiment will also play a crucial role in determining XRP’s future price movements.
尽管有积极的预测,但两个AI系统都指出存在风险。资金如此大的交易可能会损害Ripple的财务资源,并可能需要其XRP储备金的销售,这可能会影响价格稳定性。此外,未解决的监管问题以及其他潜在买家(例如Coinbase)的竞争可能会使交易变得复杂或延迟。更广泛的宏观经济因素和投资者情绪的转变也将在确定XRP的未来价格变动中发挥至关重要的作用。
Currently, the crypto community is closely watching developments between Ripple and Circle, recognizing that the outcome could have significant implications for XRP’s valuation and Ripple’s role in the global payments infrastructure.
目前,加密货币社区正在密切关注Ripple和Circle之间的事态发展,并认识到结果可能会对XRP的估值和Ripple在全球付款基础设施中的作用产生重大影响。
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