Polymarket 为 Polygon 区块链带来了巨大成功——除了底线之外，无处不在

今年，第 2 层区块链 Polygon 背后的团队取得的重大突破性成功之一是 Polymarket，这是一个去中心化预测市场，今年用户蜂拥而至，对从总统政治到 HBO 纪录片结局等各种事物进行下注。

Layer-2 blockchain Polygon has seen massive success with the decentralized predictions market Polymarket, but the application has only brought in about $27,000 of transaction fees for Polygon PoS in 2024.

第 2 层区块链 Polygon 在去中心化预测市场 Polymarket 上取得了巨大成功，但该应用程序在 2024 年仅为 Polygon PoS 带来了约 27,000 美元的交易费用。

Despite the application's booming usage, the fees are market-based and transacting on Polygon PoS is extremely cheap. The average transaction fee on the Polygon PoS chain on Oct. 23 was $0.007.

尽管该应用程序的使用量正在蓬勃发展，但费用是基于市场的，并且 Polygon PoS 上的交易非常便宜。 10 月 23 日，Polygon PoS 链上的平均交易费用为 0.007 美元。

Anytime a Polymarket user makes a bet, they’re creating a transaction on Polygon PoS. As part of those transactions, they pay fees to Polygon PoS, which is split up into a base fee and a priority fee. The base fee does not go towards validators; instead it is burned – sent to a null address that theoretically should benefit tokenholders by helping to reduce the supply.

每当 Polymarket 用户进行投注时，他们都会在 Polygon PoS 上创建交易。作为这些交易的一部分，他们向 Polygon PoS 支付费用，该费用分为基本费用和优先费用。基本费用不会支付给验证者；相反，它被烧毁——发送到一个空地址，理论上该地址应该通过帮助减少供应而使代币持有者受益。

“That base fee is adjustable and it's based off of network congestion,” Polygon Labs CEO Marc Boiron told CoinDesk in an interview. “So as the network gets more congested, that base fee increases.”

Polygon Labs 首席执行官 Marc Boiron 在接受 CoinDesk 采访时表示：“该基本费用是可调整的，并且基于网络拥塞情况。” “因此，随着网络变得更加拥挤，基本费用就会增加。”

The priority fee is paid out to a validator.

优先权费用支付给验证者。

“You're paying the validator to say, Please include me in a block," Boiron added. "The higher a fee you pay, the earlier the validator will include you in a block if there's more congestion.”

Boiron 补充道：“你付钱给验证者，让验证者说，请把我纳入区块。你支付的费用越高，如果拥堵情况更严重，验证者就会越早将你纳入区块。”

If there's ample blockspace, there's less of a need to pay up.

如果有足够的区块空间，则无需支付费用。

Another issue is that, in the grand scheme of things, while Polymarket's bettors are quite active, the volume of transactions doesn't come close to the level of high-intensity applications like decentralized crypto exchanges (DEXs).

另一个问题是，从总体上看，虽然 Polymarket 的投注者相当活跃，但交易量并没有接近去中心化加密货币交易所（DEX）等高强度应用程序的水平。

So far this month, 5.2% of transactions on the Polygon PoS chain came from Polymarket, according to Polygon’s research team. Chainlink makes up 10.38% of transactions on PoS, while transfers of the stablecoin USDT make up 4.89%.

据 Polygon 研究团队称，本月到目前为止，PoS 链上 5.2% 的交易来自 Polymarket。 Chainlink 占 PoS 交易量的 10.38%，而稳定币 USDT 的转账则占 4.89%。

Just to take the example of a recent day's activity. On Oct. 23, Polymarket accounted for about 8% of the "gas" used on Polygon PoS, based on data from the blockchain explorer PolygonScan. That made it the largest individual contributor. In blockchain terminology, gas is a measure of the computational intensity required for any given batch of transactions.

