量子计算，比特币和迫在眉睫的威胁：2025透视图

专家正在发出有关量子计算可能破解比特币安全性的潜力的警报。比特币准备好进行量子革命，还是滴答tick的定时炸弹？

The intersection of quantum computing and Bitcoin has become a hot topic, with experts like Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko warning about potential vulnerabilities. As quantum technology advances, the security of Bitcoin faces increasing scrutiny. Is the threat real, and what can be done about it?

量子计算和比特币的交集已成为一个热门话题，诸如Solana联合创始人Anatoly Yakovenko之类的专家警告有关潜在脆弱性。随着量子技术的进步，比特币的安全性面对的审查越来越大。威胁是真实的，该怎么办？

The Quantum Threat to Bitcoin: A Deep Dive

对比特币的量子威胁：深度潜水

The core concern revolves around the possibility of quantum computers utilizing algorithms like Shor's algorithm to break Bitcoin's cryptographic protections. This could compromise private keys, allowing malicious actors to forge transactions and steal funds. The risk is particularly acute for Bitcoin addresses that persistently reveal public keys.

核心问题围绕着使用Shor's算法等算法来破坏比特币的加密保护的可能性。这可能会损害私钥，使恶意演员可以进行交易并窃取资金。对于持续揭示公共钥匙的比特币地址，风险尤其严重。

Craig Gidney, a Quantum AI researcher at Google, notes that the requirements to breach specific encryption types are decreasing, making the threat more realistic. The development of advanced quantum processors, such as Google's Willow chip, underscores the urgency for Bitcoin developers to implement quantum-resistant cryptographic measures.

Google的量子AI研究人员Craig Gidney指出，违反特定加密类型的要求正在减少，从而使威胁更加现实。高级量子处理器的开发，例如Google的Willow Chip，强调了比特币开发人员实施抗量子的加密度量的紧迫性。

Yakovenko's Warning: A 50/50 Chance by 2030

Yakovenko的警告：到2030年50/50的机会

Anatoly Yakovenko has been particularly vocal about the risks, estimating a 50% chance that quantum computing could break Bitcoin's SHA-256 cryptographic algorithm by the end of the decade. He emphasizes the role of AI in accelerating quantum computing advancements, shortening the time between research and practical implementation.

Anatoly Yakovenko对风险特别发声，估计量子计算可能会在十年末之前打破比特币的SHA-256加密算法的机会50％。他强调了AI在加速量子计算进步方面的作用，从而缩短了研究和实际实施之间的时间。

Yakovenko urges the Bitcoin network to migrate to a quantum-resistant signature scheme, citing the moves by tech giants like Google and Apple. However, this transition isn't straightforward. It requires a hard fork, a contentious and technically complex process demanding widespread support.

Yakovenko敦促比特币网络迁移到抗量子的签名方案，并引用了Google和Apple等科技巨头的举动。但是，这种过渡并不简单。它需要一个硬叉，这是一个有争议且技术复杂的过程，要求广泛支持。

Community Pushback and Alternative Views

社区推回和替代观点

Despite Yakovenko's warnings, not everyone in the Bitcoin community is convinced the threat is imminent. Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream, believes the technology is still somewhat distant, while Bitcoin Core contributor Peter Todd argues that quantum computers

尽管Yakovenko的警告，但并不是比特币社区中的每个人都坚信威胁即将来临。 Blockstream首席执行官Adam Back认为这项技术仍然有些遥远，而比特币核心贡献者Peter Todd认为量子计算机