匿名分析師 TechDev 預測山寨幣將在加價階段上漲至 1 兆美元

一位因宏觀加密貨幣預測而聞名的分析師認為，山寨幣市場有望引發類似 2016 年和 2021 年的大幅上漲。

A crypto analyst known for his macro calls is sharing his bullish outlook on the altcoin market, predicting that it’s gearing up for rallies like the ones seen in 2016 and 2021.

一位以宏觀預測而聞名的加密貨幣分析師分享了他對山寨幣市場的看漲前景，並預測山寨幣市場正在為 2016 年和 2021 年那樣的反彈做好準備。

The pseudonymous analyst, known as TechDev, has told his 451,900 followers on the social media platform X that he’s keeping an eye on the OTHERS chart, which tracks the total market cap of crypto excluding the 10-largest digital assets and stablecoins.

這位化名為 TechDev 的分析師告訴他在社群媒體平台 X 上的 451,900 名粉絲，他正在關注 OTHERS 圖表，該圖表追蹤不包括 10 大數字資產和穩定幣的加密貨幣總市值。

According to TechDev, OTHERS seems to be forming a classic bullish pattern after breaking out from a rounding bottom formation.

根據 TechDev 的說法，其他人在突破圓底形態後似乎正在形成經典的看漲模式。

“Alts are entering textbook markup.”

“另類正在進入教科書標記。”

A glance at the trader’s chart shows that OTHERS appears to have printed the same exact pattern during the 2016 bull market cycle. The TOTAL3 chart, which tracks the total market cap of crypto excluding Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and stablecoins, also generated the same pattern in 2021 before surging to the upside.

瀏覽交易員的圖表就會發現，其他人似乎在 2016 年牛市週期中也印出了同樣的模式。 TOTAL3 圖表追蹤了不包括比特幣 (BTC)、以太坊 (ETH) 和穩定幣的加密貨幣總市值，該圖表在 2021 年飆升之前也出現了相同的模式。

Based on the chart, TechDev predicts that OTHERS will rally as high as $1 trillion during its markup phase. At the time of writing, OTHERS is valued at $291.35 billion, which means that it could potentially surge by over 243% to hit TechDev’s target.

根據該圖表，TechDev 預測 OTHERS 在其加價階段將上漲高達 1 兆美元。截至撰寫本文時，OTHERS 的估值為 2,913.5 億美元，這意味著它有可能飆升超過 243% 以達到 TechDev 的目標。

The analyst also points to other relevant charts that seem to be supporting his bullish stance on altcoins. According to TechDev, both the Bitcoin (BTC) and Tether (USDT) dominance charts are flashing bearish signals.

這位分析師還指出了其他相關圖表，這些圖表似乎支持他對山寨幣的看漲立場。據 TechDev 稱，比特幣 (BTC) 和 Tether (USDT) 主導圖表都閃爍著看跌訊號。

The BTC.D chart showcases how much of the crypto market cap belongs to BTC, while the USDT.D chart tracks how much of the crypto market cap belongs to USDT. If both charts are indicating a bearish trend, it suggests that traders are shifting their capital to altcoins.

BTC.D 圖表顯示有多少加密貨幣市值屬於 BTC，而 USDT.D 圖表則追蹤有多少加密貨幣市值屬於 USDT。如果兩張圖表都顯示看跌趨勢，則表示交易者正在將資金轉向山寨幣。

“Bitcoin dominance is breaking down from a massive distribution. Tether dominance is marking down in the acceleration phase of its distribution. Alts haven’t expanded from this level of macro compression since Dec 2020. The next narrative is around the corner.”

「比特幣的主導地位正在因大規模分佈而崩潰。 Tether 的主導地位在其分佈的加速階段正在下降。自 2020 年 12 月以來，Alt 尚未從這種宏觀壓縮水平擴展。

TechDev says the narrative that could spark an altcoin surge is the launch of spot market Ethereum exchange-traded funds.

TechDev 表示，可能引發山寨幣飆升的說法是現貨市場以太坊交易所交易基金的推出。

“Cue the next alt narrative right on time. ETH ETF.”

「準時提示下一個替代敘述。以太坊 ETF。