仅举最近一天的活动为例。 10 月 23 日，根据区块链浏览器 PolygonScan 的数据，Polymarket 约占 Polygon PoS 使用的“gas”的 8%。这使其成为最大的个人贡献者。在区块链术语中，gas 是衡量任何给定批次交易所需的计算强度的指标。

“I look at how it's built," Boiron said. "I would never expect a lot of fees from Polymarket, because it doesn't have a massive amount of composability, like Uniswap. It has some, but not a lot. It's really just users coming there. They’re executing a transaction, and then stopping. So it's inherently never going to drive that much until, like, the number of users goes way up.”

“我会研究它是如何构建的，”Boiron 说。“我绝不会期望 Polymarket 会收取很多费用，因为它不像 Uniswap 那样具有大量的可组合性。有一些，但不是很多。实际上只是用户来到那里。他们正在执行一笔交易，然后停止。因此，除非用户数量大幅增加，否则它本质上永远不会推动那么多。”

Attention is the reward

关注就是奖励

Polygon for long has looked for its mainstream breakthrough moment, pouring millions into the partnerships with Starbucks and Meta to try and bring Web3 to the masses. Those deals never really took off.

Polygon 长期以来一直在寻找其主流突破时刻，投入数百万美元与星巴克和 Meta 合作，试图将 Web3 带给大众。这些交易从未真正成功。

The Polygon team is encouraged by the enormous attention that Polymarket has been getting, hoping the attention will feed into bigger numbers in the wider Polygon ecosystem.

Polygon 团队对 Polymarket 受到的巨大关注感到鼓舞，希望这种关注能够在更广泛的 Polygon 生态系统中带来更多的关注。

Boiron told CoinDesk: “The question is, like, why is Polymarket so interesting if they are only bringing $20K? The obvious reason is just, let's call it attention.”

Boiron 告诉 CoinDesk：“问题是，如果 Polymarket 只带来 2 万美元，为什么他们会如此有趣？显而易见的原因就是，让我们引起注意吧。”

The success shows that “you can have an amazingly successful app on Polygon PoS that, like you can, you hardly even know that you're using a blockchain,” he said.

这一成功表明，“你可以在 Polygon PoS 上拥有一个非常成功的应用程序，就像你一样，你甚至几乎不知道你正在使用区块链，”他说。

To look on the bright side, “Paying only $20K in transaction fees, frankly, just reflects how cheap it is to use Polygon PoS,” Boiron said.

从好的方面来看，“坦率地说，只需支付 2 万美元的交易费用，这恰恰反映出使用 Polygon PoS 的成本是多么便宜，”Boiron 说。

The organic explosion of Polymarket has contributed to Polygon’s success because of the attention it brings to the ecosystem, he said.

他说，Polymarket 的有机爆炸为 Polygon 的成功做出了贡献，因为它给生态系统带来了关注。

“Different applications have different roles," Boiron said. "For me, Polymarket’s role includes: We're giving them super cheap transactions that make it really easy. And attention is the thing – that is the value add – that Polymarket brings for us.”

“不同的应用程序有不同的角色，”布瓦龙说。“对我来说，Polymarket 的角色包括：我们为他们提供超便宜的交易，让交易变得非常简单。” Polymarket 为我们带来的就是关注，即增值。”

“Now, that's very different from, let's say there's somebody who comes and builds an order book DEX on Polygon PoS," he said. "If they were doing $20,000 of fees over multiple months, it would be a massive failure, because you would expect massive numbers of orders placed and canceled and filled, then that would drive huge numbers of transactions. So the key here is like, different applications have different intended purposes.”

“现在，这与假设有人来在 Polygon PoS 上构建订单簿 DEX 非常不同，”他说。“如果他们在几个月内收取 20,000 美元的费用，那将是一个巨大的失败，因为你会预计会有大量的订单下达、取消和履行，那么这将推动大量的交易。所以这里的关键是，不同的应用程序有不同的预期目的。”