最後一個集會：比特幣從150,000美元爆炸到60萬美元的五階段計劃

比特幣價格將從7月21日至2025年10月19日之間從大約150,000美元爆炸到600,000美元。

Crypto analyst Fred Krueger recently envisioned a dramatic scenario where Bitcoin's price explodes from roughly $150,000 to $600,000 between July 21 and Oct. 19, 2025.

加密分析師弗雷德·克魯格（Fred Krueger）最近設想了一個戲劇性的場景，比特幣的價格從2025年7月21日至10月19日之間的大約150,000美元爆炸至60萬美元。

This forecast, dubbed "The Last Rally," was released as a five-stage plan in which each phase brings a major financial shock—ranging from a failed U.S. Treasury auction to a new Bretton Woods–style summit—that together would drive a parabolic Bitcoin rally.

這一被稱為“最後一次集會”的預測是作為一個五階段計劃發布的，每個階段都會帶來重大的財務衝擊 - 從失敗的美國財政拍賣到新的布雷頓伍茲（Bretton Woods）風格的首腦會議，這將驅動拋物線比特幣集會。

Krueger's scenario begins with a $200 billion U.S. Treasury bill auction failing, leading the Fed to signal “extraordinary measures.” In this environment, Bitcoin briefly jumps (from $158k to $165k) and gold hits $4,200. Simultaneously, BRICS countries are said to be establishing an independent payment network using gold and Bitcoin.

克魯格（Krueger）的情景始於美國國債的2000億美元拍賣失敗，導緻美聯儲表示“非凡措施”。在這種環境下，比特幣短暫跳高（從$ 158K到$ 165K），黃金售價為4,200美元。同時，據說金磚國家正在使用黃金和比特幣建立獨立的支付網絡。

"Maybe they'll use the Stellar network or something like that. They're setting up their own crypto-based payment network, which will be interesting to follow," Krueger stated.

克魯格說：“也許他們會使用恆星網絡或類似的東西。他們建立了自己的基於加密貨幣的支付網絡，這將很有趣。”

Each of these phases is meant to stoke a flight to alternative assets. For example, in Phase I, Bitcoin and gold initially rise on the chaos, and by Phase III, soaring yields and housing losses further erode confidence in fiat. All dollar figures above are Krueger's estimates for that stage.

這些階段中的每個階段都旨在使飛往替代資產的飛行。例如，在第一階段，比特幣和黃金最初會在混亂中上升，而隨著第三階段，產量和住房損失進一步侵蝕了菲亞特的信心。上面的所有美元數字都是克魯格對該階段的估計。

"Major tech giants convert their balance sheets to Bitcoin. Apple, Tesla, Google—they're buying Bitcoin. We're talking huge sums. Apple alone accumulates 200,000 BTC by August. Meanwhile, several Latin American governments are pivoting to crypto to manage their finances," the analyst described.

分析師說：“主要科技巨頭將其資產負債表轉換為比特幣。蘋果，特斯拉，谷歌 - 他們在購買比特幣。我們正在談論巨額款項。僅蘋果在8月之前就積累了200,000 BTC。與此同時，幾個拉丁美洲政府正在旋轉加密貨幣以管理財務狀況。”

Moreover, the IMF announces a new global reserve basket, focusing on Bitcoin and gold: 50% BTC, 30% gold, 10% yuan, and 10% allocated to other assets. The Bank of England also issues Bitcoin-backed bonds as the 10-year yield rises to 7.8%, while the dollar index drops to the mid-60s. By this point, Bitcoin surpasses $525,000.

此外，國際貨幣基金組織宣布了一個新的全球儲備籃，專注於比特幣和黃金：50％的BTC，30％黃金，10％元和10％分配給其他資產。英格蘭銀行還發行了比特幣支持的債券，因為10年的收益率上升到7.8％，而美元指數下降到60年代中期。至此，比特幣超過$ 525,000。

Finally, a "New Bretton Woods" summit in Geneva convenes to restructure the U.S. dollar by mid-October. The dollar gains 25% Bitcoin and 25% gold collateral. The Fed launches a digital dollar, expanding its balance sheet to $44 trillion. In this finale, Bitcoin reaches $600,000, gold $10,400, and oil $180 per barrel. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) drops to the high 60s.

