量子計算，比特幣和迫在眉睫的威脅：2025透視圖

專家正在發出有關量子計算可能破解比特幣安全性的潛力的警報。比特幣準備好進行量子革命，還是滴答tick的定時炸彈？

The intersection of quantum computing and Bitcoin has become a hot topic, with experts like Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko warning about potential vulnerabilities. As quantum technology advances, the security of Bitcoin faces increasing scrutiny. Is the threat real, and what can be done about it?

量子計算和比特幣的交集已成為一個熱門話題，諸如Solana聯合創始人Anatoly Yakovenko之類的專家警告有關潛在脆弱性。隨著量子技術的進步，比特幣的安全性面對的審查越來越大。威脅是真實的，該怎麼辦？

The Quantum Threat to Bitcoin: A Deep Dive

對比特幣的量子威脅：深度潛水

The core concern revolves around the possibility of quantum computers utilizing algorithms like Shor's algorithm to break Bitcoin's cryptographic protections. This could compromise private keys, allowing malicious actors to forge transactions and steal funds. The risk is particularly acute for Bitcoin addresses that persistently reveal public keys.

核心問題圍繞著使用Shor's算法等算法來破壞比特幣的加密保護的可能性。這可能會損害私鑰，使惡意演員可以進行交易並竊取資金。對於持續揭示公共鑰匙的比特幣地址，風險尤其嚴重。

Craig Gidney, a Quantum AI researcher at Google, notes that the requirements to breach specific encryption types are decreasing, making the threat more realistic. The development of advanced quantum processors, such as Google's Willow chip, underscores the urgency for Bitcoin developers to implement quantum-resistant cryptographic measures.

Google的量子AI研究人員Craig Gidney指出，違反特定加密類型的要求正在減少，從而使威脅更加現實。高級量子處理器的開發，例如Google的Willow Chip，強調了比特幣開發人員實施抗量子的加密度量的緊迫性。

Yakovenko's Warning: A 50/50 Chance by 2030

Yakovenko的警告：到2030年50/50的機會

Anatoly Yakovenko has been particularly vocal about the risks, estimating a 50% chance that quantum computing could break Bitcoin's SHA-256 cryptographic algorithm by the end of the decade. He emphasizes the role of AI in accelerating quantum computing advancements, shortening the time between research and practical implementation.

Anatoly Yakovenko對風險特別發聲，估計量子計算可能會在十年末之前打破比特幣的SHA-256加密算法的機會50％。他強調了AI在加速量子計算進步方面的作用，從而縮短了研究和實際實施之間的時間。

Yakovenko urges the Bitcoin network to migrate to a quantum-resistant signature scheme, citing the moves by tech giants like Google and Apple. However, this transition isn't straightforward. It requires a hard fork, a contentious and technically complex process demanding widespread support.

Yakovenko敦促比特幣網絡遷移到抗量子的簽名方案，並引用了Google和Apple等科技巨頭的舉動。但是，這種過渡並不簡單。它需要一個硬叉，這是一個有爭議且技術複雜的過程，要求廣泛支持。

Community Pushback and Alternative Views

社區推回和替代觀點

Despite Yakovenko's warnings, not everyone in the Bitcoin community is convinced the threat is imminent. Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream, believes the technology is still somewhat distant, while Bitcoin Core contributor Peter Todd argues that quantum computers

儘管Yakovenko的警告，但並不是比特幣社區中的每個人都堅信威脅即將來臨。 Blockstream首席執行官Adam Back認為這項技術仍然有些遙遠，而比特幣核心貢獻者Peter Todd認為量子計算機