最后一个集会：比特币从150,000美元爆炸到60万美元的五阶段计划

比特币价格将从7月21日至2025年10月19日之间从大约150,000美元爆炸到600,000美元。

Crypto analyst Fred Krueger recently envisioned a dramatic scenario where Bitcoin's price explodes from roughly $150,000 to $600,000 between July 21 and Oct. 19, 2025.

加密分析师弗雷德·克鲁格（Fred Krueger）最近设想了一个戏剧性的场景，比特币的价格从2025年7月21日至10月19日之间的大约150,000美元爆炸至60万美元。

This forecast, dubbed "The Last Rally," was released as a five-stage plan in which each phase brings a major financial shock—ranging from a failed U.S. Treasury auction to a new Bretton Woods–style summit—that together would drive a parabolic Bitcoin rally.

这一被称为“最后一次集会”的预测是作为一个五阶段计划发布的，每个阶段都会带来重大的财务冲击 - 从失败的美国财政拍卖到新的布雷顿伍兹（Bretton Woods）风格的首脑会议，这将驱动抛物线比特币集会。

Krueger's scenario begins with a $200 billion U.S. Treasury bill auction failing, leading the Fed to signal “extraordinary measures.” In this environment, Bitcoin briefly jumps (from $158k to $165k) and gold hits $4,200. Simultaneously, BRICS countries are said to be establishing an independent payment network using gold and Bitcoin.

克鲁格（Krueger）的情景始于美国国债的2000亿美元拍卖失败，导致美联储表示“非凡措施”。在这种环境下，比特币短暂跳高（从$ 158K到$ 165K），黄金售价为4,200美元。同时，据说金砖国家正在使用黄金和比特币建立独立的支付网络。

"Maybe they'll use the Stellar network or something like that. They're setting up their own crypto-based payment network, which will be interesting to follow," Krueger stated.

克鲁格说：“也许他们会使用恒星网络或类似的东西。他们建立了自己的基于加密货币的支付网络，这将很有趣。”

Each of these phases is meant to stoke a flight to alternative assets. For example, in Phase I, Bitcoin and gold initially rise on the chaos, and by Phase III, soaring yields and housing losses further erode confidence in fiat. All dollar figures above are Krueger's estimates for that stage.

这些阶段中的每个阶段都旨在使飞往替代资产的飞行。例如，在第一阶段，比特币和黄金最初会在混乱中上升，而随着第三阶段，产量和住房损失进一步侵蚀了菲亚特的信心。上面的所有美元数字都是克鲁格对该阶段的估计。

"Major tech giants convert their balance sheets to Bitcoin. Apple, Tesla, Google—they're buying Bitcoin. We're talking huge sums. Apple alone accumulates 200,000 BTC by August. Meanwhile, several Latin American governments are pivoting to crypto to manage their finances," the analyst described.

分析师说：“主要科技巨头将其资产负债表转换为比特币。苹果，特斯拉，谷歌 - 他们在购买比特币。我们正在谈论巨额款项。仅苹果在8月之前就积累了200,000 BTC。与此同时，几个拉丁美洲政府正在旋转加密货币以管理财务状况。”

Moreover, the IMF announces a new global reserve basket, focusing on Bitcoin and gold: 50% BTC, 30% gold, 10% yuan, and 10% allocated to other assets. The Bank of England also issues Bitcoin-backed bonds as the 10-year yield rises to 7.8%, while the dollar index drops to the mid-60s. By this point, Bitcoin surpasses $525,000.

此外，国际货币基金组织宣布了一个新的全球储备篮，专注于比特币和黄金：50％的BTC，30％黄金，10％元和10％分配给其他资产。英格兰银行还发行了比特币支持的债券，因为10年的收益率上升到7.8％，而美元指数下降到60年代中期。至此，比特币超过$ 525,000。

Finally, a "New Bretton Woods" summit in Geneva convenes to restructure the U.S. dollar by mid-October. The dollar gains 25% Bitcoin and 25% gold collateral. The Fed launches a digital dollar, expanding its balance sheet to $44 trillion. In this finale, Bitcoin reaches $600,000, gold $10,400, and oil $180 per barrel. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) drops to the high 60s.

最后，在日内瓦举行的“新布雷顿伍兹”峰会召集了在10月中旬之前重组美元。美元获得25％的比特币和25％的黄金抵押品。美联储推出了数字美元，将其资产负债表扩大到44万亿美元。在这个结局中，比特币达到60万美元，黄金$ 10,400和每桶石油$ 180。美元指数（DXY）降至60年代。

In other words, Krueger foresees an unprecedented reshuffling: global reserve currencies realign around BTC and gold. His scenario explicitly puts the dollar index around 68 and projects the S&P 500 roughly halving (a 50% drop from current levels).

换句话说，克鲁格（Krueger）预见了一种空前的改组：全球储备货币在BTC和Gold周围重新调整。他的方案明确地将美元指数大约为68，并预测标准普尔500指数大约减半（比当前水平下降了50％）。

Krueger's scenario is highly dependent on a chain of severe crises that have yet to materialize. The "600K prediction" is still viewed as speculative and even "controversial" despite generating buzz online. Nonetheless, it has sparked discussion about what market or policy events could set off the proposed rally.

克鲁格的情况很大程度上取决于尚未实现的一系列严重危机。尽管在线产生了嗡嗡声，但“ 600K预测”仍然被视为投机性甚至“有争议”。尽管如此，它引发了关于哪些市场或政策事件可能引发拟议集会的讨论。

For context, Bitcoin price has indeed been rallying in mid-2025. After briefly dipping to just above $100,000 in mid-May, BTC quickly rebounded above $103,000.

对于上下文，比特币价格确实在2025年中期集会。在5月中旬短暂蘸至略高于100,000美元以上之后，BTC迅速反弹了103,000美元。

By May 21, it traded around $107–108K, a 14% gain since the start of May. In this rally, the total crypto market capitalization climbed past $3.36 trillion.

到5月21日，它的交易约为107-108K，自5月初以来收益14％。在这次集会中，总加密市值攀升了33.6万亿美元。

Despite these gains, Bitcoin remains below its January 2025 all-time high ($109,000). Traders note that the uptrend has formed a bullish flag pattern, with key resistance in the $112k—$120k range.

尽管有这些收益，但比特币仍低于2025年1月的历史最高水平（109,000美元）。交易者指出，上升趋势已经形成了看涨的国旗模式，关键阻力在112k美元中，$ 120K。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin's price is $108,352, having climbed 3% over the last 24 hours. It has a trading volume of $67 billion.

在写作时，比特币的价格为108,352美元，在过去24小时内攀升了3％。它的交易量为670亿美元。

The market is also digesting macro factors (Fed policy, tariffs, etc.) that could fuel or cap the rally. In short, Bitcoin's current momentum is strong, but many analysts view further moves as contingent on traditional-market dynamics.

市场还可以消化可能加油或限制集会的宏观因素（美联储政策，关税等）。简而言之，比特币的当前势头很强，但是许多分析师将进一步的动作视为取决于传统市场动态的。

"A major U.S. pension fund defaults on obligations as the Fed manages yield curve control, keeping 10-year yields capped at 6.5%. The dollar weakens sharply, and we see the PHLX housing index sliding to 128 points. In this environment, Bitcoin continues its ascent, reaching around $215,0

“随着美联储管理收益曲线的控制，将10年的收益率限制为6.5％。美元的一项主要养老基金违约。美元急剧削弱，我们看到PHLX住房指数下滑至128点。在这种环境中，比特币继续攀升，达到215,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0左右。