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今年,第2 層區塊鏈Polygon 背後的團隊取得的重大突破性成功之一是Polymarket,這是一個去中心化的預測市場,今年用戶蜂擁而至,對從總統政治到HBO 紀錄片結局等各種事物進行下注。

Layer-2 blockchain Polygon has seen massive success with the decentralized predictions market Polymarket, but the application has only brought in about $27,000 of transaction fees for Polygon PoS in 2024.
第 2 層區塊鏈 Polygon 在去中心化預測市場 Polymarket 上取得了巨大成功,但該應用程式在 2024 年僅為 Polygon PoS 帶來了約 27,000 美元的交易費用。
Despite the application's booming usage, the fees are market-based and transacting on Polygon PoS is extremely cheap. The average transaction fee on the Polygon PoS chain on Oct. 23 was $0.007.
儘管該應用程式的使用量正在蓬勃發展,但費用是基於市場的,並且 Polygon PoS 上的交易非常便宜。 10 月 23 日,Polygon PoS 鏈上的平均交易費用為 0.007 美元。
Anytime a Polymarket user makes a bet, they’re creating a transaction on Polygon PoS. As part of those transactions, they pay fees to Polygon PoS, which is split up into a base fee and a priority fee. The base fee does not go towards validators; instead it is burned – sent to a null address that theoretically should benefit tokenholders by helping to reduce the supply.
每當 Polymarket 用戶進行投注時,他們都會在 Polygon PoS 上建立交易。作為這些交易的一部分,他們向 Polygon PoS 支付費用,該費用分為基本費用和優先費用。基本費用不會支付給驗證者;相反,它被燒毀——發送到一個空地址,理論上該地址應該通過幫助減少供應而使代幣持有者受益。
“That base fee is adjustable and it's based off of network congestion,” Polygon Labs CEO Marc Boiron told CoinDesk in an interview. “So as the network gets more congested, that base fee increases.”
Polygon Labs 執行長 Marc Boiron 在接受 CoinDesk 採訪時表示:“該基本費用是可調整的,並且基於網路擁塞情況。” “因此,隨著網路變得更加擁擠,基本費用就會增加。”
The priority fee is paid out to a validator.
優先權費用支付給驗證者。
“You're paying the validator to say, Please include me in a block," Boiron added. "The higher a fee you pay, the earlier the validator will include you in a block if there's more congestion.”
Boiron 補充道:“你付錢給驗證者,讓驗證者說,請把我納入區塊。你支付的費用越高,如果擁堵情況更嚴重,驗證者就會越早將你納入區塊。”
If there's ample blockspace, there's less of a need to pay up.
如果有足夠的區塊空間,則無需支付費用。
Another issue is that, in the grand scheme of things, while Polymarket's bettors are quite active, the volume of transactions doesn't come close to the level of high-intensity applications like decentralized crypto exchanges (DEXs).
另一個問題是,從總體上看,雖然 Polymarket 的投注者相當活躍,但交易量並沒有接近去中心化加密貨幣交易所(DEX)等高強度應用程式的水平。
So far this month, 5.2% of transactions on the Polygon PoS chain came from Polymarket, according to Polygon’s research team. Chainlink makes up 10.38% of transactions on PoS, while transfers of the stablecoin USDT make up 4.89%.
據 Polygon 研究團隊稱,本月到目前為止,PoS 鏈上 5.2% 的交易來自 Polymarket。 Chainlink 佔 PoS 交易量的 10.38%,而穩定幣 USDT 的轉帳則佔 4.89%。
Just to take the example of a recent day's activity. On Oct. 23, Polymarket accounted for about 8% of the "gas" used on Polygon PoS, based on data from the blockchain explorer PolygonScan. That made it the largest individual contributor. In blockchain terminology, gas is a measure of the computational intensity required for any given batch of transactions.
僅舉最近一天的活動為例。 10 月 23 日,根據區塊鏈瀏覽器 PolygonScan 的數據,Polymarket 約佔 Polygon PoS 使用的「gas」的 8%。這使其成為最大的個人貢獻者。在區塊鏈術語中,gas 是衡量任何給定批次交易所需的計算強度的指標。
“I look at how it's built," Boiron said. "I would never expect a lot of fees from Polymarket, because it doesn't have a massive amount of composability, like Uniswap. It has some, but not a lot. It's really just users coming there. They’re executing a transaction, and then stopping. So it's inherently never going to drive that much until, like, the number of users goes way up.”
「我會研究它是如何建構的,」Boiron 說。有一些,但不是很多。實際上只是用戶來到那裡。他們正在執行一筆交易,然後停止。因此,除非用戶數量大幅增加,否則它本質上永遠不會推動那麼多。
Attention is the reward
關注就是獎勵
Polygon for long has looked for its mainstream breakthrough moment, pouring millions into the partnerships with Starbucks and Meta to try and bring Web3 to the masses. Those deals never really took off.
Polygon 長期以來一直在尋找其主流突破時刻,投入數百萬美元與星巴克和 Meta 合作,試圖將 Web3 帶給大眾。這些交易從未真正成功。
The Polygon team is encouraged by the enormous attention that Polymarket has been getting, hoping the attention will feed into bigger numbers in the wider Polygon ecosystem.
Polygon 團隊對 Polymarket 受到的巨大關注感到鼓舞,希望這種關注能在更廣泛的 Polygon 生態系統中帶來更多的關注。
Boiron told CoinDesk: “The question is, like, why is Polymarket so interesting if they are only bringing $20K? The obvious reason is just, let's call it attention.”
Boiron 告訴 CoinDesk:「問題是,如果 Polymarket 只帶來 2 萬美元,為什麼他們會如此有趣?顯而易見的原因就是,讓我們引起注意吧。
The success shows that “you can have an amazingly successful app on Polygon PoS that, like you can, you hardly even know that you're using a blockchain,” he said.
這一成功表明,「你可以在 Polygon PoS 上擁有一個非常成功的應用程序,就像你一樣,你甚至幾乎不知道你正在使用區塊鏈,」他說。
To look on the bright side, “Paying only $20K in transaction fees, frankly, just reflects how cheap it is to use Polygon PoS,” Boiron said.
從好的方面來看,「坦白說,只需支付 2 萬美元的交易費用,這恰恰反映出使用 Polygon PoS 的成本是多麼便宜,」Boiron 說。
The organic explosion of Polymarket has contributed to Polygon’s success because of the attention it brings to the ecosystem, he said.
他說,Polymarket 的有機爆炸為 Polygon 的成功做出了貢獻,因為它為生態系統帶來了關注。
“Different applications have different roles," Boiron said. "For me, Polymarket’s role includes: We're giving them super cheap transactions that make it really easy. And attention is the thing – that is the value add – that Polymarket brings for us.”
“不同的應用程式有不同的角色,”布瓦龍說。 Polymarket 為我們帶來的是關注,即增值。
“Now, that's very different from, let's say there's somebody who comes and builds an order book DEX on Polygon PoS," he said. "If they were doing $20,000 of fees over multiple months, it would be a massive failure, because you would expect massive numbers of orders placed and canceled and filled, then that would drive huge numbers of transactions. So the key here is like, different applications have different intended purposes.”
「現在,這與假設有人來在 Polygon PoS 上建立訂單簿 DEX 非常不同,」他說。有大量的訂單下達、取消和履行,那麼這將推動大量的交易。所以這裡的關鍵是,不同的應用程式有不同的預期目的。
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