匿名分析师 TechDev 预测山寨币将在加价阶段上涨至 1 万亿美元

一位因宏观加密货币预测而闻名的分析师认为，山寨币市场有望引发类似于 2016 年和 2021 年的大幅上涨。

A crypto analyst known for his macro calls is sharing his bullish outlook on the altcoin market, predicting that it’s gearing up for rallies like the ones seen in 2016 and 2021.

一位以宏观预测而闻名的加密货币分析师分享了他对山寨币市场的看涨前景，并预测山寨币市场正在为 2016 年和 2021 年那样的反弹做好准备。

The pseudonymous analyst, known as TechDev, has told his 451,900 followers on the social media platform X that he’s keeping an eye on the OTHERS chart, which tracks the total market cap of crypto excluding the 10-largest digital assets and stablecoins.

这位化名为 TechDev 的分析师告诉他在社交媒体平台 X 上的 451,900 名粉丝，他正在关注 OTHERS 图表，该图表跟踪不包括 10 大数字资产和稳定币的加密货币总市值。

According to TechDev, OTHERS seems to be forming a classic bullish pattern after breaking out from a rounding bottom formation.

根据 TechDev 的说法，其他人在突破圆底形态后似乎正在形成经典的看涨模式。

“Alts are entering textbook markup.”

“另类正在进入教科书标记。”

A glance at the trader’s chart shows that OTHERS appears to have printed the same exact pattern during the 2016 bull market cycle. The TOTAL3 chart, which tracks the total market cap of crypto excluding Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and stablecoins, also generated the same pattern in 2021 before surging to the upside.

浏览一下该交易员的图表就会发现，其他人似乎在 2016 年牛市周期中也印出了同样的模式。 TOTAL3 图表追踪了不包括比特币 (BTC)、以太坊 (ETH) 和稳定币的加密货币总市值，该图表在 2021 年飙升之前也出现了相同的模式。

Based on the chart, TechDev predicts that OTHERS will rally as high as $1 trillion during its markup phase. At the time of writing, OTHERS is valued at $291.35 billion, which means that it could potentially surge by over 243% to hit TechDev’s target.

根据该图表，TechDev 预测 OTHERS 在其加价阶段将上涨高达 1 万亿美元。截至撰写本文时，OTHERS 的估值为 2,913.5 亿美元，这意味着它有可能飙升超过 243% 以达到 TechDev 的目标。

The analyst also points to other relevant charts that seem to be supporting his bullish stance on altcoins. According to TechDev, both the Bitcoin (BTC) and Tether (USDT) dominance charts are flashing bearish signals.

这位分析师还指出了其他相关图表，这些图表似乎支持他对山寨币的看涨立场。据 TechDev 称，比特币 (BTC) 和 Tether (USDT) 主导图表都闪烁着看跌信号。

The BTC.D chart showcases how much of the crypto market cap belongs to BTC, while the USDT.D chart tracks how much of the crypto market cap belongs to USDT. If both charts are indicating a bearish trend, it suggests that traders are shifting their capital to altcoins.

BTC.D 图表显示了有多少加密货币市值属于 BTC，而 USDT.D 图表则跟踪有多少加密货币市值属于 USDT。如果两张图表都显示看跌趋势，则表明交易者正在将资金转向山寨币。

“Bitcoin dominance is breaking down from a massive distribution. Tether dominance is marking down in the acceleration phase of its distribution. Alts haven’t expanded from this level of macro compression since Dec 2020. The next narrative is around the corner.”

“比特币的主导地位正在因大规模分布而崩溃。 Tether 的主导地位在其分布的加速阶段正在下降。自 2020 年 12 月以来，Alt 尚未从这种宏观压缩水平扩展。下一个故事即将到来。”

TechDev says the narrative that could spark an altcoin surge is the launch of spot market Ethereum exchange-traded funds.

TechDev 表示，可能引发山寨币飙升的说法是现货市场以太坊交易所交易基金的推出。

“Cue the next alt narrative right on time. ETH ETF.”

“准时提示下一个替代叙述。以太坊 ETF。”