最後，在日內瓦舉行的“新布雷頓伍茲”峰會召集了在10月中旬之前重組美元。美元獲得25％的比特幣和25％的黃金抵押品。美聯儲推出了數字美元，將其資產負債表擴大到44萬億美元。在這個結局中，比特幣達到60萬美元，黃金$ 10,400和每桶石油$ 180。美元指數（DXY）降至60年代。

In other words, Krueger foresees an unprecedented reshuffling: global reserve currencies realign around BTC and gold. His scenario explicitly puts the dollar index around 68 and projects the S&P 500 roughly halving (a 50% drop from current levels).

換句話說，克魯格（Krueger）預見了一種空前的改組：全球儲備貨幣在BTC和Gold周圍重新調整。他的方案明確地將美元指數大約為68，並預測標準普爾500指數大約減半（比當前水平下降了50％）。

Krueger's scenario is highly dependent on a chain of severe crises that have yet to materialize. The "600K prediction" is still viewed as speculative and even "controversial" despite generating buzz online. Nonetheless, it has sparked discussion about what market or policy events could set off the proposed rally.

克魯格的情況很大程度上取決於尚未實現的一系列嚴重危機。儘管在線產生了嗡嗡聲，但“ 600K預測”仍然被視為投機性甚至“有爭議”。儘管如此，它引發了關於哪些市場或政策事件可能引發擬議集會的討論。

For context, Bitcoin price has indeed been rallying in mid-2025. After briefly dipping to just above $100,000 in mid-May, BTC quickly rebounded above $103,000.

對於上下文，比特幣價格確實在2025年中期集會。在5月中旬短暫蘸至略高於100,000美元以上之後，BTC迅速反彈了103,000美元。

By May 21, it traded around $107–108K, a 14% gain since the start of May. In this rally, the total crypto market capitalization climbed past $3.36 trillion.

到5月21日，它的交易約為107-108K，自5月初以來收益14％。在這次集會中，總加密市值攀升了33.6萬億美元。

Despite these gains, Bitcoin remains below its January 2025 all-time high ($109,000). Traders note that the uptrend has formed a bullish flag pattern, with key resistance in the $112k—$120k range.

儘管有這些收益，但比特幣仍低於2025年1月的歷史最高水平（109,000美元）。交易者指出，上升趨勢已經形成了看漲的國旗模式，關鍵阻力在112k美元中，$ 120K。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin's price is $108,352, having climbed 3% over the last 24 hours. It has a trading volume of $67 billion.

在寫作時，比特幣的價格為108,352美元，在過去24小時內攀升了3％。它的交易量為670億美元。

The market is also digesting macro factors (Fed policy, tariffs, etc.) that could fuel or cap the rally. In short, Bitcoin's current momentum is strong, but many analysts view further moves as contingent on traditional-market dynamics.

市場還可以消化可能加油或限制集會的宏觀因素（美聯儲政策，關稅等）。簡而言之，比特幣的當前勢頭很強，但是許多分析師將進一步的動作視為取決於傳統市場動態的。

"A major U.S. pension fund defaults on obligations as the Fed manages yield curve control, keeping 10-year yields capped at 6.5%. The dollar weakens sharply, and we see the PHLX housing index sliding to 128 points. In this environment, Bitcoin continues its ascent, reaching around $215,0

“隨著美聯儲管理收益曲線的控制，將10年的收益率限制為6.5％。美元的一項主要養老基金違約。美元急劇削弱，我們看到PHLX住房指數下滑至128點。在這種環境中，比特幣繼續攀升，達到215,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0左右。